TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

Game Handicap: SK (-1.5) vs Fnatic (+1.5)

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Fnaticof SK Gaming, Fnatic
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$12,039
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$13,136

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,039 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2b17…d36dbacked SK Gaming28c2,621$724 inLost-$724.1910834.3%37 W · 71 L-6.3wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-12.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5556…2759backed Fnatic73c2,374$1,737 inWon+$636.4962451.4%321 W · 303 L-10.4wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Fnatic72c1,599$1,152 inWon+$447.831,22448.3%591 W · 633 L+26.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2ff2…c175backed SK Gaming26c1,305$342 inLost-$341.840726.8%109 W · 298 L+6.2wins+0.02per pick25cpaid-5.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed SK Gaming27c1,008$270 inLost-$270.3646050.7%233 W · 227 L+13.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x53ab…65aabacked Fnatic74c972.38$719 inWon+$2531,60948.4%779 W · 830 L+24.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb2ab…3bb3backed SK Gaming27c951.71$260 inLost-$26016946.7%79 W · 90 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8a3b…5fa5backed Fnatic75c928.41$700 inWon+$228.4165063.2%411 W · 239 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick62cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8c0b…f0fbbacked Fnatic73c911$665 inWon+$245.97837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.13per pick51cpaid-29.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3308…f04bbacked Fnatic80c737.75$587 inWon+$150.8234151.6%176 W · 165 L+11.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3546…1a58backed SK Gaming2c500$10 inLost-$1016130.4%49 W · 112 L-0.8wins0.00per pick31cpaid+9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked SK Gaming22c497.7$108 inLost-$108.112,93844.5%1,308 W · 1,630 L-92.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-16.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x586a…be99backed SK Gaming26c469.42$122 inLost-$122.053145.2%14 W · 17 L+0.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb1ec…9c6dbacked SK Gaming27c370.37$100 inLost-$1009459.6%56 W · 38 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9b97…6084backed SK Gaming16c300$48 inLost-$481,24242.6%529 W · 713 L-18.2wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-15.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe015…6ffdbacked Fnatic75c271.88$204 inWon+$67.9796048.8%468 W · 492 L+13.1wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x11ca…2737backed Fnatic78c255.13$200 inWon+$55.1311264.3%72 W · 40 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick62cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x12d3…42e4backed SK Gaming27c245.04$66 inLost-$66.1626440.9%108 W · 156 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick41cpaid+0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1ed1…fd2abacked SK Gaming25c240$60 inLost-$6035642.4%151 W · 205 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5519…f7e1backed Fnatic75c200$150 inWon+$5015861.4%97 W · 61 L+11.9wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+14.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x2da3…f258backed Fnatic78c185$144 inWon+$40.697854.4%532 W · 446 L+48.6wins+0.05per pick49cpaid-0.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7ff2…149bbacked SK Gaming22c179.57$40 inLost-$40911.1%1 W · 8 L-1.4wins-0.16per pick27cpaid-85.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa6db…3155backed Fnatic74c124.93$92 inWon+$32.7118051.1%92 W · 88 L-4.8wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-4.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x91dc…ca3abacked SK Gaming26c120$31 inLost-$31.26446.9%30 W · 34 L-2.6wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-9.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Fnatic78c100$78 inWon+$2277741.7%324 W · 453 L-27.5wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-26.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x420b…965bbacked SK Gaming27c100$27 inLost-$2724554.7%134 W · 111 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb891…969bbacked SK Gaming25c81.91$20 inLost-$20.481,44713.3%192 W · 1,255 L-109.5wins-0.08per pick21cpaid-35.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x36de…cf07backed SK Gaming26c76.92$20 inLost-$2015359.5%91 W · 62 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x54a6…7401backed SK Gaming21c66.2$14 inLost-$13.8352750.5%266 W · 261 L+13.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb70c…34cabacked Fnatic74c60.81$45 inWon+$15.8115673.1%114 W · 42 L+6.2wins+0.04per pick69cpaid+6.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6eb0…16e6backed SK Gaming26c57.69$15 inLost-$153138.7%12 W · 19 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick36cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Fnatic77c54.57$42 inWon+$12.551,38937.7%524 W · 865 L-45.7wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-22.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4b95…b23ebacked SK Gaming26c40$10 inLost-$10.41,02445%461 W · 563 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6240…54c0backed Fnatic74c20$15 inWon+$5.21163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8d97…9c26backed Fnatic74c15$11 inWon+$3.951172.7%8 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.08per pick65cpaid+15%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.