Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: 100 Thieves vs Cloud9 (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Group Omega
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x782698c670dc830f87eff97f08d8d532114ead0e85b8d37dd89a65bb8e13b017
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Cloud9of 100 Thieves, Cloud9
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $227,037
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $248,636
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $227,037 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 205 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0a63…fc03backed 100 Thieves | 76c | 11,348$8,581 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,580.53 | 60 | 38.3%23 W · 37 L | -6.9wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdd88…dadbbacked 100 Thieves | 62c | 8,600$5,322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,322 | 331 | 53.5%177 W · 154 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Cloud9 | 15c | 7,847$1,162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,685.07 | 281 | 43.4%122 W · 159 L | +8.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c76…c163backed Cloud9 | 31c | 7,067$2,184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,883.14 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +4.2wins | +0.42per pick | 28cpaid | +205.2%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x689f…259cbacked Cloud9 | 39c | 7,012$2,735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,276.88 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -2.7wins | -0.25per pick | 43cpaid | -63.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb496…1f45backed Cloud9 | 37c | 6,235$2,315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,919.39 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +3.0wins | +0.15per pick | 40cpaid | +39.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Cloud9 | 57c | 5,767$3,299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,468.02 | 684 | 58.3%399 W · 285 L | +56.5wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed Cloud9 | 59c | 5,044$2,981 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,063.56 | 531 | 59.1%314 W · 217 L | +41.6wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb75b…e377backed 100 Thieves | 60c | 5,015$2,996 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,996.25 | 113 | 54%61 W · 52 L | +7.4wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x85fb…89babacked Cloud9 | 40c | 5,000$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,999.99 | 74 | 43.2%32 W · 42 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a8c…fd3dbacked Cloud9 | 18c | 4,928$905 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,023.1 | 253 | 36.4%92 W · 161 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec69…6fbabacked 100 Thieves | 60c | 3,968$2,368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,368.37 | 351 | 42.5%149 W · 202 L | -14.6wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Cloud9 | 51c | 3,604$1,838 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,766.25 | 931 | 48.1%448 W · 483 L | -11.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x880b…c98bbacked Cloud9 | 16c | 3,223$516 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,707.19 | 266 | 50.8%135 W · 131 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9166…b479backed 100 Thieves | 60c | 3,080$1,848 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,847.74 | 71 | 64.8%46 W · 25 L | +7.9wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked 100 Thieves | 50c | 2,837$1,419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,419.06 | 689 | 49.5%341 W · 348 L | +15.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86df…d902backed 100 Thieves | 60c | 2,796$1,668 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,667.69 | 133 | 55.6%74 W · 59 L | +7.4wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed 100 Thieves | 55c | 2,780$1,522 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,521.79 | 463 | 26.6%123 W · 340 L | -26.0wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Cloud9 | 54c | 2,693$1,457 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,235.9 | 943 | 61.2%577 W · 366 L | +58.2wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked 100 Thieves | 58c | 2,330$1,358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,357.67 | 509 | 44.6%227 W · 282 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Cloud9 | 49c | 2,242$1,091 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,150.45 | 324 | 62.7%203 W · 121 L | +31.7wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +10%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked 100 Thieves | 51c | 2,222$1,139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,139.33 | 1,247 | 49.6%619 W · 628 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5e…185ebacked 100 Thieves | 76c | 2,107$1,609 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,608.77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.76per pick | 76cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x026b…8804backed 100 Thieves | 64c | 2,000$1,290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,289.95 | 153 | 58.8%90 W · 63 L | +14.7wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Cloud9 | 59c | 2,000$1,177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$822.6 | 242 | 50.4%122 W · 120 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4980…5709backed Cloud9 | 14c | 2,000$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,721.93 | 322 | 45.7%147 W · 175 L | +52.2wins | +0.16per pick | 29cpaid | +40.7%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Cloud9 | 66c | 1,978$1,297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$681.09 | 533 | 55.3%295 W · 238 L | +24.0wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d35…b406backed Cloud9 | 18c | 1,949$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,599.54 | 51 | 43.1%22 W · 29 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +24%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x82dc…5700backed Cloud9 | 62c | 1,799$1,111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$688.39 | 563 | 57.9%326 W · 237 L | +36.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed Cloud9 | 15c | 1,600$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,360 | 264 | 47.3%125 W · 139 L | +9.6wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed 100 Thieves | 47c | 1,599$756 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$755.91 | 811 | 34.9%283 W · 528 L | -60.9wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa390…c7d9backed Cloud9 | 19c | 1,448$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,169.15 | 79 | 20.3%16 W · 63 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40e3…5627backed 100 Thieves | 77c | 1,250$965 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$965.39 | 196 | 56.6%111 W · 85 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed 100 Thieves | 57c | 1,239$701 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700.79 | 237 | 32.9%78 W · 159 L | -20.7wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc69b…2076backed Cloud9 | 23c | 1,155$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$888.31 | 49 | 32.7%16 W · 33 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xffca…0b64backed 100 Thieves | 78c | 1,143$886 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$886.34 | 214 | 57%122 W · 92 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc236…e3d3backed Cloud9 | 16c | 1,085$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$908.39 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc581…0f24backed Cloud9 | 29c | 1,030$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$730.24 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -3.1wins | -0.19per pick | 50cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3fcc…9f91backed Cloud9 | 59c | 1,019$604 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$415.5 | 600 | 22.7%136 W · 464 L | -26.3wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Cloud9 | 59c | 1,005$594 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410.46 | 104 | 55.8%58 W · 46 L | +5.9wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Cloud9 | 15c | 961.99$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$817.69 | 282 | 52.5%148 W · 134 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed 100 Thieves | 39c | 961.61$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375.9 | 565 | 51.2%289 W · 276 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3927…8ae1backed 100 Thieves | 60c | 915.92$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$549.55 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.30per pick | 50cpaid | -51.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Cloud9 | 56c | 810.39$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.92 | 930 | 49.4%459 W · 471 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x571f…1d37backed 100 Thieves | 76c | 720$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$549.5 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed 100 Thieves | 50c | 713.93$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354.71 | 779 | 29.5%230 W · 549 L | -72.4wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -39%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x15d1…2f08backed 100 Thieves | 64c | 672.7$434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$433.65 | 75 | 44%33 W · 42 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked 100 Thieves | 53c | 636.58$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338.18 | 308 | 35.4%109 W · 199 L | -23.8wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x999a…9a25backed 100 Thieves | 53c | 603.02$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320.18 | 161 | 44.7%72 W · 89 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41d1…bac0backed Cloud9 | 53c | 601.74$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.74 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba58…6d74backed 100 Thieves | 55c | 600$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.6 | 255 | 55.7%142 W · 113 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Cloud9 | 43c | 600$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344.61 | 601 | 54.2%326 W · 275 L | +24.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked 100 Thieves | 72c | 592.87$429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$428.72 | 287 | 43.2%124 W · 163 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…f258backed 100 Thieves | 48c | 553.52$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.67 | 492 | 55.3%272 W · 220 L | +23.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked 100 Thieves | 62c | 505.04$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.01 | 962 | 45.1%434 W · 528 L | -18.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed Cloud9 | 40c | 500$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 320 | 47.8%153 W · 167 L | +8.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed 100 Thieves | 46c | 500$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 176 | 54.5%96 W · 80 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa5be…2bfbbacked Cloud9 | 21c | 487.75$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$387.75 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 24cpaid | +28%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6cd3…226ebacked Cloud9 | 28c | 479.24$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$343.89 | 164 | 20.1%33 W · 131 L | -20.1wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -49.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed 100 Thieves | 32c | 473.52$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.7 | 178 | 53.9%96 W · 82 L | +8.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9aeb…2729backed 100 Thieves | 68c | 447.15$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.06 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked 100 Thieves | 37c | 425.21$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.81 | 785 | 62.8%493 W · 292 L | +56.2wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5c5f…5449backed 100 Thieves | 51c | 422.63$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.6 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdaa6…3e62backed 100 Thieves | 48c | 410$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.1 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2748…d345backed Cloud9 | 12c | 407.69$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357.69 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +42.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00a8…d2c8backed 100 Thieves | 60c | 402.6$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.56 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26fb…67b8backed 100 Thieves | 58c | 396.57$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.6 | 80 | 66.3%53 W · 27 L | +8.5wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +20%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2266…138abacked 100 Thieves | 50c | 396.17$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.09 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked 100 Thieves | 55c | 379.99$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.48 | 1,601 | 37.5%600 W · 1,001 L | -75.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf9b…2013backed Cloud9 | 17c | 375.5$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.16 | 187 | 35.3%66 W · 121 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed 100 Thieves | 5c | 372$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.66 | 76 | 35.5%27 W · 49 L | -7.9wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1b47…d814backed 100 Thieves | 62c | 364.21$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.81 | 43 | 58.1%25 W · 18 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ad…be4ebacked 100 Thieves | 61c | 354.98$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.54 | 210 | 55.2%116 W · 94 L | +10.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6eba…b143backed 100 Thieves | 58c | 345.9$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3994…ff63backed Cloud9 | 16c | 343.75$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.75 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.28per pick | 29cpaid | +161.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x64a3…450abacked 100 Thieves | 67c | 340$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.6 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.36per pick | 61cpaid | -66.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed 100 Thieves | 55c | 329.1$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.64 | 396 | 46%182 W · 214 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24d7…9c21backed Cloud9 | 32c | 315.84$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.84 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0844…bf81backed 100 Thieves | 61c | 311.14$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 279 | 56.6%158 W · 121 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked 100 Thieves | 49c | 300$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.47 | 907 | 33.1%300 W · 607 L | -89.7wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x328e…4393backed Cloud9 | 40c | 286.54$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.54 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +151.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3e…5a7abacked 100 Thieves | 46c | 276.78$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.05 | 71 | 43.7%31 W · 40 L | -4.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf6db…25c3backed 100 Thieves | 51c | 265.02$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.46 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50a0…18ffbacked 100 Thieves | 60c | 259$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.4 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -2.9wins | -0.18per pick | 50cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x81d1…4806backed Cloud9 | 39c | 248.77$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.75 | 83 | 57.8%48 W · 35 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7238…64ebbacked Cloud9 | 29c | 248.74$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.74 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc239…509cbacked Cloud9 | 12c | 248.64$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.61 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +2.5wins | +0.83per pick | 17cpaid | +524.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Cloud9 | 37c | 246.15$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.71 | 697 | 22.8%159 W · 538 L | -94.4wins | -0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -54.7%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xebf5…b1d0backed 100 Thieves | 77c | 240.8$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.42 | 148 | 52.7%78 W · 70 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc30…c8a5backed 100 Thieves | 59c | 236.66$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 173 | 32.4%56 W · 117 L | -11.2wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -16%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xae74…f528backed 100 Thieves | 71c | 235.5$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.12 | 94 | 45.7%43 W · 51 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e8b…13e6backed 100 Thieves | 75c | 218.51$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.38 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.26per pick | 66cpaid | -44%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8442…9df5backed 100 Thieves | 69c | 217.04$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 40 | 65%26 W · 14 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 69cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb18c…694fbacked 100 Thieves | 49c | 214.9$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.3 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d1d…2717backed 100 Thieves | 58c | 214$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.12 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -3.1wins | -0.22per pick | 58cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xeefa…f400backed Cloud9 | 66c | 201$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.52 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bbb…ad2ebacked 100 Thieves | 44c | 200$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 38 | 28.9%11 W · 27 L | -4.2wins | -0.11per pick | 40cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2eba…0f3abacked 100 Thieves | 46c | 200$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 197 | 51.8%102 W · 95 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed96…d594backed 100 Thieves | 70c | 200$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe97…361ebacked 100 Thieves | 77c | 200$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 69cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: 100 Thieves vs Cloud9 (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Group Omegathis page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map 1 Rounds Handicap: 100 Thieves (-4.5) vs Cloud9 (+4.5)Cloud9 won
- Map 2 Rounds Handicap: 100 Thieves (-4.5) vs Cloud9 (+4.5)Cloud9 won
- Map Handicap: 100T (-1.5) vs Cloud9 (+1.5)Cloud9 won
- Valorant: 100 Thieves vs Cloud9 - Map 1 WinnerCloud9 won
- Valorant: 100 Thieves vs Cloud9 - Map 2 WinnerCloud9 won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.