TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x5c5f…5449

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
211
Categories scored
14
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: Mls, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Mls at 53 out of 100; worst South American Leagues at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT14634.2%50 W · 96 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick32cpaid+14.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 146 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$121Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$120.9
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$231Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+672.2%+$1,549.84
President Trump to Attend World Cup Final?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.08
Spain leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.5
Argentina leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.2
Lamine Yamal: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.99
Will Spain win on 2026-07-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.5
Spread: Argentina (-1.5)backed Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.45
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$54
Lionel Messi: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.95
Ousmane Dembélé: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+566.7%+$85
Kylian Mbappé: 2+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+296.8%+$128.26
Kylian Mbappé: 3+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.5
Exact Score: France 3 - 2 England?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$36
France vs. England: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+900%+$324
Exact Score: France 3 - 1 England?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.75
France leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.2
France vs. England: Draw at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$48
Will France vs. England end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
France vs. England: O/U 6.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$10.54
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+900%+$324
Exact Score: England 1 - 1 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$58.8
England vs. Argentina: O/U 6.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$14.12
Argentina leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.1
England leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.25
Showing 25 of 146 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jun 24, 2026, EDT1850%9 W · 9 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Baltimore Orioles vs. Los Angeles Angelsbacked Los Angeles Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$17.74
Baltimore Orioles vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 7.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$58.57
Seattle Mariners vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.36
Seattle Mariners vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.64
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 11.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.4
Spread: Detroit Tigers (-3.5)backed New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$6.99
Cincinnati Reds vs. New York Yankeesbacked Cincinnati Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$97.82
Baltimore Orioles vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+25.7%+$19.34
Baltimore Orioles vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 9.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$21.59
Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)backed Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.2
Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-2.5)backed Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.01
Minnesota Twins vs. Arizona Diamondbacksbacked Minnesota Twins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$108
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 10.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.4
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 11.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.04
Cleveland Guardians vs. Houston Astrosbacked Houston Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$16.69
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Atlanta Bravesbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+150%+$19.08
Cincinnati Reds vs. New York Yankees: O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.6
Chicago White Sox vs. Detroit Tigersbacked Detroit Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+53%+$12.8
All 18 picks, newest first.
Middle Eastlast resolved Aug 21, 2026, EDT922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.12per pick35cpaid-49.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Middle East — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$53.63
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.93
Will Netanyahu wear a Yarmulke at next meeting with Trump?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.63
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$82.74
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$57.72
Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$54.87
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.19
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.24
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.31
All 9 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference Leaguelast resolved Aug 20, 2026, EDT60%0 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagueslast resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT60%0 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Aug 4, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick33cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier Leaguelast resolved Aug 17, 2026, EDT50%0 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Premier League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian Leaguelast resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.18per pick7cpaid+3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Asian League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Aug 8, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.11per pick36cpaid-34.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Valorant Inactivelast resolved Aug 7, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.24per pick49cpaid-66.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Valorant — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Mlslast resolved Aug 19, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.79per pick21cpaid+368.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Mls — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Philadelphia Union vs. Inter Miami CF end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+368.7%+$84.96
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagueslast resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
IF Brommapojkarna vs. Degerfors IF: O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.66
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.84
All 1 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 19, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
WNBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Toronto Tempo vs. Connecticut Sunbacked Connecticut Sun · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.13
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.