MLB · resolved market
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 10.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x122fb9e4e68e61fcdafd28c1f32732ca5ac7bc237da6c73588a68fa98ea344b7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $117,455
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $119,636
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $117,455 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 57 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4bff…fc26backed Under | 44c | 82,842$36,318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46,523.91 | 436 | 47%205 W · 231 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Over | 56c | 47,578$26,742 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26,742.32 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Over | 56c | 20,000$11,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,200 | 1,292 | 50.2%648 W · 644 L | +18.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Under | 56c | 19,776$11,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,776.3 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 44c | 17,480$7,760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,759.51 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 56c | 5,003$2,802 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,801.83 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 56c | 4,000$2,260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,260 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Over | 56c | 3,923$2,216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,216.24 | 1,572 | 48.3%759 W · 813 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44f0…432cbacked Under | 42c | 3,739$1,570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,168.62 | 410 | 51.7%212 W · 198 L | +14.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 26c | 3,506$926 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$925.68 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 56c | 2,656$1,501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500.52 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Over | 56c | 937$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$524.72 | 1,521 | 48.6%739 W · 782 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over | 8c | 720$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.2 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29b0…3f3cbacked Over | 56c | 695.73$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.61 | 192 | 48.4%93 W · 99 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb2e…7821backed Over | 56c | 520$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.4 | 738 | 49.3%364 W · 374 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c8e…a316backed Over | 56c | 500$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 226 | 38.5%87 W · 139 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 56c | 493.96$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.09 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 56c | 488$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.44 | 2,296 | 49.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L | +37.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Over | 56c | 479.57$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.56 | 856 | 45.3%388 W · 468 L | +18.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Over | 56c | 399$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.44 | 614 | 50.8%312 W · 302 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c10…b6a4backed Under | 55c | 362.14$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.14 | 114 | 46.5%53 W · 61 L | -6.9wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Over | 56c | 353$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.68 | 1,569 | 51.1%801 W · 768 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf19…ca28backed Under | 60c | 300$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Under | 56c | 266$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.04 | 1,843 | 43.6%804 W · 1,039 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Over | 43c | 226.7$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.48 | 1,269 | 51.1%648 W · 621 L | +23.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Over | 12c | 199$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1fa8…0b19backed Over | 43c | 198.88$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.52 | 405 | 54.8%222 W · 183 L | +17.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed3…274cbacked Over | 43c | 189.7$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.57 | 586 | 49.5%290 W · 296 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fa…51e5backed Under | 44c | 180$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.55 | 294 | 46.6%137 W · 157 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked Over | 34c | 150$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.12 | 1,147 | 31.6%362 W · 785 L | -97.5wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd100…853dbacked Over | 43c | 148.42$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.82 | 541 | 52.1%282 W · 259 L | +12.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40d6…9892backed Over | 58c | 115.21$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.54 | 344 | 51.5%177 W · 167 L | -8.2wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8482…3f7abacked Over | 56c | 105$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.8 | 1,062 | 49.2%523 W · 539 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ac…8de4backed Over | 43c | 72.88$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.34 | 185 | 51.4%95 W · 90 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Over | 56c | 70$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.25 | 390 | 53.6%209 W · 181 L | +12.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under | 43c | 67.99$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.89 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1631…072dbacked Under | 65c | 64.55$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.59 | 773 | 53.9%417 W · 356 L | +35.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8098…5646backed Over | 43c | 60.09$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.84 | 515 | 55.7%287 W · 228 L | +19.5wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Over | 58c | 53$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.99 | 1,708 | 49.9%852 W · 856 L | -17.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Over | 59c | 50$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.5 | 1,172 | 49.1%575 W · 597 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb155…ca84backed Under | 56c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 352 | 48%169 W · 183 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27b1…3813backed Over | 56c | 50$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 179 | 53.1%95 W · 84 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed Under | 40c | 49.24$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.54 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38ef…8800backed Over | 55c | 45.19$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.85 | 424 | 48.1%204 W · 220 L | -9.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69ee…6e35backed Over | 56c | 45$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.25 | 147 | 45.6%67 W · 80 L | -6.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd8ac…b73dbacked Over | 43c | 43.53$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.72 | 115 | 51.3%59 W · 56 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c5f…5449backed Over | 56c | 40$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.4 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26dd…0249backed Over | 43c | 35.19$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.13 | 271 | 46.9%127 W · 144 L | -8.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Over | 39c | 34.07$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.33 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x829a…a748backed Over | 43c | 29.23$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.57 | 187 | 51.9%97 W · 90 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Over | 55c | 25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.75 | 1,836 | 50.8%932 W · 904 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked Over | 43c | 24.07$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.35 | 452 | 46.2%209 W · 243 L | -18.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x409d…8f47backed Under | 44c | 23.27$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.03 | 110 | 50.9%56 W · 54 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2638…8e2dbacked Over | 57c | 20.85$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.88 | 132 | 52.3%69 W · 63 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Under | 78c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.4 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd78e…6421backed Over | 56c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 237 | 50.6%120 W · 117 L | -11.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…7b57backed Over | 60c | 16.67$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 10.5this page
- Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Colorado RockiesColorado Rockies won
- Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Colorado Rockies: 1st 5 Innings O/U 6.5Under won
- Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 11.5Under won
- Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 12.5Under won
- Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 13.5Under won
- Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 14.5Under won
- Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 8.5Under won
- Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Colorado Rockies (-1.5)Pittsburgh Pirates won
- Spread: Colorado Rockies (-2.5)Pittsburgh Pirates won
- Spread: Colorado Rockies (-3.5)Pittsburgh Pirates won
- Spread: Pittsburgh Pirates (-1.5)Colorado Rockies won
- Spread: Pittsburgh Pirates (-2.5)Colorado Rockies won
- Spread: Pittsburgh Pirates (-3.5)Colorado Rockies won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.