MLB · resolved market
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 11.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7ca0523e63ee3ed1cfe404ea5526d3768842a646312264fc50b438932ee4c0b1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $513,262
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $513,712
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $513,262 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 117 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4bff…fc26backed Under | 52c | 313,426$162,707 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150,718.51 | 436 | 47%205 W · 231 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Over | 47c | 150,000$70,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70,500 | 358 | 54.5%195 W · 163 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e94…5ba1backed Under | 50c | 141,322$70,661 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70,661.19 | 469 | 49%230 W · 239 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…23c4backed Over | 50c | 100,000$49,977 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49,976.61 | 550 | 53.1%292 W · 258 L | +20.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x65c1…2988backed Over | 50c | 60,000$30,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30,000 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Over | 49c | 51,327$25,279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,279.22 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7a2…ae70backed Over | 50c | 30,000$15,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,000 | 116 | 56.9%66 W · 50 L | +8.1wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa804…2a75backed Over | 47c | 25,264$11,936 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,936.12 | 291 | 47.1%137 W · 154 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Under | 50c | 20,000$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,000 | 411 | 49.1%202 W · 209 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 49c | 16,819$8,238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,237.85 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b88…8f33backed Over | 50c | 12,500$6,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,250 | 448 | 51.6%231 W · 217 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70ef…e6ddbacked Over | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb272…5030backed Over | 49c | 10,000$4,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,899.99 | 362 | 46.1%167 W · 195 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78b0…9f1abacked Under | 51c | 9,752$4,973 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,778.41 | 390 | 47.4%185 W · 205 L | -11.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 49c | 5,870$2,886 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,886.03 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Over | 49c | 5,486$2,667 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,666.91 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 71c | 3,485$2,466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,019.33 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 27c | 2,435$663 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$662.64 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcba5…cd88backed Over | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 660 | 50.2%331 W · 329 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae82…faf0backed Over | 51c | 2,000$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,020 | 246 | 51.6%127 W · 119 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 48c | 1,796$855 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$854.84 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58b9…ee8bbacked Under | 51c | 1,600$816 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$784 | 752 | 48.8%367 W · 385 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Over | 50c | 1,517$753 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$753.4 | 1,345 | 47.7%642 W · 703 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Under | 51c | 1,408$717 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$690.16 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb1cb…2345backed Over | 47c | 1,313$617 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$617.11 | 68 | 55.9%38 W · 30 L | +4.8wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Over | 50c | 1,300$647 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$647 | 958 | 50%479 W · 479 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x815f…1eefbacked Under | 53c | 1,299$688 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$610.43 | 912 | 52.4%478 W · 434 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a30…8abdbacked Under | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 680 | 53.2%362 W · 318 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Under | 50c | 981.57$491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490.79 | 1,836 | 50.8%932 W · 904 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb2e…7821backed Over | 50c | 920$456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$455.57 | 738 | 49.3%364 W · 374 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 49c | 747.69$364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$363.88 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5966…af5dbacked Under | 51c | 687$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336.63 | 272 | 49.3%134 W · 138 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x041b…d3ebbacked Over | 39c | 682.82$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266 | 120 | 49.2%59 W · 61 L | -4.3wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Over | 48c | 600$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288 | 859 | 52.6%452 W · 407 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcaeb…a226backed Under | 64c | 533.75$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.15 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.26per pick | 58cpaid | +47.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c8e…a316backed Over | 47c | 500$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235 | 226 | 38.5%87 W · 139 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8482…3f7abacked Over | 49c | 480$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.71 | 1,062 | 49.2%523 W · 539 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 36c | 469.67$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.04 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…aa44backed Under | 50c | 421.38$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.69 | 515 | 45.2%233 W · 282 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Over | 50c | 420$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 2,290 | 51%1,167 W · 1,123 L | +23.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4658…4131backed Under | 49c | 409.99$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.09 | 491 | 58.9%289 W · 202 L | +30.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x10d4…d953backed Over | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 117 | 44.4%52 W · 65 L | -9.0wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Over | 50c | 384$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.39 | 1,569 | 51.1%801 W · 768 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe947…b01fbacked Over | 7c | 311.5$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.92 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Over | 50c | 265$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.5 | 920 | 54%497 W · 423 L | +23.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20e5…118dbacked Under | 50c | 250$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125 | 514 | 49.2%253 W · 261 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fa…51e5backed Under | 51c | 249.3$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.67 | 294 | 46.6%137 W · 157 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaab4…5a40backed Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 162 | 51.9%84 W · 78 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ca6…4b74backed Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 449 | 49.2%221 W · 228 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…6084backed Over | 39c | 200$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 591 | 50.3%297 W · 294 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa65c…509dbacked Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 243 | 50.2%122 W · 121 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under | 51c | 184.99$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.99 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Over | 27c | 169.15$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.63 | 1,119 | 45.5%509 W · 610 L | +16.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Over | 15c | 168.06$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.66 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9ea…b781backed Over | 48c | 144.68$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.45 | 568 | 51.4%292 W · 276 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8726…0f36backed Over | 50c | 140$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 34 | 64.7%22 W · 12 L | +5.3wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +31%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x25c1…7e8ebacked Over | 50c | 128.52$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.26 | 196 | 54.1%106 W · 90 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 52c | 126.99$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.95 | 2,296 | 49.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L | +37.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e46…42dfbacked Over | 51c | 125.71$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.11 | 172 | 50.6%87 W · 85 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x683b…c863backed Over | 48c | 125$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -2.2wins | -0.20per pick | 57cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2725…e7d1backed Over | 48c | 125$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.2 | 358 | 49.4%177 W · 181 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86ee…511fbacked Over | 51c | 121.35$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.89 | 243 | 50.6%123 W · 120 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40d6…9892backed Over | 50c | 120.13$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.75 | 344 | 51.5%177 W · 167 L | -8.2wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe722…57c5backed Over | 50c | 120$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 945 | 49%463 W · 482 L | -38.2wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xebf5…b1d0backed Over | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…b23ebacked Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,279 | 51.2%655 W · 624 L | -19.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x294b…22d2backed Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 80 | 46.3%37 W · 43 L | -4.2wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc6…b20dbacked Over | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 619 | 48.6%301 W · 318 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Over | 49c | 89.99$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.1 | 2,376 | 49.7%1,182 W · 1,194 L | +17.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c5f…5449backed Over | 15c | 89.26$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.04 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed3…274cbacked Over | 51c | 78.08$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.82 | 586 | 49.5%290 W · 296 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Under | 71c | 76.56$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.28 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd100…853dbacked Over | 51c | 75.31$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.41 | 541 | 52.1%282 W · 259 L | +12.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c97…c20bbacked Over | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 625 | 54.2%339 W · 286 L | +18.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87f8…7de3backed Under | 51c | 60$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.4 | 381 | 42%160 W · 221 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf22…7f19backed Under | 50c | 52.94$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.47 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Under | 65c | 50$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.5 | 2,995 | 50.8%1,521 W · 1,474 L | -36.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55d6…1f24backed Under | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 312 | 58%181 W · 131 L | +15.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Over | 48c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.15 | 390 | 53.6%209 W · 181 L | +12.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0d0…028abacked Over | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66c0…5fc2backed Over | 51c | 43.14$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 252 | 56.7%143 W · 109 L | +9.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc875…3005backed Over | 51c | 43.14$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Under | 50c | 40.83$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.42 | 2,945 | 47.6%1,401 W · 1,544 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0469…5eb0backed Over | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 155 | 49.7%77 W · 78 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb155…ca84backed Over | 35c | 40$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 352 | 48%169 W · 183 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x193a…2b55backed Over | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 234 | 55.1%129 W · 105 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa25a…04b7backed Under | 52c | 38.27$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.47 | 145 | 46.2%67 W · 78 L | -6.4wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Under | 50c | 37$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.62 | 2,947 | 51.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5dc…0f05backed Over | 51c | 35.29$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad81…d891backed Under | 50c | 33.78$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.89 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2077…8161backed Under | 50c | 31.86$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.93 | 342 | 55.3%189 W · 153 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07e0…ac5cbacked Over | 48c | 30.92$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.84 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27b1…3813backed Over | 47c | 30.39$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.28 | 179 | 53.1%95 W · 84 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb76…28f3backed Over | 51c | 30.16$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.38 | 75 | 42.7%32 W · 43 L | -5.9wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa4dd…23ffbacked Under | 51c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.7 | 394 | 40.9%161 W · 233 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x522f…1164backed Under | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 392 | 50.3%197 W · 195 L | +18.0wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb58c…4f15backed Under | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ac…8de4backed Over | 51c | 29.98$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.29 | 185 | 51.4%95 W · 90 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54d1…13f4backed Over | 50c | 28.56$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.28 | 391 | 51.9%203 W · 188 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2851…d63cbacked Under | 65c | 26.64$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.32 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 11.5this page
- Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Colorado RockiesColorado Rockies won
- Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Colorado Rockies: 1st 5 Innings O/U 6.5Under won
- Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 10.5Under won
- Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 12.5Under won
- Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 13.5Under won
- Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 14.5Under won
- Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 8.5Under won
- Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Colorado Rockies (-1.5)Pittsburgh Pirates won
- Spread: Colorado Rockies (-2.5)Pittsburgh Pirates won
- Spread: Colorado Rockies (-3.5)Pittsburgh Pirates won
- Spread: Pittsburgh Pirates (-1.5)Colorado Rockies won
- Spread: Pittsburgh Pirates (-2.5)Colorado Rockies won
- Spread: Pittsburgh Pirates (-3.5)Colorado Rockies won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.