Premier League · resolved market
Burnley FC vs. West Ham United FC: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x899d3f5dea167b499d731cacee41b9b0ea15a169c9deb327ab916dfab9c554bd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $32,231
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $33,607
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,231 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 12c | 4,066$491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,574.55 | 6,047 | 45.9%2,776 W · 3,271 L | -21.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb0b…3790backed Under | 1c | 3,251$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.51 | 61 | 21.3%13 W · 48 L | +5.9wins | +0.10per pick | 12cpaid | +183%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5c5f…5449backed Under | 1c | 3,248$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.48 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 38c | 3,230$1,222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,007.13 | 755 | 42.3%319 W · 436 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 16c | 2,600$417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,183.82 | 4,696 | 41.7%1,957 W · 2,739 L | +21.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 72c | 2,066$1,486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,485.53 | 812 | 34.7%282 W · 530 L | -24.2wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a03…92d3backed Under | 71c | 1,477$1,049 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,048.8 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.24per pick | 52cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8c35…78abbacked Under | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | +257.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 68c | 766.9$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520.22 | 953 | 32.5%310 W · 643 L | -8.3wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 6c | 688.22$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$645.99 | 1,615 | 34.9%564 W · 1,051 L | -28.7wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…ea53backed Over | 32c | 501.5$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$341.02 | 146 | 52.1%76 W · 70 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddb3…5fe5backed Under | 52c | 300$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -2.7wins | -0.10per pick | 58cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xef54…1444backed Under | 68c | 260.11$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.8 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.8wins | -0.28per pick | 48cpaid | -46.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa54d…deb8backed Under | 77c | 259.74$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 61 | 60.7%37 W · 24 L | +5.2wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbfb3…f890backed Over | 13c | 243.68$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.9 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -2.3wins | -0.16per pick | 42cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3388…61d7backed Over | 32c | 200$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136 | 170 | 62.4%106 W · 64 L | +13.2wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf762…d55fbacked Under | 54c | 200$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.13per pick | 58cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 23c | 183.47$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.11 | 541 | 32.9%178 W · 363 L | -28.6wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x488c…a2dabacked Under | 69c | 173.91$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 221 | 56.1%124 W · 97 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3612…3302backed Under | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 32c | 148.78$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.17 | 532 | 40%213 W · 319 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50dd…efc0backed Under | 78c | 102.96$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.31 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.6wins | -0.78per pick | 78cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1792…118abacked Over | 10c | 100$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 87 | 63.2%55 W · 32 L | +7.2wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3594…6533backed Under | 56c | 80.36$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8955…3a83backed Under | 56c | 80.36$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Over | 44c | 75.36$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.2 | 452 | 49.6%224 W · 228 L | +13.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Over | 32c | 54.56$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.22 | 329 | 51.4%169 W · 160 L | +11.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac5…f963backed Over | 31c | 48.3$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 74 | 56.8%42 W · 32 L | +7.0wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Under | 68c | 40.56$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.58 | 105 | 43.8%46 W · 59 L | -8.9wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -20%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc790…c73ebacked Under | 78c | 25.64$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.78per pick | 78cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7285…3273backed Under | 53c | 24.42$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.9 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 68c | 15$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 1,589 | 53.3%847 W · 742 L | +39.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Burnley FC vs. West Ham United FC: O/U 3.5this page
- Burnley FC vs. West Ham United FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Burnley FC vs. West Ham United FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Burnley FC vs. West Ham United FC: Burnley FC O/U 2.5Under won
- Burnley FC vs. West Ham United FC: O/U 0.5Over won
- Burnley FC vs. West Ham United FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Burnley FC vs. West Ham United FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Burnley FC vs. West Ham United FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Burnley FC vs. West Ham United FC: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Burnley FC (-1.5)West Ham United FC won
- Spread: West Ham United FC (-1.5)Burnley FC won
- Spread: West Ham United FC (-2.5)Burnley FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.