Premier League · resolved market
Spread: West Ham United FC (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x53afd6478c44ff38b6394813d6d4da2ff36417a999b0712e549b4d3c4eab4a7b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Burnley FCof West Ham United FC, Burnley FC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,588
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,852
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,588 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbb0b…3790backed Burnley FC | 18c | 3,247$584 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,662.59 | 65 | 20%13 W · 52 L | +5.8wins | +0.09per pick | 11cpaid | +165.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed West Ham United FC | 34c | 1,721$586 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$585.99 | 768 | 42.6%327 W · 441 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Burnley FC | 25c | 1,712$429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,282.9 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Burnley FC | 24c | 686.56$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520.54 | 578 | 33%191 W · 387 L | -29.9wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Burnley FC | 25c | 621.16$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$465.87 | 1,662 | 34.9%580 W · 1,082 L | -32.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d0…a1c5backed West Ham United FC | 27c | 619.18$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 108 | 47.2%51 W · 57 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed West Ham United FC | 75c | 545.41$409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$409 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Burnley FC | 70c | 499.62$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.95 | 886 | 35.8%317 W · 569 L | -13.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -17%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked West Ham United FC | 14c | 297.06$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.18 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | +2.0wins | +0.11per pick | 22cpaid | +56.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfb3…f890backed West Ham United FC | 77c | 163.52$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.24 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -2.3wins | -0.16per pick | 42cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Burnley FC | 25c | 150$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.5 | 773 | 36.4%281 W · 492 L | -10.3wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…1a49backed West Ham United FC | 34c | 147.06$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 378 | 40.5%153 W · 225 L | -15.8wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked West Ham United FC | 11c | 114.17$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.73 | 1,934 | 42.4%820 W · 1,114 L | -43.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ff…b178backed West Ham United FC | 22c | 90.91$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc785…4ef2backed Burnley FC | 25c | 88.96$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.72 | 54 | 29.6%16 W · 38 L | -4.7wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed West Ham United FC | 78c | 72.74$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.73 | 284 | 56.7%161 W · 123 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked West Ham United FC | 21c | 60$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.3 | 102 | 48%49 W · 53 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d93…fdefbacked Burnley FC | 38c | 50$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 76 | 52.6%40 W · 36 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Burnley FC | 73c | 41.52$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.4 | 96 | 60.4%58 W · 38 L | +7.0wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4b7a…2ecabacked Burnley FC | 76c | 36.97$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.97 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +32%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Burnley FC | 80c | 35.71$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.14 | 232 | 43.5%101 W · 131 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Burnley FC | 36c | 34.35$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.06 | 157 | 49.7%78 W · 79 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Burnley FC | 68c | 32.5$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.4 | 93 | 58.1%54 W · 39 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…1b78backed Burnley FC | 68c | 25.91$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.29 | 142 | 53.5%76 W · 66 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked West Ham United FC | 75c | 16$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 296 | 43.6%129 W · 167 L | -11.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: West Ham United FC (-1.5)this page
- Burnley FC vs. West Ham United FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Burnley FC vs. West Ham United FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Burnley FC vs. West Ham United FC: Burnley FC O/U 2.5Under won
- Burnley FC vs. West Ham United FC: O/U 0.5Over won
- Burnley FC vs. West Ham United FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Burnley FC vs. West Ham United FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Burnley FC vs. West Ham United FC: O/U 3.5Over won
- Burnley FC vs. West Ham United FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Burnley FC vs. West Ham United FC: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Burnley FC (-1.5)West Ham United FC won
- Spread: West Ham United FC (-2.5)Burnley FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.