Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will Aston Villa win on 2026-08-12?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa390f8871f025c2f86861d56cde9ac26fa5a6453076d7ea861ec08f39e5d7482
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $505,556
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $471,871
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $505,556 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 183 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Yes | 5c | 62,922$3,146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,146.1 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a67…df6fbacked Yes | 17c | 42,798$7,372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,371.64 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.13per pick | 24cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadea…b96dbacked Yes | 19c | 25,000$4,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,749.97 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -70.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64e9…eb4cbacked Yes | 17c | 19,987$3,398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,397.81 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41d2…d7c9backed Yes | 18c | 16,250$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fba…d08abacked Yes | 20c | 14,999$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,999.85 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2759…2b38backed Yes | 19c | 12,455$2,342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,341.83 | 56 | 32.1%18 W · 38 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb3…97cfbacked Yes | 3c | 10,717$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$353.69 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -74.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe734…4f0cbacked Yes | 19c | 10,000$1,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,899.99 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa797…dedebacked Yes | 6c | 9,501$576 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$575.87 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb619…5068backed Yes | 20c | 6,000$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,199.97 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94d7…b8e0backed Yes | 2c | 5,840$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0ac…de2abacked Yes | 19c | 5,000$950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$950 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 9c | 4,912$446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$445.65 | 2,175 | 37.6%817 W · 1,358 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf3a6…71bdbacked Yes | 3c | 4,000$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb0b…3790backed Yes | 4c | 3,659$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.58 | 93 | 20.4%19 W · 74 L | +8.6wins | +0.09per pick | 11cpaid | +65.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf77e…b594backed Yes | 2c | 3,500$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4454…f6bfbacked Yes | 8c | 3,476$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.47 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd806…5131backed Yes | 6c | 3,293$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -61.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 12c | 3,219$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$398.9 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c5f…5449backed Yes | 4c | 3,173$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.93 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Yes | 20c | 3,009$602 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$601.8 | 112 | 35.7%40 W · 72 L | -6.9wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2393…d54dbacked Yes | 18c | 3,000$532 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$531.99 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | +3.4wins | +0.10per pick | 26cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes | 21c | 2,904$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599.84 | 880 | 48.2%424 W · 456 L | +17.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6a2…9524backed Yes | 3c | 1,969$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09f6…e0d6backed Yes | 17c | 1,941$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe471…c87cbacked Yes | 18c | 1,800$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.99 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Yes | 16c | 1,749$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.83 | 433 | 44.6%193 W · 240 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ede…0a84backed No | 80c | 1,707$1,366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$341.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8829…06e0backed Yes | 25c | 1,630$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$407.93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x191f…4a8dbacked No | 75c | 1,500$1,125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375 | 174 | 46%80 W · 94 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x800a…0b4dbacked Yes | 17c | 1,404$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60c1…0438backed Yes | 19c | 1,329$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.6 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3eae…a3f0backed Yes | 8c | 1,300$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe053…fd08backed Yes | 14c | 1,234$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.76 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.22per pick | 63cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Yes | 3c | 1,229$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.16 | 978 | 46.2%452 W · 526 L | -3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x62ff…6b66backed Yes | 2c | 1,110$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 29cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 9c | 1,045$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.37 | 116 | 50.9%59 W · 57 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x264a…55d4backed Yes | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…8470backed Yes | 3c | 1,000$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 81 | 29.6%24 W · 57 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c81…98b7backed Yes | 20c | 1,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 80c | 983.15$785 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.71 | 662 | 50.6%335 W · 327 L | +22.9wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x73e5…e3d8backed No | 80c | 976.22$781 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.24 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 70cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Yes | 20c | 949$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.8 | 555 | 45.8%254 W · 301 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a83…920dbacked No | 77c | 929.11$715 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.7 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 80c | 886.6$709 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.32 | 969 | 47.5%460 W · 509 L | +13.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Yes | 6c | 875.09$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.98 | 109 | 39.4%43 W · 66 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f41…8f27backed Yes | 17c | 775$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.22 | 85 | 40%34 W · 51 L | -4.7wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x48d7…3745backed Yes | 20c | 750$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 80c | 696.16$557 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.56 | 695 | 48.9%340 W · 355 L | +19.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d91…40d3backed Yes | 18c | 675.28$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.55 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ac5…7611backed Yes | 17c | 598.34$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a2d…6db9backed Yes | 17c | 588.24$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.33per pick | 42cpaid | +57.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd546…657bbacked Yes | 4c | 582.49$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 7cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3ba…e793backed Yes | 15c | 574.17$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.13 | 45 | 55.6%25 W · 20 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68af…93d2backed Yes | 17c | 538.92$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.25per pick | 54cpaid | -45%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0178…3f7abacked Yes | 17c | 535$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.05 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc96…2791backed No | 79c | 500$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff57…1802backed Yes | 10c | 500$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6868…24f0backed Yes | 4c | 499.76$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.33 | 207 | 40.1%83 W · 124 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +11%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50cc…a534backed Yes | 21c | 481.19$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x48fb…ced4backed Yes | 3c | 466.4$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.99 | 23 | 0%0 W · 23 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb55d…bb77backed Yes | 6c | 461.63$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b5…ca2dbacked Yes | 20c | 459.5$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.9 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 16cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3360…e09bbacked Yes | 17c | 452.88$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7596…f13abacked Yes | 17c | 449.1$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3a0…b873backed Yes | 17c | 441.18$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d13…cd85backed Yes | 18c | 416.67$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd325…8c5fbacked Yes | 9c | 400$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.45 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -47%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Yes | 8c | 382.1$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.34 | 580 | 61.9%359 W · 221 L | +22.5wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Yes | 8c | 374.04$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.97 | 852 | 60.9%519 W · 333 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2bef…f80abacked Yes | 20c | 350$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -65.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…bf20backed Yes | 3c | 312.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 39 | 17.9%7 W · 32 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d32…98c6backed No | 79c | 300$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaedb…91fdbacked Yes | 21c | 290.01$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.9 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | -3.1wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -17%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x10f6…6e6fbacked Yes | 17c | 289.02$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8a…2562backed Yes | 17c | 289.02$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c22…04f5backed Yes | 17c | 285.64$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf83b…44a2backed Yes | 18c | 281.38$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ca9…3c29backed Yes | 18c | 277.78$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7b8…31e6backed Yes | 20c | 264$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7cea…371bbacked Yes | 20c | 250$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc681…7f79backed Yes | 6c | 244.59$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb8e…3dc3backed Yes | 21c | 238.1$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.18per pick | 31cpaid | -66.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3cea…e48ebacked Yes | 16c | 232.27$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.12 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.17per pick | 35cpaid | -76.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8f12…cc0ebacked Yes | 20c | 231.5$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe864…c3c4backed Yes | 19c | 227.6$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.2 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.24per pick | 56cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa2fc…b1b4backed Yes | 20c | 226.52$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.3 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedcb…54b1backed Yes | 18c | 223.33$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4dd…23ffbacked Yes | 17c | 221$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.69 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -35%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed No | 80c | 212.87$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.57 | 393 | 57.5%226 W · 167 L | +17.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3947…63a5backed Yes | 18c | 208.55$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.54 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed No | 80c | 204.58$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.92 | 191 | 63.4%121 W · 70 L | +10.5wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xceb1…7385backed No | 79c | 199.99$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7099…e06fbacked Yes | 20c | 198.23$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9930…696ebacked No | 80c | 188.21$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.64 | 149 | 31.5%47 W · 102 L | +6.5wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3090…be73backed No | 79c | 176.45$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -28%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaff3…6eccbacked Yes | 19c | 176.1$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.96 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22d1…b52bbacked Yes | 17c | 175.44$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f34…7684backed Yes | 7c | 175$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Aston Villa win on 2026-08-12?this page
- Will Paris Saint-Germain vs. Aston Villa end in a draw?No won
- Will Paris Saint-Germain win on 2026-08-12?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.