TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Europa Conference League · resolved market

Will Paris Saint-Germain vs. Aston Villa end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$335,520
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$340,390

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $335,520 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 207 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf031…c80cbacked Yes23c62,117$14,287 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,286.9630%0 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8c40…80dfbacked No77c45,000$34,650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,349.97250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-35.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x8996…fbcebacked Yes24c23,865$5,728 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,727.67850%4 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.08per pick42cpaid-6.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf6c…7e66backed Yes36c23,525$8,354 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,353.881258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes25c20,389$5,095 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,095.011,11735.8%400 W · 717 L-13.6wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9db8…2effbacked No76c20,053$15,240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,812.651118.2%2 W · 9 L-3.2wins-0.29per pick47cpaid-70.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes25c20,000$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,00021237.3%79 W · 133 L-11.1wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-23%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x999d…a1e1backed No76c15,672$11,951 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,720.781361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.9wins+0.15per pick47cpaid+28.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed No71c13,992$9,999 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,992.842,34441.6%976 W · 1,368 L+25.6wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde27…d27cbacked No77c13,800$10,626 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,174250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-35.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No75c12,819$9,614 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,204.7992050.9%468 W · 452 L+14.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2759…2b38backed Yes24c11,401$2,736 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,736.185632.1%18 W · 38 L-2.9wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-30.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x62ca…1760backed Yes24c10,050$2,412 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,411.884544.4%20 W · 25 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes23c9,438$2,181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,180.753,72647%1,750 W · 1,976 L+20.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x381b…4d74backed No77c9,000$6,930 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,0701100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x322e…ef2cbacked No77c8,799$6,775 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,023.771100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked No76c7,738$5,846 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,892.151,03746.1%478 W · 559 L-2.9wins0.00per pick46cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x52d8…99aebacked Yes24c6,740$1,618 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,617.63360.6%20 W · 13 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc96…2791backed No76c6,306$4,792 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,513.37475%3 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.11per pick64cpaid+9.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1a95…3a16backed No77c6,000$4,620 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,3803100%3 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+51.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x54ea…f74abacked No75c5,898$4,424 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,474.6757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick64cpaid-19.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c1c…7980backed No77c4,500$3,465 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,035944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-13.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc0fd…a0a9backed No77c4,500$3,465 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,034.94742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-23.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd1d9…a1b2backed No76c4,300$3,268 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,032250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-34.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No75c4,129$3,097 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,032.231,04650.2%525 W · 521 L+28.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc6ad…1b86backed No76c3,960$3,010 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$950.39944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-32.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d60…453dbacked Yes18c3,799$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7003554.3%19 W · 16 L+2.8wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+26.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Yes24c3,672$881 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$881.2811235.7%40 W · 72 L-6.9wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-23.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No78c3,382$2,655 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$727.277141.8%322 W · 449 L-8.8wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-24.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2918…fe4abacked No77c3,350$2,570 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$780.5757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x18b6…babfbacked Yes22c3,235$725 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7251163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.1wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+12.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaf18…3ca8backed Yes17c2,845$484 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$483.623432.4%11 W · 23 L-2.1wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-7.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked No75c2,719$2,040 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$679.8696947.5%460 W · 509 L+13.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+8.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8944…da4bbacked Yes33c2,558$840 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8402729.6%8 W · 19 L-2.6wins-0.10per pick39cpaid-48.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No75c2,112$1,584 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$527.9869548.9%340 W · 355 L+19.1wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+2.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Yes14c2,097$298 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$297.9811650.9%59 W · 57 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed No75c2,004$1,503 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$501.0866250.6%335 W · 327 L+22.9wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6a67…df6fbacked Yes23c2,000$460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$460911.1%1 W · 8 L-1.1wins-0.13per pick24cpaid-25.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x18f0…3d5ebacked No67c2,000$1,340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6602100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+59.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa8bd…b7aabacked Yes24c1,919$461 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$460.56425%1 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.12per pick37cpaid-49%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3761…203cbacked Yes18c1,889$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3401442.9%6 W · 8 L+1.3wins+0.10per pick33cpaid+19.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1b47…d814backed No76c1,853$1,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$452.6312057.5%69 W · 51 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x77fe…a351backed Yes16c1,819$291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29110%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8e90…4f65backed No76c1,809$1,375 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$434.255763.2%36 W · 21 L+3.7wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+14%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4362…9e47backed Yes17c1,529$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$260425%1 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick23cpaid-57.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed No75c1,500$1,125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37543344.6%193 W · 240 L-8.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes25c1,500$375 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37588048.2%424 W · 456 L+17.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed No75c1,466$1,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$366.538744.4%172 W · 215 L+12.9wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+20.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No73c1,208$886 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$321.6127644.9%124 W · 152 L+0.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-16.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d63…9075backed Yes23c1,160$271 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$271.2985260.9%519 W · 333 L+29.5wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+1.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9028…8608backed Yes23c1,151$269 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$269.1658061.9%359 W · 221 L+22.5wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+2.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed No74c1,016$747 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$269.0179732.2%257 W · 540 L-16.1wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-26.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x73e5…e3d8backed No75c1,000$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$250875%6 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick70cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf6ee…0e41backed No75c1,000$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2501553.3%8 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick60cpaid-13.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd863…78b0backed Yes39c999.99$390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed No75c968.52$724 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.1257149.6%283 W · 288 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa797…dedebacked No61c962.07$587 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$374.76250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.16per pick34cpaid-18.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x805a…0635backed Yes24c887.99$213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$213.1210%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3456…57ecbacked No77c873.02$672 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.791100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0f22…a26ebacked Yes25c786.91$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.28per pick22cpaid+159%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf42a…8470backed Yes16c776.98$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.328129.6%24 W · 57 L+3.6wins+0.04per pick25cpaid-12.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa8eb…0acbbacked Yes20c708.34$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.5710948.6%53 W · 56 L-5.7wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-9.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa49f…3408backed Yes25c705.28$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$176.3210%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x55fd…2c99backed Yes25c680$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17030%0 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3cea…e48ebacked Yes32c648.79$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207.611118.2%2 W · 9 L-1.8wins-0.17per pick35cpaid-76.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5c18…2f76backed No73c612.64$445 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168.1210939.4%43 W · 66 L-4.7wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-25.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd806…5131backed Yes16c606.41$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96520%1 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick17cpaid-61.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xb9ee…e513backed Yes25c600$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15020%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x499c…931cbacked Yes17c579.26$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.13per pick37cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x579a…b0a7backed Yes17c577.03$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-35.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xc5ff…abd0backed Yes24c555$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.2333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid-25.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7e33…73e7backed Yes36c548.97$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200520%1 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick29cpaid+35.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xff34…bf20backed Yes27c518.2$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1403917.9%7 W · 32 L-2.0wins-0.05per pick23cpaid-36.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa0f2…1848backed Yes38c512$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.565935.6%21 W · 38 L+0.1wins0.00per pick35cpaid-17.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6868…24f0backed Yes25c500$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12520740.1%83 W · 124 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick41cpaid+11%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd2a4…ed34backed Yes24c500$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12020%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd08b…b74cbacked No75c495$371 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.75250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-33.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x17d6…f1e2backed Yes13c492$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.96862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.14per pick49cpaid+11%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x08b2…bed6backed Yes23c492$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.1610%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x81a8…9c69backed No75c463$347 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.732941.4%12 W · 17 L-3.0wins-0.10per pick52cpaid-18.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No71c425$302 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.2578544.8%352 W · 433 L+13.6wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-8.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x22d1…b52bbacked Yes24c416.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10020%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3fcb…f5ebbacked Yes24c416.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10011833.9%40 W · 78 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick33cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x54f0…7725backed Yes24c416.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick25cpaid-12.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfcd0…b719backed Yes24c416.66$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002020%4 W · 16 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick21cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa5d0…2527backed Yes24c414.75$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.5420%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Yes25c413.59$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.3465835.6%234 W · 424 L-14.1wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-11.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf536…e40cbacked Yes25c400$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001127.3%3 W · 8 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick26cpaid-16.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xed8b…7954backed Yes25c400$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick42cpaid-14.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd325…8c5fbacked Yes24c400$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-47%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x319f…500bbacked Yes26c384.62$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001050%5 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+24.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x41d1…bac0backed Yes17c371.65$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.13per pick37cpaid-12.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0391…ef9bbacked Yes18c365.61$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$652412.5%3 W · 21 L-1.4wins-0.06per pick18cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x587b…2622backed No70c360$252 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.1513666.2%90 W · 46 L+12.2wins+0.09per pick57cpaid+14.7%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x295a…2ff2backed Yes14c345$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.310%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc23d…82c8backed No78c314.41$244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.162650%13 W · 13 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+102.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf2e2…e51dbacked Yes25c312$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7830%0 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1db5…ef2fbacked Yes24c312$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.8840%0 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x61d4…3593backed Yes17c294.1$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503948.7%19 W · 20 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-16.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb8e…3dc3backed Yes25c280$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70812.5%1 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.18per pick31cpaid-66.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.