TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xd1d9…a1b2

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
104
Categories scored
18
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: Middle East, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Middle East at 56 out of 100; worst CS2 at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 11, 2026, EDT2466.7%16 W · 8 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick63cpaid-1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 24 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$582Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$582.5
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+66%+$197.93
Will France win on 2026-07-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$476Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+62%+$295.1
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$95Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+37%+$35.24
Will Portugal vs. Spain end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$142Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$141.55
Will Colombia win on 2026-07-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$44.93
Will Spain win on 2026-07-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$35.14
Will England win on 2026-07-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$29.87
Will Germany win on 2026-06-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$109Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$108.94
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$86.9
Will Croatia vs. Ghana end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.06
Will Senegal win on 2026-06-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+25%+$25
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$20
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$65.93
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$33.33
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$114Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$53.62
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Canada win on 2026-06-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$8.96
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$17.62
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$30
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$90
Will United States win on 2026-06-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+107.9%+$47.25
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$21.43
All 24 picks, newest first.
Tennislast resolved Aug 24, 2026, EDT1855.6%10 W · 8 L+1.8wins+0.10per pick46cpaid+18.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Tennis — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Roehampton 2: Inaki Montes-De La Torre vs Oskari Paldaniusbacked Inaki Montes-De La Torre · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,188Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+93.6%+$1,112
ITF W75 Kursumlijska Banja 3 Women: Ksenia Zaytseva vs Lidia Enchevabacked Lidia Encheva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$1,120Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$880
ITF W75 Kursumlijska Banja 3 Women: Samira De Stefano vs Antonia Vergara Riverabacked Samira De Stefano · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$1,793Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$1,195.2
Cancun: Lloyd Harris vs Abdullah Shelbayhbacked Lloyd Harris · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$180Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$120
Roehampton: Radu Albot vs Leonardo Rossibacked Leonardo Rossi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$794Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$794.3
Cincinnati Open: Novak Djokovic vs Thiago Agustin Tirantebacked Novak Djokovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$9,649Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$9,649.36
Cincinnati Open: Jelena Ostapenko vs Magdalena Frechbacked Jelena Ostapenko · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$1,405Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,405.32
Warsaw: Carol Young Suh Lee vs Aliona Faleibacked Carol Young Suh Lee · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$320Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$680
Warsaw: Katarzyna Kawa vs Justina Mikulskytebacked Justina Mikulskyte · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$109Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$211.2
National Bank Open: Elina Svitolina vs Jessica Bouzas Maneirobacked Jessica Bouzas Maneiro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$200.4
National Bank Open: Magdalena Frech vs Leolia Jeanjeanbacked Magdalena Frech · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$295Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$231.88
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Brandon Nakashima vs Taylor Fritzbacked Taylor Fritz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$592Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$394.4
The Memphis Classic: Kristina Liutova vs Elvina Kalievabacked Elvina Kalieva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$420Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$420
The Memphis Classic: Talia Gibson vs Tatjana Mariabacked Talia Gibson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$2,615Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,614.6
Liberec: Zdenek Kolar vs Jan Kumstatbacked Jan Kumstat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$176Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$253.7
Bloomfield Hills: Jacob Fearnley vs Michael Zhengbacked Michael Zheng · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$865Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$865
Livesport Prague Open: Tereza Valentova vs Daria Snigurbacked Daria Snigur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$840Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$1,160
Livesport Prague Open: Lilli Tagger vs Sara Bejlekbacked Sara Bejlek · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$340Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$340
All 18 picks, newest first.
Lollast resolved Aug 21, 2026, EDT1450%7 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-13.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Lol — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: KT Rolster vs T1 - Game 1 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$92.4
LoL: SK Gaming vs Fnatic - Game 2 Winnerbacked SK Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$405Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$404.8
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs Nongshim Red Force - Game 2 Winnerbacked Nongshim Red Force · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$4,315Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$2,534.13
LoL: Natus Vincere vs Shifters (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$3,841Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$1,807.68
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs T1 (BO3) - KeSPA Cup Last Chance Qualifierbacked Nongshim Red Force · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$410Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$159.6
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs Team WE (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked ThunderTalk Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$922Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$921.76
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs Kiwoom DRX (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Groupbacked HANJIN BRION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$216Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$216.24
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Groupbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$242Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$241.96
LoL: Karmine Corp Blue vs Galions (BO1) - LFL Regular Seasonbacked Karmine Corp Blue · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT+284.6%+$212.38
LoL: INTZ e-Sports vs RMD Gaming (BO1) - Circuito Desafiante Regular Seasonbacked INTZ e-Sports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$438Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$116.34
LoL: T1 vs DN SOOPers (BO1) - KeSPA Cup Group Stagebacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$3,079Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$919.73
LoL: FURIA Esports vs LOS (BO3) - CBLOL Regular Seasonbacked FURIA Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$520Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$520
LoL: Team Vitality vs G2 Esports (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$2,400Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+25%+$600
LoL: Ultra Prime vs LNG Esports (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvanabacked Ultra Prime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$509Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$508.87
All 14 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT911.1%1 W · 8 L-1.2wins-0.13per pick24cpaid-55.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$26
Backpack FDV above $700M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.83
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$1,353Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$1,352.97
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$5,305Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$5,305.05
Over $20M committed to the Gensyn public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$1,033Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$1,033
Over $30M committed to the Gensyn public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$62.9
Over $50M committed to the Gensyn public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$53
Will Almanak FDV above $50M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+300%+$48
Over $2M committed to the Makina public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$202Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$202
All 9 picks, newest first.
UFClast resolved Aug 15, 2026, EDT862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick58cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 330: Vicente Luque vs. Tresean Gore (Middleweight, Early Prelims)backed Tresean Gore · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$3,108Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+100%+$3,107.5
UFC Fight Night: Daniel Rodriguez vs. Uroš Medic (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Uroš Medic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$459Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$144.96
UFC Fight Night: Ludovit Klein vs. Tofiq Musayev (Lightweight, Prelims)backed Ludovit Klein · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$783Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$783.15
UFC Fight Night: Oban Elliott vs. Michael Oliveira (Welterweight, Prelims)backed Michael Oliveira · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$1,971Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$622.32
UFC Fight Night: Alexander Poppeck vs. Jovan Leka (Heavyweight, Prelims)backed Jovan Leka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$2,000Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$702.7
UFC Fight Night: Stephanie Luciano vs. Marina Spasic (Women's Strawweight, Prelims)backed Marina Spasic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$630Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$630
UFC Fight Night: Ismael Bonfim vs. Axel Sola (Lightweight, Prelims)backed Axel Sola · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$960Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$540
UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Conor McGregor · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$5,172Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,171.75
All 8 picks, newest first.
CS2last resolved Aug 15, 2026, EDT837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.19per pick57cpaid-34.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
CS2 — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: BIG vs Spirit (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Abacked BIG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$1,485Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,485
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 100 Thieves (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Cbacked 100 Thieves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$1,714Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,714.49
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs FaZe (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Bbacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$2,078Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+100%+$2,078
Counter-Strike: Johnny Speeds vs Betclic Apogee Esports (BO3) - Stake Pulse Beat I Playoffsbacked Betclic Apogee Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$987Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$775.28
Counter-Strike: Eternal Fire vs INOX Division (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Playoffsbacked Eternal Fire · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$589Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$588.6
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ (BO5) - BLAST Bounty Playoffsbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$830Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$829.5
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winnerbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$60.91
Counter-Strike: Wildcard vs TheMongolz (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierbacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$2,882Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+47.6%+$1,373.05
All 8 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 17, 2026, EDT580%4 W · 1 L+1.7wins+0.34per pick46cpaid+49.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
Middle East — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2last resolved Aug 16, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+12.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-56.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference Leaguelast resolved Aug 12, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-34.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain win on 2026-08-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$2,426Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,426.37
Will Paris Saint-Germain vs. Aston Villa end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$3,268Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 12, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$1,032
All 2 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Boston Red Sox vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Boston Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$296Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$333.9
All 1 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jul 31, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: Global Esports vs Gen.G Esports (BO3) - VCT Pacific Group Alphabacked Gen.G Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$1,421Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$1,479
All 1 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$44.93
All 1 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Mls — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Los Angeles FC win on 2026-08-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$541Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+37.8%+$204.76
All 1 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
F1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Lando Norris be the 2025 Drivers Champion?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$1,346Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+37%+$497.84
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Dec 9, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Trump declassifies UFO files in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$538Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$538.38
All 1 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 6, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.71per pick71cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Drake Maye win the 2025–26 NFL MVP award?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$100
All 1 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.77per pick77cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Google (GOOGL) hit $335 before 2026??backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$201Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$201
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.