Fifa International · resolved market
Will Portugal vs. Spain end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x97d575b72f12355f393ac5dfd2258ba24c06fdbe5355451b8d59256dfc3748e6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,164,729
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,765,836
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,164,729 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 2,447 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf031…c80cbacked Yes | 26c | 279,426$72,651 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72,650.77 | 335 | 38.2%128 W · 207 L | +9.7wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86d2…731dbacked No | 74c | 268,473$198,670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69,802.95 | 73 | 43.8%32 W · 41 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 46c | 232,363$107,516 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124,847.19 | 1,144 | 39.2%448 W · 696 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed No | 73c | 228,311$166,131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62,180.14 | 299 | 52.5%157 W · 142 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 30c | 204,807$61,554 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61,553.96 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbb…9a17backed No | 70c | 150,061$105,239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44,821.97 | 174 | 52.3%91 W · 83 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 47c | 126,066$59,177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59,177.33 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 67c | 108,082$72,039 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36,042.94 | 2,407 | 37.7%908 W · 1,499 L | -48.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd532…25efbacked Yes | 49c | 90,695$44,419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44,418.81 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ab9…d821backed No | 72c | 83,743$60,295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,447.94 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 62cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked No | 72c | 75,000$54,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,999.92 | 387 | 34.4%133 W · 254 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfaa2…e80abacked No | 73c | 69,999$50,899 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,099.67 | 139 | 59.7%83 W · 56 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0eaa…c521backed Yes | 27c | 69,148$18,670 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,669.96 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed No | 66c | 66,240$43,808 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,432.03 | 244 | 41.8%102 W · 142 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 24c | 60,354$14,364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,364.4 | 792 | 31.1%246 W · 546 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Yes | 35c | 60,313$21,109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,109.44 | 423 | 45.6%193 W · 230 L | +10.8wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99c4…18e7backed No | 61c | 47,224$29,025 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,199.55 | 130 | 37.7%49 W · 81 L | -10.7wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x507c…85efbacked Yes | 28c | 42,608$11,930 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,930.22 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3a…e8fdbacked No | 37c | 41,977$15,532 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,445.78 | 425 | 41.6%177 W · 248 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x69c5…1e01backed Yes | 10c | 41,913$4,135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,134.84 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4408…1b6abacked Yes | 28c | 41,360$11,581 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,580.8 | 76 | 42.1%32 W · 44 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6185…2965backed No | 72c | 41,172$29,644 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,528.02 | 48 | 58.3%28 W · 20 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 73c | 40,999$29,740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,259 | 1,262 | 47.5%600 W · 662 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked No | 61c | 40,055$24,528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,527.66 | 1,224 | 43.4%531 W · 693 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x108e…b771backed Yes | 27c | 40,000$10,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,800 | 59 | 30.5%18 W · 41 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30d5…36bfbacked Yes | 28c | 38,814$10,868 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,867.96 | 226 | 39.4%89 W · 137 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10ff…5088backed Yes | 7c | 38,772$2,548 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,548.09 | 369 | 39.6%146 W · 223 L | -12.0wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb5f6…aba9backed Yes | 27c | 37,037$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x96ac…dc89backed Yes | 27c | 37,000$9,990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,990 | 89 | 13.5%12 W · 77 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 14cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 56c | 36,412$20,288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,288.31 | 2,439 | 29%707 W · 1,732 L | -65.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Yes | 28c | 35,714$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 137 | 42.3%58 W · 79 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4810…289abacked Yes | 28c | 35,044$9,812 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,812.4 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca97…49f6backed No | 58c | 34,498$20,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,497.72 | 130 | 36.2%47 W · 83 L | +5.3wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb31e…c120backed No | 61c | 31,000$18,885 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,114.92 | 72 | 69.4%50 W · 22 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 65cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xafc2…d32ebacked Yes | 0c | 30,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47fa…8bf8backed Yes | 69c | 28,986$20,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,000 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec8f…8df8backed No | 61c | 28,553$17,416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,136.48 | 157 | 46.5%73 W · 84 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 72c | 25,300$18,216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,083.96 | 760 | 48.7%370 W · 390 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1c1…16a4backed Yes | 66c | 24,715$16,273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,273.24 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 69cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f41…8f27backed No | 73c | 23,983$17,508 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,475.48 | 402 | 39.8%160 W · 242 L | -13.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed No | 72c | 23,771$17,107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,664.1 | 2,307 | 37.6%867 W · 1,440 L | -16.7wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb73…53b0backed Yes | 27c | 22,563$6,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,200 | 159 | 30.8%49 W · 110 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f41…5ffcbacked Yes | 27c | 21,000$5,670 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,670 | 342 | 49.1%168 W · 174 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Yes | 28c | 20,889$5,842 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,842.15 | 2,271 | 39.5%896 W · 1,375 L | +10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44a1…bd21backed Yes | 18c | 20,642$3,736 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,735.68 | 320 | 31.6%101 W · 219 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf742…e039backed Yes | 27c | 20,000$5,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,400 | 264 | 47.7%126 W · 138 L | +9.8wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Yes | 20c | 19,535$3,837 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,836.73 | 333 | 37.8%126 W · 207 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x122c…fbedbacked No | 79c | 18,664$14,706 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,957.68 | 312 | 32.4%101 W · 211 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x203d…2b2cbacked Yes | 27c | 18,519$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 65 | 26.2%17 W · 48 L | -4.2wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 73c | 18,260$13,284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,975.32 | 3,077 | 47%1,447 W · 1,630 L | -11.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed No | 72c | 18,039$12,988 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,050.89 | 108 | 36.1%39 W · 69 L | +8.7wins | +0.08per pick | 28cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbe7e…6d00backed Yes | 7c | 18,022$1,288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,288.17 | 316 | 44.9%142 W · 174 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12ec…41aebacked No | 72c | 17,500$12,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,899.96 | 41 | 34.1%14 W · 27 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b1d…1a19backed Yes | 29c | 17,459$5,026 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,026.47 | 60 | 21.7%13 W · 47 L | -6.0wins | -0.10per pick | 32cpaid | -52.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2ec2…aebbbacked Yes | 34c | 17,080$5,837 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,836.94 | 50 | 34%17 W · 33 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 73c | 16,361$11,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,460.22 | 3,213 | 47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60e4…c771backed Yes | 50c | 16,000$7,920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,920 | 59 | 39%23 W · 36 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1681…b1c7backed Yes | 31c | 15,074$4,668 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,668.26 | 77 | 40.3%31 W · 46 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x71ac…d2b1backed Yes | 67c | 14,925$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 73cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0563…f41cbacked Yes | 7c | 14,790$973 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$973.14 | 150 | 40%60 W · 90 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b7b…a88dbacked Yes | 68c | 14,703$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -6.6wins | -0.24per pick | 58cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x04aa…2e69backed No | 66c | 14,670$9,682 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,987.8 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95f5…779fbacked No | 72c | 14,571$10,465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,105.8 | 372 | 23.4%87 W · 285 L | -25.7wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -58.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5deb…ccddbacked No | 47c | 13,858$6,543 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,315.68 | 350 | 34.3%120 W · 230 L | -24.0wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaa77…15a5backed Yes | 44c | 13,270$5,779 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,778.79 | 105 | 62.9%66 W · 39 L | +9.0wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6c08…5c69backed No | 73c | 13,000$9,468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,531.6 | 115 | 52.2%60 W · 55 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba38…fb57backed Yes | 27c | 12,658$3,418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,417.66 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.12per pick | 61cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f34…7684backed Yes | 30c | 12,573$3,807 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,807.05 | 658 | 35%230 W · 428 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0520…e4e0backed Yes | 26c | 12,180$3,190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,190.39 | 253 | 36.8%93 W · 160 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1971…cae6backed Yes | 5c | 12,000$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 21cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b9a…5f69backed Yes | 1c | 11,662$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.79 | 146 | 8.2%12 W · 134 L | +8.4wins | +0.06per pick | 2cpaid | +90.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8fef…06c9backed Yes | 59c | 11,557$6,819 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,818.52 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 67cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Yes | 28c | 10,714$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,999.92 | 224 | 51.3%115 W · 109 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…94a1backed Yes | 28c | 10,333$2,893 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,893.17 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4066…200bbacked Yes | 5c | 10,259$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51ea…150fbacked Yes | 28c | 10,221$2,862 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,861.81 | 193 | 32.1%62 W · 131 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb187…0ab8backed Yes | 28c | 10,114$2,832 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,832 | 79 | 40.5%32 W · 47 L | +5.2wins | +0.07per pick | 34cpaid | +6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x67bb…b6efbacked Yes | 45c | 10,000$4,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,500 | 75 | 50.7%38 W · 37 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa7c2…73bfbacked Yes | 27c | 10,000$2,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,700 | 561 | 51%286 W · 275 L | +15.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc463…9a2fbacked No | 73c | 10,000$7,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,700 | 78 | 59%46 W · 32 L | +3.8wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb87b…3626backed Yes | 28c | 10,000$2,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,800 | 245 | 26.5%65 W · 180 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb51…26dcbacked Yes | 10c | 9,988$974 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$973.76 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 12cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2fc…b1b4backed Yes | 68c | 9,936$6,776 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,775.54 | 366 | 34.4%126 W · 240 L | -24.4wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5b0e…0b82backed Yes | 28c | 9,710$2,719 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,718.72 | 135 | 42.2%57 W · 78 L | +7.9wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9602…4d02backed No | 69c | 9,282$6,371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,911.53 | 319 | 45.1%144 W · 175 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae2b…90eabacked Yes | 27c | 9,193$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 206 | 33%68 W · 138 L | -7.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54a5…ee3dbacked Yes | 27c | 9,100$2,502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,502 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f45…180bbacked Yes | 66c | 9,091$6,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,000 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | +2.0wins | +0.10per pick | 24cpaid | +74.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 41c | 8,935$3,666 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,269.57 | 450 | 39.6%178 W · 272 L | -9.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3a4…097fbacked Yes | 11c | 8,787$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 100 | 45%45 W · 55 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e56…d55ebacked No | 78c | 8,167$6,360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,806.51 | 158 | 46.2%73 W · 85 L | -6.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ed…4418backed Yes | 7c | 8,137$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 124 | 28.2%35 W · 89 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f5b…e747backed No | 72c | 7,800$5,616 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,183.96 | 484 | 41.9%203 W · 281 L | -16.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb8d…908ebacked Yes | 65c | 7,751$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 43 | 27.9%12 W · 31 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7353…4b0dbacked Yes | 27c | 7,410$2,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000.7 | 87 | 52.9%46 W · 41 L | +9.1wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe6bf…16b9backed Yes | 27c | 7,402$1,999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,998.51 | 91 | 48.4%44 W · 47 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b7f…d56cbacked Yes | 28c | 7,292$2,022 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,021.74 | 825 | 37.1%306 W · 519 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaadd…3d67backed Yes | 27c | 7,072$1,943 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,943 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x23c8…f293backed No | 72c | 7,000$5,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,960 | 73 | 45.2%33 W · 40 L | +4.2wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ccb…6cb3backed Yes | 15c | 6,911$1,071 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,070.78 | 176 | 45.5%80 W · 96 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Portugal vs. Spain end in a draw?this page
- Will Portugal win on 2026-07-06?No won
- Will Spain win on 2026-07-06?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.