Fifa International · resolved market
Will Spain win on 2026-07-06?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb8c4eb2bc36fb256ac730f0d1d05cf5ff6649a7d8d5ed779544dfa068da1cd18
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,204,481
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,918,780
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,204,481 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 6,240 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf031…c80cbacked No | 49c | 1,150,543$564,561 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$564,560.69 | 335 | 38.2%128 W · 207 L | +9.7wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ee8…89debacked No | 50c | 769,597$387,434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$387,433.84 | 59 | 42.4%25 W · 34 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56b4…a84bbacked Yes | 51c | 500,000$255,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244,999.8 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c1e…bab3backed Yes | 49c | 450,000$221,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229,000 | 223 | 48.4%108 W · 115 L | +11.4wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x85f0…3f67backed Yes | 51c | 389,998$198,899 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191,099.06 | 73 | 46.6%34 W · 39 L | +4.2wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8c6…4a81backed Yes | 49c | 371,799$182,182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189,617.66 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 54c | 365,762$197,242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168,519.65 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Yes | 78c | 344,790$267,389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77,400.83 | 747 | 52.2%390 W · 357 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Yes | 51c | 339,999$172,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167,999.75 | 423 | 45.6%193 W · 230 L | +10.8wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10a6…4d8bbacked Yes | 50c | 327,420$164,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163,179.76 | 644 | 46.4%299 W · 345 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8a5…122bbacked No | 50c | 299,998$148,999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148,999.14 | 79 | 41.8%33 W · 46 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73c5…2f80backed No | 44c | 231,332$101,183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101,183.24 | 158 | 44.3%70 W · 88 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed No | 48c | 227,125$109,962 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109,962.33 | 299 | 52.5%157 W · 142 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86d2…731dbacked No | 49c | 224,365$109,939 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109,938.63 | 73 | 43.8%32 W · 41 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6d1…286abacked No | 48c | 198,466$94,305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94,305.14 | 174 | 47.1%82 W · 92 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed No | 42c | 191,881$80,546 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80,546.37 | 244 | 41.8%102 W · 142 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7ac…f764backed Yes | 50c | 187,304$93,652 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93,652.19 | 65 | 43.1%28 W · 37 L | -5.7wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3a…e8fdbacked No | 50c | 185,932$93,345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93,345.42 | 425 | 41.6%177 W · 248 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked No | 50c | 184,274$91,249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91,248.89 | 2,271 | 39.5%896 W · 1,375 L | +10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 53c | 154,504$81,395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81,395.08 | 1,144 | 39.2%448 W · 696 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf751…fec8backed No | 50c | 152,500$76,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76,250 | 97 | 47.4%46 W · 51 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d2e…896dbacked No | 54c | 148,493$79,967 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79,966.95 | 148 | 43.2%64 W · 84 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd532…25efbacked Yes | 51c | 136,501$70,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66,500.75 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x104b…d9d4backed No | 50c | 117,742$58,871 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58,870.81 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28d3…c27cbacked Yes | 51c | 116,932$59,824 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57,107.55 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x02af…aaa9backed No | 49c | 113,968$55,844 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55,844.32 | 134 | 48.5%65 W · 69 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3af1…d739backed No | 50c | 111,111$55,556 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55,555.5 | 116 | 47.4%55 W · 61 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5257…3e2abacked No | 49c | 100,000$49,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48,999.99 | 99 | 48.5%48 W · 51 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb451…d7b3backed No | 58c | 100,000$58,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57,999.74 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35e2…9dcbbacked Yes | 51c | 98,039$50,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48,039.22 | 90 | 45.6%41 W · 49 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82ba…afeabacked Yes | 51c | 94,838$48,463 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46,374.4 | 153 | 37.3%57 W · 96 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd86e…45cebacked No | 49c | 87,461$42,856 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42,855.65 | 88 | 56.8%50 W · 38 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed Yes | 50c | 80,000$40,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40,000 | 163 | 31.9%52 W · 111 L | -11.2wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x118c…e13ebacked Yes | 50c | 80,000$40,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40,000 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.27per pick | 53cpaid | +42.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf6…0cbdbacked No | 51c | 78,015$39,648 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39,647.71 | 135 | 43%58 W · 77 L | -8.5wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9a54…7191backed No | 50c | 77,729$38,540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38,539.61 | 105 | 56.2%59 W · 46 L | +7.4wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x69c5…1e01backed Yes | 48c | 73,284$35,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38,284.18 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Yes | 51c | 73,133$37,298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35,835.16 | 1,985 | 32.5%645 W · 1,340 L | -47.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1350…0841backed No | 50c | 69,200$34,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34,600 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7923…6c0bbacked No | 49c | 67,396$33,024 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33,023.85 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 53c | 65,417$34,539 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34,539.28 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 50c | 63,385$31,472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31,912.18 | 792 | 31.1%246 W · 546 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2a0…7e90backed Yes | 74c | 63,324$46,861 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,463.01 | 80 | 37.5%30 W · 50 L | +5.2wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc29e…a2cabacked Yes | 50c | 62,848$31,424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31,424 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -27%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d06…7910backed Yes | 52c | 60,000$31,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,800 | 143 | 43.4%62 W · 81 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb376…a463backed No | 52c | 59,950$31,174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31,174 | 73 | 43.8%32 W · 41 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa0e…2a0ebacked No | 51c | 59,000$30,090 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30,090 | 342 | 47.7%163 W · 179 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34c5…0832backed Yes | 51c | 58,824$30,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,823.53 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd471…edf8backed No | 49c | 58,474$28,734 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28,734.06 | 66 | 45.5%30 W · 36 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ec…e8f1backed Yes | 51c | 58,309$29,738 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,571.56 | 65 | 24.6%16 W · 49 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked Yes | 74c | 57,546$42,387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,158.35 | 319 | 45.5%145 W · 174 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85bb…9adabacked Yes | 40c | 56,847$23,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33,847.12 | 324 | 29.9%97 W · 227 L | +10.4wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f41…8f27backed No | 50c | 56,220$28,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28,159.93 | 402 | 39.8%160 W · 242 L | -13.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa974…ef79backed Yes | 51c | 55,000$27,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27,099.99 | 222 | 29.7%66 W · 156 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6a6…9458backed Yes | 48c | 54,678$26,245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,432.51 | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | +4.2wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed No | 55c | 54,459$29,691 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29,690.52 | 771 | 52.8%407 W · 364 L | +17.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1a…bc89backed Yes | 51c | 54,231$27,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,730.77 | 109 | 59.6%65 W · 44 L | +9.7wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe719…b74dbacked Yes | 46c | 53,815$24,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29,014.93 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed No | 52c | 52,987$27,681 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27,680.82 | 75 | 45.3%34 W · 41 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56d8…1ccebacked No | 44c | 51,500$22,854 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,853.55 | 235 | 40.4%95 W · 140 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed Yes | 51c | 50,000$25,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,750 | 534 | 48.5%259 W · 275 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9854…6bf2backed No | 52c | 50,000$26,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,999.96 | 178 | 40.4%72 W · 106 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99c4…18e7backed No | 54c | 47,913$25,661 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,660.89 | 130 | 37.7%49 W · 81 L | -10.7wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xec8d…dd71backed No | 49c | 47,394$23,223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,223.21 | 69 | 53.6%37 W · 32 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 48c | 46,342$22,457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,457.4 | 1,262 | 47.5%600 W · 662 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67bb…b6efbacked Yes | 73c | 46,000$33,620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,380 | 75 | 50.7%38 W · 37 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69dd…1964backed Yes | 45c | 45,128$20,369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,759.24 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85e8…474abacked No | 54c | 43,841$23,463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,462.67 | 78 | 43.6%34 W · 44 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9301…3b67backed Yes | 73c | 40,500$29,690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,810 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -2.6wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -44%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x30d5…36bfbacked Yes | 51c | 40,350$20,577 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,773 | 226 | 39.4%89 W · 137 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf152…64aabacked No | 51c | 40,000$20,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,399.75 | 52 | 63.5%33 W · 19 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6eb7…3cd4backed Yes | 51c | 39,216$20,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,215.76 | 70 | 35.7%25 W · 45 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -31%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x94d7…bef5backed Yes | 47c | 38,410$18,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,330.26 | 263 | 20.5%54 W · 209 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c52…1a59backed Yes | 51c | 37,500$19,125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,375 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed Yes | 71c | 36,708$26,179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,529.33 | 420 | 43.1%181 W · 239 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x108e…b771backed Yes | 41c | 35,875$14,618 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,256.89 | 59 | 30.5%18 W · 41 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c10…8977backed Yes | 51c | 35,700$18,079 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,620.41 | 61 | 59%36 W · 25 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d74…a37fbacked No | 43c | 35,347$15,341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,340.89 | 208 | 39.4%82 W · 126 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +33%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4137…586cbacked Yes | 50c | 35,000$17,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,349.98 | 43 | 60.5%26 W · 17 L | +3.3wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd202…8973backed No | 57c | 34,453$19,638 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,638.09 | 93 | 45.2%42 W · 51 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c3f…e87cbacked Yes | 52c | 33,651$17,497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,153.32 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -3.8wins | -0.15per pick | 47cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1610…ae49backed Yes | 52c | 33,606$17,475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,130.66 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d5d…191dbacked No | 51c | 31,556$16,093 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,093.34 | 68 | 42.6%29 W · 39 L | -4.3wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Yes | 51c | 30,890$15,699 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,191.02 | 2,307 | 37.6%867 W · 1,440 L | -16.7wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d1a…0df6backed Yes | 51c | 30,600$15,606 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,994 | 98 | 39.8%39 W · 59 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbb…9a17backed Yes | 42c | 30,531$12,823 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,708.12 | 174 | 52.3%91 W · 83 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f3…d99cbacked No | 50c | 30,180$15,112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,112 | 105 | 55.2%58 W · 47 L | +5.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c74…4ef0backed No | 50c | 30,000$15,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,000 | 56 | 53.6%30 W · 26 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b56…715ebacked No | 48c | 30,000$14,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,499.87 | 77 | 40.3%31 W · 46 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa080…234fbacked Yes | 49c | 30,000$14,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,299.83 | 159 | 50.3%80 W · 79 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x184f…389ebacked Yes | 51c | 28,000$14,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,720 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +43.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x95f5…779fbacked Yes | 53c | 27,946$14,843 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,103.91 | 372 | 23.4%87 W · 285 L | -25.7wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -58.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa61f…7993backed No | 51c | 27,918$14,238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,238.22 | 352 | 29.3%103 W · 249 L | +14.0wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x65b5…aa71backed Yes | 40c | 27,412$11,012 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,399.46 | 406 | 55.7%226 W · 180 L | +17.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6046…87f8backed No | 49c | 25,729$12,607 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,607.42 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad84…dcf1backed No | 49c | 25,605$12,517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,517.42 | 39 | 30.8%12 W · 27 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe7e…6d00backed Yes | 20c | 25,000$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,000 | 316 | 44.9%142 W · 174 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b47…d814backed No | 45c | 24,740$11,230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,229.89 | 565 | 41.1%232 W · 333 L | -9.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12ec…41aebacked No | 52c | 24,600$12,792 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,791.98 | 41 | 34.1%14 W · 27 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f34…7684backed Yes | 47c | 24,556$11,615 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,940.77 | 658 | 35%230 W · 428 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Spain win on 2026-07-06?this page
- Will Portugal vs. Spain end in a draw?No won
- Will Portugal win on 2026-07-06?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.