Fifa International · resolved market
Will Portugal win on 2026-07-06?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x47a079b62e331859854eedaa3bddbfb41f3f8ed4063481ba956a6ed29b61bb88
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,683,388
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,220,605
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,683,388 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 4,455 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2ebd…38cfbacked Yes | 0c | 8,030,000$11,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,000 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.18per pick | 22cpaid | +157.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed No | 76c | 516,666$392,996 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123,670.53 | 747 | 52.2%390 W · 357 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 22c | 311,412$68,952 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68,951.6 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Yes | 19c | 286,012$54,158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54,157.98 | 1,985 | 32.5%645 W · 1,340 L | -47.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed No | 76c | 275,704$210,603 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65,101.67 | 299 | 52.5%157 W · 142 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fae…78f1backed Yes | 24c | 208,333$50,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50,000 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 78c | 180,284$139,931 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40,352.98 | 1,144 | 39.2%448 W · 696 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc1b…9d59backed No | 76c | 169,996$129,497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40,499.06 | 59 | 67.8%40 W · 19 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed No | 78c | 139,727$108,478 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31,248.75 | 244 | 41.8%102 W · 142 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe539…1a08backed Yes | 0c | 130,000$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 80c | 127,798$102,022 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,775.48 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87b9…2084backed No | 78c | 127,062$99,108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27,953.61 | 22 | 18.2%4 W · 18 L | -2.9wins | -0.13per pick | 32cpaid | -73.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x613b…823abacked No | 76c | 113,235$86,285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,949.42 | 142 | 50%71 W · 71 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 77c | 109,182$84,222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,959.8 | 2,407 | 37.7%908 W · 1,499 L | -48.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb37…0cf3backed Yes | 23c | 108,694$25,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,999.64 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b9a…5f69backed Yes | 0c | 105,000$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405 | 146 | 8.2%12 W · 134 L | +8.4wins | +0.06per pick | 2cpaid | +90.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d18…24a6backed No | 77c | 99,999$76,999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,999.8 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +2.5wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x44a1…bd21backed Yes | 0c | 99,819$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.82 | 320 | 31.6%101 W · 219 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1a…bc89backed Yes | 24c | 85,900$20,616 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,616 | 109 | 59.6%65 W · 44 L | +9.7wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa6cd…2f2cbacked No | 77c | 79,999$61,899 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,099.84 | 41 | 78%32 W · 9 L | +5.0wins | +0.12per pick | 66cpaid | +35%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbb…9a17backed Yes | 24c | 79,336$18,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,950.16 | 174 | 52.3%91 W · 83 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x072f…ffddbacked No | 75c | 75,000$56,567 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,432.46 | 84 | 50%42 W · 42 L | -6.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 77c | 72,381$55,454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,927.69 | 1,262 | 47.5%600 W · 662 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad7…ae48backed No | 77c | 69,999$53,899 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,099.77 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3eeb…c387backed Yes | 22c | 69,412$15,271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,270.59 | 74 | 55.4%41 W · 33 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f34…7684backed Yes | 23c | 69,000$16,056 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,055.53 | 658 | 35%230 W · 428 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31d8…e99bbacked Yes | 23c | 53,863$12,389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,388.6 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -2.3wins | -0.14per pick | 31cpaid | -65.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0288…e926backed Yes | 23c | 50,000$11,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,500 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +3.1wins | +0.21per pick | 33cpaid | +95.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1610…ae49backed No | 78c | 48,288$37,665 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,623.43 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb225…3d54backed Yes | 23c | 45,000$10,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,350 | 95 | 25.3%24 W · 71 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 21c | 44,976$9,664 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,664.07 | 792 | 31.1%246 W · 546 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1333…e463backed No | 77c | 43,887$33,793 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,093.92 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.18per pick | 61cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7af7…4c89backed Yes | 23c | 42,755$9,834 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,833.68 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a49…7d21backed Yes | 1c | 41,946$498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$498.36 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 11cpaid | +111.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99c4…18e7backed No | 79c | 41,676$32,766 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,909.95 | 130 | 37.7%49 W · 81 L | -10.7wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdb85…152fbacked Yes | 24c | 41,667$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 187 | 40.6%76 W · 111 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4408…1b6abacked Yes | 19c | 41,360$7,858 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,858.39 | 76 | 42.1%32 W · 44 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1e0…206dbacked Yes | 24c | 41,290$9,910 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,909.65 | 88 | 26.1%23 W · 65 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x108e…b771backed Yes | 23c | 40,000$9,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,200 | 59 | 30.5%18 W · 41 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x53c4…740bbacked Yes | 23c | 40,000$9,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,200 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -2.4wins | -0.14per pick | 38cpaid | -60.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x86dc…f184backed Yes | 25c | 39,789$10,107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,106.79 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x870f…6da1backed Yes | 24c | 37,077$8,740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,739.76 | 223 | 38.1%85 W · 138 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4066…200bbacked Yes | 26c | 35,246$9,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,250 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0a4…72adbacked Yes | 3c | 32,728$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 65 | 78.5%51 W · 14 L | +8.7wins | +0.13per pick | 65cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xeec5…1862backed Yes | 25c | 32,024$8,018 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,018.03 | 37 | 27%10 W · 27 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86e9…4cdfbacked Yes | 24c | 30,273$7,257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,256.59 | 362 | 47.2%171 W · 191 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b62…5cc8backed No | 77c | 30,000$23,180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,820 | 49 | 63.3%31 W · 18 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked No | 78c | 28,291$21,962 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,329.1 | 1,224 | 43.4%531 W · 693 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9602…4d02backed No | 76c | 26,404$20,072 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,331.79 | 319 | 45.1%144 W · 175 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1681…b1c7backed Yes | 21c | 25,000$5,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,250 | 77 | 40.3%31 W · 46 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x772d…45bbbacked Yes | 22c | 24,381$5,364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,363.73 | 68 | 19.1%13 W · 55 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 17cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4433…9d34backed Yes | 5c | 24,296$1,184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,184.1 | 788 | 35.3%278 W · 510 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe719…b74dbacked Yes | 25c | 24,291$6,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,020.12 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x23c8…f293backed No | 76c | 23,746$18,039 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,707.02 | 73 | 45.2%33 W · 40 L | +4.2wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…3245backed Yes | 0c | 21,827$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa66c…cd67backed Yes | 24c | 21,098$5,063 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,063.49 | 180 | 47.8%86 W · 94 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x277e…b12cbacked Yes | 24c | 20,773$4,986 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,985.64 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -67.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd34e…cc77backed Yes | 0c | 20,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbba…dbffbacked Yes | 23c | 20,000$4,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,600 | 37 | 18.9%7 W · 30 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 25cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa080…234fbacked No | 77c | 20,000$15,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,599.92 | 159 | 50.3%80 W · 79 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 77c | 18,690$14,353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,336.61 | 3,077 | 47%1,447 W · 1,630 L | -11.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c08…5c69backed No | 77c | 18,000$13,860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,139.96 | 115 | 52.2%60 W · 55 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51d5…79ddbacked Yes | 0c | 17,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 42 | 33.3%14 W · 28 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe462…1a2abacked Yes | 23c | 16,862$3,878 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,878.34 | 71 | 33.8%24 W · 47 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -12%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf072…467abacked Yes | 24c | 16,667$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 94 | 46.8%44 W · 50 L | +5.2wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf209…97e1backed Yes | 24c | 16,411$3,896 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,896.13 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86ba…5aa0backed No | 77c | 15,262$11,752 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,510.26 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed No | 79c | 15,197$12,070 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,126.87 | 2,307 | 37.6%867 W · 1,440 L | -16.7wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4020…95debacked Yes | 23c | 14,746$3,416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,415.77 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1420…9daabacked Yes | 23c | 14,345$3,304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,304.07 | 361 | 23.5%85 W · 276 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 76c | 14,192$10,786 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,406.13 | 760 | 48.7%370 W · 390 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 77c | 13,639$10,465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,173.64 | 3,213 | 47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b47…d814backed Yes | 24c | 13,576$3,258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,258.19 | 565 | 41.1%232 W · 333 L | -9.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0da…c2e8backed Yes | 26c | 13,346$3,470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,470 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa34c…a5dabacked Yes | 24c | 13,286$3,189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,188.62 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 77c | 13,283$10,163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,120.01 | 1,560 | 43.8%684 W · 876 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae2b…90eabacked Yes | 23c | 12,953$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 206 | 33%68 W · 138 L | -7.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3a4…097fbacked Yes | 24c | 12,500$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 100 | 45%45 W · 55 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x248c…26b6backed No | 77c | 12,000$9,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,759.89 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca89…e34abacked Yes | 0c | 11,630$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.63 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | -2.2wins | -0.14per pick | 26cpaid | -80.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec8f…8df8backed No | 77c | 11,493$8,845 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,648.26 | 157 | 46.5%73 W · 84 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b10…acabbacked No | 76c | 11,336$8,615 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,720.64 | 163 | 57.1%93 W · 70 L | +11.0wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5c1a…128fbacked Yes | 3c | 11,099$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 49 | 22.4%11 W · 38 L | +4.5wins | +0.09per pick | 13cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x55c5…1710backed Yes | 23c | 10,870$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | -2.4wins | -0.09per pick | 35cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0bcf…75c6backed Yes | 2c | 10,833$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e2f…a65abacked Yes | 24c | 10,707$2,537 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,537.22 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e1a…21e8backed Yes | 24c | 10,641$2,554 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,553.75 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.18per pick | 46cpaid | -57.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e7a…c717backed Yes | 23c | 10,533$2,423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,422.51 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9520…fa6ebacked Yes | 24c | 10,417$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 41 | 24.4%10 W · 31 L | -3.2wins | -0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -55.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2fa9…a486backed No | 77c | 10,376$8,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,376.29 | 75 | 49.3%37 W · 38 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81d1…505fbacked Yes | 1c | 10,320$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.11 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 24cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4912…c209backed Yes | 0c | 10,105$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 57 | 21.1%12 W · 45 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b05…1553backed Yes | 0c | 10,070$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 20 | 10%2 W · 18 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 7cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc75…f0b7backed Yes | 0c | 10,043$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 21 | 14.3%3 W · 18 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 10cpaid | +174.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8bfe…2d74backed Yes | 24c | 10,000$2,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,400 | 67 | 49.3%33 W · 34 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51b2…10cebacked Yes | 0c | 10,000$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 6cpaid | +62.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc1fd…948ebacked Yes | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 174 | 16.1%28 W · 146 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f80…f911backed Yes | 1c | 10,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4eac…6f53backed Yes | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1971…cae6backed Yes | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 21cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Portugal win on 2026-07-06?this page
- Will Portugal vs. Spain end in a draw?No won
- Will Spain win on 2026-07-06?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.