TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

UFC · resolved market

UFC 330: Vicente Luque vs. Tresean Gore (Middleweight, Early Prelims)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Tresean Goreof Vicente Luque, Tresean Gore
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
UFCevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$886,240
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$870,166

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $886,240 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 486 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in UFC is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in UFC
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xfe78…0319backed Vicente Luque17c115,223$19,491 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,491.3415444.2%68 W · 86 L+3.5wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-9.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x533c…2658backed Vicente Luque51c81,221$41,340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41,340.181747.1%8 W · 9 L-1.9wins-0.11per pick58cpaid-27.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa710…23c4backed Vicente Luque50c69,499$34,750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34,749.5316244.4%72 W · 90 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf3c…e7cbbacked Vicente Luque49c50,275$24,543 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24,542.57825%2 W · 6 L-2.0wins-0.25per pick50cpaid-59.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3dfb…abafbacked Tresean Gore51c41,802$21,319 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,482.845044%22 W · 28 L-3.0wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-6.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Tresean Gore50c31,679$15,881 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,798.1717050.6%86 W · 84 L+9.0wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+11.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8f8c…e275backed Vicente Luque49c28,983$14,279 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,2797247.2%34 W · 38 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-11.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x656a…6077backed Tresean Gore50c27,822$13,924 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,897.871172.7%8 W · 3 L+2.4wins+0.22per pick51cpaid+37.6%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xd6c9…396dbacked Tresean Gore50c24,796$12,398 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,398.095362.3%33 W · 20 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6f3e…bcf8backed Vicente Luque50c22,222$11,111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,1113452.9%18 W · 16 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-12%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked Vicente Luque20c21,550$4,415 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,414.6715238.2%58 W · 94 L+0.7wins0.00per pick38cpaid-8.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Vicente Luque12c20,769$2,573 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,572.633132%106 W · 225 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-14.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x4bff…fc26backed Tresean Gore49c18,379$9,026 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,353.287454.1%40 W · 34 L+3.1wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+17.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x87dd…e210backed Tresean Gore49c15,000$7,350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,650366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+9.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8660…93edbacked Tresean Gore49c15,000$7,350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,650862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.13per pick50cpaid+53.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Tresean Gore49c15,000$7,350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,649.9711746.2%54 W · 63 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-3.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb31e…c120backed Tresean Gore50c10,600$5,294 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,30615641%64 W · 92 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-11.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0dc6…9889backed Tresean Gore50c10,000$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,0004942.9%21 W · 28 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe8c4…395dbacked Tresean Gore50c10,000$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,0003551.4%18 W · 17 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-9.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xed10…d2e5backed Tresean Gore72c10,000$7,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,80022661.9%140 W · 86 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6dd6…f5f4backed Tresean Gore74c9,832$7,261 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,571.0453956.6%305 W · 234 L-2.1wins0.00per pick57cpaid-4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc785…4ef2backed Vicente Luque13c9,230$1,235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,234.933852.6%20 W · 18 L+3.0wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+1.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Vicente Luque25c9,183$2,313 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,312.6435648.6%173 W · 183 L+16.8wins+0.05per pick44cpaid-0.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Vicente Luque12c9,015$1,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,099.718032.8%59 W · 121 L-6.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-24%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf1ef…8cd6backed Tresean Gore49c8,000$3,920 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,079.9312052.5%63 W · 57 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-2.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7acc…c5b9backed Vicente Luque19c7,385$1,381 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,380.88633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.13per pick47cpaid-49.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe524…d34fbacked Tresean Gore50c7,180$3,590 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,590.1811554.8%63 W · 52 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x56ac…d77ebacked Tresean Gore51c6,646$3,389 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,256.39100%9 W · 0 L+3.5wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+67.4%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0x9015…281fbacked Tresean Gore49c6,240$3,058 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,182.38862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+23.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd1d9…a1b2backed Tresean Gore50c6,215$3,108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,107.5862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick58cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x32b4…8b21backed Tresean Gore49c6,187$3,058 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,129.881758.8%10 W · 7 L+3.2wins+0.19per pick40cpaid+31%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x2e78…067ebacked Vicente Luque39c6,139$2,390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,389.763839.5%15 W · 23 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick40cpaid+0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4097…9397backed Tresean Gore49c5,600$2,744 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,8561100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2396…9485backed Vicente Luque51c5,511$2,810 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,810.392445.8%11 W · 13 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-11.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x50e4…1cedbacked Vicente Luque50c5,311$2,655 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,655.272050%10 W · 10 L-2.1wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-19.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xbe02…b9f5backed Vicente Luque5c5,001$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2503647.2%17 W · 19 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d92…8676backed Vicente Luque13c5,000$650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6503339.4%13 W · 20 L-2.1wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-33.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0385…acafbacked Tresean Gore50c5,000$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,500450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-11.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xebff…70e5backed Vicente Luque19c4,854$902 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$901.7422438.4%86 W · 138 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-28.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x58aa…a481backed Tresean Gore50c4,547$2,274 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,273.639164.8%59 W · 32 L+8.4wins+0.09per pick56cpaid+15.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x151e…cedebacked Tresean Gore76c4,463$3,376 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,087.181770.6%12 W · 5 L+4.5wins+0.26per pick44cpaid+71%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xc092…0cd9backed Tresean Gore50c4,247$2,123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,123.412134.7%42 W · 79 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-12.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x087d…b872backed Tresean Gore50c4,100$2,050 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,0502100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xba5f…2753backed Tresean Gore50c4,091$2,045 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,045.391100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked Tresean Gore49c3,700$1,813 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,8878353%44 W · 39 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-7.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd353…f6acbacked Vicente Luque51c3,500$1,785 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,78525251.2%129 W · 123 L+9.1wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0ec9…1e0cbacked Tresean Gore50c3,470$1,735 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,735250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.13per pick38cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x61f1…7aefbacked Tresean Gore52c3,276$1,695 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,581.05475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.22per pick53cpaid+43.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3453…8524backed Tresean Gore52c3,259$1,695 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,564.26366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+29.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1f71…b2e4backed Tresean Gore67c2,760$1,838 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$921.776963.8%44 W · 25 L+11.8wins+0.17per pick47cpaid+24%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0xf38d…eb9abacked Tresean Gore67c2,674$1,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$873.815461.1%33 W · 21 L+6.9wins+0.13per pick48cpaid+26.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Tresean Gore50c2,500$1,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,25010664.2%68 W · 38 L+13.7wins+0.13per pick51cpaid+28.1%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0xa804…2a75backed Tresean Gore51c2,424$1,224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,2005152.9%27 W · 24 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-10%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xda16…8e5abacked Vicente Luque3c2,391$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.725139.2%20 W · 31 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick36cpaid-21.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Vicente Luque48c2,378$1,136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,136.0813636.8%50 W · 86 L-7.3wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-22.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Tresean Gore49c2,287$1,121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,166.5129133.7%98 W · 193 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-2.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x52f4…2b15backed Tresean Gore57c2,152$1,229 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$923.3416156.5%91 W · 70 L+10.2wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+67.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x72d5…d5eabacked Tresean Gore49c2,080$1,019 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,060.81100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x43e0…8618backed Tresean Gore58c2,078$1,204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$874.498434.5%29 W · 55 L-3.8wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-12.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Vicente Luque20c1,960$397 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$396.5811140.5%45 W · 66 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-30.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c0d…f8bebacked Vicente Luque51c1,959$999 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$999825%2 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.18per pick43cpaid+41.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2256…0386backed Tresean Gore50c1,924$962 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$961.937160.6%43 W · 28 L+4.4wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+10.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x898b…6c00backed Tresean Gore49c1,917$940 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$977.881100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8056…b64dbacked Vicente Luque51c1,889$959 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$959.4326140.6%106 W · 155 L-9.8wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-10.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1b47…d814backed Tresean Gore50c1,800$900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9001844.4%8 W · 10 L-2.0wins-0.11per pick55cpaid-34.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe45a…2399backed Tresean Gore50c1,793$896 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$896.5450%2 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+23.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1025…7e11backed Tresean Gore51c1,700$865 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$834.5612845.3%58 W · 70 L+4.7wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+4.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Tresean Gore59c1,684$991 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$692.819548.4%46 W · 49 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd5eb…9120backed Vicente Luque45c1,667$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$749.98520%1 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.21per pick41cpaid-60%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcc42…6bd4backed Tresean Gore49c1,664$815 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$848.64250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb2ca…d984backed Tresean Gore50c1,600$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80010253.9%55 W · 47 L-0.4wins0.00per pick54cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf9d6…730abacked Tresean Gore50c1,600$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8001650%8 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+38.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6db5…e279backed Vicente Luque46c1,568$723 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$723.232564%16 W · 9 L+3.8wins+0.15per pick49cpaid+48.9%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xefbc…b344backed Vicente Luque35c1,568$549 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$549.311457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-11.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Vicente Luque51c1,536$783 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$783.235141.2%21 W · 30 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x17b8…d5d1backed Tresean Gore65c1,528$988 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$539.9412448.4%60 W · 64 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-5.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaf0f…3f10backed Tresean Gore50c1,500$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7502240.9%9 W · 13 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-25.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe922…39b3backed Vicente Luque51c1,470$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$749.715552.3%81 W · 74 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5ee0…d6a6backed Vicente Luque43c1,410$608 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$608.41625%4 W · 12 L-3.2wins-0.20per pick45cpaid-44%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x40e9…494fbacked Vicente Luque12c1,378$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.412250%11 W · 11 L+4.0wins+0.18per pick32cpaid+51.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x67bf…f983backed Vicente Luque20c1,370$276 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$276.262045%9 W · 11 L+1.9wins+0.10per pick35cpaid+80.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Vicente Luque49c1,367$670 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$669.9814551%74 W · 71 L+4.7wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed Vicente Luque45c1,323$593 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$592.524934.7%17 W · 32 L-6.5wins-0.13per pick48cpaid-36.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x4502…9eedbacked Vicente Luque25c1,312$334 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$334.41957.9%11 W · 8 L+3.7wins+0.20per pick38cpaid+66.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed Vicente Luque16c1,250$206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206.1827448.2%132 W · 142 L+12.7wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+3.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8b0e…bd73backed Tresean Gore49c1,248$612 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$636.48475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.17per pick58cpaid+26.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xac65…cfe6backed Tresean Gore55c1,196$658 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$538.365463%34 W · 20 L+0.2wins0.00per pick63cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1f64…3633backed Tresean Gore50c1,177$594 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$582.687263.9%46 W · 26 L+4.8wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+6.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x468f…c2a7backed Tresean Gore51c1,176$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$576.4714045.7%64 W · 76 L-0.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3155…268ebacked Tresean Gore52c1,155$601 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$554.46759.7%40 W · 27 L+7.3wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+21.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xa0f2…1848backed Tresean Gore49c1,147$562 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$585.213938.5%15 W · 24 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84d9…76dbbacked Tresean Gore50c1,120$560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56018644.1%82 W · 104 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x99b1…196abacked Tresean Gore68c1,100$748 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$351.868861.4%54 W · 34 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbb8e…08c1backed Vicente Luque29c1,093$322 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$321.6512451.6%64 W · 60 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-16.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8a2c…3c32backed Vicente Luque46c1,080$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5002259.1%13 W · 9 L-1.3wins-0.06per pick65cpaid-3.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2ada…2f28backed Vicente Luque12c1,054$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.7618145.3%82 W · 99 L+6.9wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+11.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x97ea…3363backed Tresean Gore45c1,026$463 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$562.761172.7%8 W · 3 L+1.5wins+0.14per pick59cpaid+38%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb399…9435backed Vicente Luque38c1,017$385 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$385.45560%33 W · 22 L+5.9wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+8.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9a3f…914abacked Vicente Luque50c1,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50013636%49 W · 87 L-13.8wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-33.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x8532…738bbacked Tresean Gore50c1,000$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5007647.4%36 W · 40 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in UFC and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.