TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x0ec9…1e0c

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
40
Categories scored
9
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: MLB, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category MLB at 52 out of 100; worst Fifa International at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 11, 2026, EDT137.7%1 W · 12 L-1.4wins-0.10per pick18cpaid-84.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Norway vs. England: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$286Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$286
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$92.38
Spread: France (-2.5)backed France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$107.57
Switzerland vs. Colombia: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$111Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$106.71
Spread: Spain (-2.5)backed Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$614Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$613.63
Spread: Brazil (-1.5)backed Brazil · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$1,552Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,551.58
Canada to score first vs. Morocco?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$2,009Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,008.67
Canada vs. Morocco: O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$230Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$230
Canada vs. Morocco: Neither team to score first?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$370Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$370
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$778Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$778.22
France vs. Sweden: Team to Advancebacked Sweden · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$479Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$479.35
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: O/U 6.5 Total Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$658Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$657.92
Netherlands vs. Morocco: O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$292Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$292.08
All 13 picks, newest first.
CS2last resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT1136.4%4 W · 7 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick33cpaid+6.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Map Handicap: FURIA (-1.5) vs FUT Esports (+1.5)backed FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$97
Map Handicap: FAL (-1.5) vs Legacy (+1.5)backed Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$1,750Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,750
Counter-Strike: Wildcard vs paiN (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Dbacked paiN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$623Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$489.5
Counter-Strike: ECHO vs OG (BO3) - Esports World Cup Open Qualifier Group 9backed ECHO · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$51
Counter-Strike: JAM vs LPH Gaming (BO3) - Tipsport Cup Open #1 Playoffsbacked LPH Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$86
Counter-Strike: ABT Esports vs 9INE (BO3) - Esports World Cup Open Qualifier Group 7backed ABT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$90
Counter-Strike: Nuclear TigeRES vs CYBERSHOKE Prospects (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Playoffsbacked CYBERSHOKE Prospects · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$162Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$162.5
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs fnatic (BO3) - Stake Pulse Beat I Playoffsbacked Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$270Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$165.48
Counter-Strike: BESTIA vs METANOIA WOLVES - Map 2 Winnerbacked METANOIA WOLVES · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$66
Counter-Strike: ex-RUSTEC vs NEW VISION (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #6 Group Stagebacked NEW VISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs FOKUS (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierbacked FOKUS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$815Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+524.1%+$4,269.13
All 11 picks, newest first.
Mlslast resolved Aug 20, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick30cpaid+150%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Mls — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+9.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lollast resolved Aug 16, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick28cpaid-43.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFClast resolved Aug 15, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.13per pick38cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions Leaguelast resolved Aug 18, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Jul 31, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+127.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$340Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$432.73
All 1 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Aug 4, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs OG (BO3) - 1win Essence Playoffsbacked OG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$1,150Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,150.1
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.