TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

South American Leagues · resolved market

Will Atlético San Luis win on 2026-07-31?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$250,512
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$257,246

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $250,512 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 191 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x0cbe…1f4ebacked Yes43c111,840$48,346 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48,345.721915.8%3 W · 16 L-5.6wins-0.29per pick45cpaid-70%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x1d2e…896dbacked Yes44c49,999$22,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21,999.711533.3%5 W · 10 L-1.8wins-0.12per pick46cpaid-23.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed No59c46,374$27,236 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,138.612,28134.3%782 W · 1,499 L-30.5wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-16.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed No56c25,100$14,077 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,023.1542962.2%267 W · 162 L+10.7wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3f3a…e8fdbacked No57c11,718$6,679 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,038.9219952.8%105 W · 94 L+11.9wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+17.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No57c9,798$5,624 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,174.185,75745.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L+94.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No56c7,142$4,035 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,106.61,94451.3%998 W · 946 L+40.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked No57c5,892$3,358 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,533.451,44345.9%662 W · 781 L-22.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-12.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed No58c5,274$3,065 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,209.362,51439%980 W · 1,534 L-32.2wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed No56c4,878$2,732 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,146.281,30250.2%653 W · 649 L-13.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb8ef…2864backed No57c4,326$2,465 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,860.3515045.3%68 W · 82 L+7.0wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+20.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed No59c4,316$2,562 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,753.561,28253.7%689 W · 593 L+5.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x57b2…9da2backed No56c4,000$2,240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,7602441.7%10 W · 14 L-3.3wins-0.14per pick55cpaid-27%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xa36f…180bbacked Yes39c4,000$1,560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,559.982740.7%11 W · 16 L-3.5wins-0.13per pick54cpaid-28.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xddf4…2680backed No57c3,509$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,508.77650%3 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-17.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed No57c3,355$1,906 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,449.5666837.1%248 W · 420 L+0.8wins0.00per pick37cpaid+4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0ec9…1e0cbacked No56c3,214$1,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,414.29366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+9.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe6ee…b3aabacked Yes43c3,017$1,297 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,297.247950.6%40 W · 39 L-0.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No58c2,506$1,451 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,055.411,23153.9%663 W · 568 L+12.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf148…0b4fbacked No58c2,416$1,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,015.982864.3%18 W · 10 L+4.6wins+0.17per pick48cpaid+38.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x9f15…bdb3backed No57c2,302$1,312 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$989.8812755.1%70 W · 57 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked No57c2,238$1,282 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$956.091,66851.7%863 W · 805 L+18.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7236…ea53backed No57c2,000$1,140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86024855.2%137 W · 111 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5652…00c9backed No56c2,000$1,120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8801258.3%7 W · 5 L-0.1wins0.00per pick59cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked No57c1,894$1,079 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$814.328756.3%49 W · 38 L+7.7wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+21%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9028…8608backed Yes41c1,162$472 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$472.3260156.2%338 W · 263 L+10.4wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d63…9075backed Yes41c1,126$459 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$458.8995155.8%531 W · 420 L+31.5wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+2.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfb07…e2ccbacked No57c1,080$617 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$463.876243.5%27 W · 35 L-5.8wins-0.09per pick53cpaid-18.8%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xe1e3…f1bdbacked No57c1,000$570 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4305446.3%25 W · 29 L-7.6wins-0.14per pick60cpaid-28.1%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x7e59…7b8bbacked No57c1,000$570 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43012737.8%48 W · 79 L-3.2wins-0.03per pick40cpaid+3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb40e…7787backed No57c953$543 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$409.791100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed No61c876.43$533 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$343.72,33551.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L+2.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked No58c853.28$498 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$355.2875240.8%307 W · 445 L-17.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed No60c819.06$490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$328.9725635.9%92 W · 164 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-23.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdebb…eedbbacked Yes39c792.4$309 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$309.0413049.2%64 W · 66 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-5.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa804…2a75backed No57c770.7$438 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$332.416553.8%35 W · 30 L+5.3wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+32.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb476…6eacbacked No58c768.38$448 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$320.385048%24 W · 26 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xad0b…a514backed No59c700$413 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2874346.5%20 W · 23 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes40c683.49$277 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$276.628,10748.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L+26.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked No69c562.79$391 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.2137540%150 W · 225 L-16.6wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-37.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x999a…9a25backed No68c551.01$374 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.3412740.9%52 W · 75 L-5.1wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-34.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No57c550.68$316 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234.783,40551.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x885f…8ed9backed No57c500$285 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2156253.2%33 W · 29 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed No70c472.5$333 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.9236339.9%145 W · 218 L-16.8wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-38.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed No57c464.9$265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$199.9157540.2%231 W · 344 L+2.7wins0.00per pick40cpaid-2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed No57c457.84$262 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$196.23,74938.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L-33.3wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1be7…a6e3backed No57c444$254 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$190.211060%6 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes40c440.75$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$178.211,36652.4%716 W · 650 L+51.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-1.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x332e…fd5dbacked Yes28c400$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1122917.2%5 W · 24 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick22cpaid-45.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xca89…7bc4backed No57c400$228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17219559.5%116 W · 79 L+7.6wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+7.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Yes41c400$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16435046.3%162 W · 188 L-6.6wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-15.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc34b…9296backed No56c400$224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1766056.7%34 W · 26 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick61cpaid-8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3f6a…a7bfbacked No56c383.77$215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168.724956.6%141 W · 108 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d67…3667backed No58c379.6$219 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160.846449.6%230 W · 234 L-0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-12.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x47c7…cac7backed No57c368$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.2422457.1%128 W · 96 L+5.6wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x089c…4dc4backed Yes37c363.69$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.3542946.2%198 W · 231 L-2.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-17.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xb4bf…60f8backed No59c361.7$214 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.6650656.3%285 W · 221 L+9.8wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x744c…e37fbacked No57c350.88$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.881675%12 W · 4 L+1.6wins+0.10per pick65cpaid+16.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2f5f…f7aebacked No58c343.32$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.324656.5%26 W · 20 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid-3.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x50e5…e39fbacked No57c320$183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.0772058.8%423 W · 297 L+29.5wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+3.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6f39…e279backed No59c317.2$186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.8317051.8%88 W · 82 L+7.3wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-2.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe7e4…3ababacked Yes43c310.92$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.171747.1%8 W · 9 L-1.6wins-0.09per pick56cpaid-24.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked No56c302$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.7330754.7%168 W · 139 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b6e…f544backed No58c300.73$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.0764633.1%214 W · 432 L-24.8wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-19.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa4d3…4b1fbacked No56c287.52$161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.516349.2%31 W · 32 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+11.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4f87…b872backed Yes43c280.22$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.4920%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb8c6…7b39backed No56c271.14$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.321044.3%93 W · 117 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb1cd…8e7dbacked Yes38c263.16$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001741.2%7 W · 10 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+12.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x94c1…8036backed Yes41c243.9$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001741.2%7 W · 10 L-1.3wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-21.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked No65c221.56$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.9350643.9%222 W · 284 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked No57c208$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.4449136.3%178 W · 313 L-2.2wins0.00per pick37cpaid+7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa7c2…73bfbacked Yes9c200$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1812338.2%47 W · 76 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick37cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4c8c…01c9backed Yes43c200$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$861450%7 W · 7 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+40.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x60ab…e297backed No57c200$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8621358.7%125 W · 88 L+7.1wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe75e…4b67backed No57c200$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8618358.5%107 W · 76 L+6.8wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+9.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3388…61d7backed No57c200$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8628851.7%149 W · 139 L-5.5wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x288a…0048backed No57c200$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8623056.5%130 W · 100 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa212…9161backed No56c200$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$881346.2%6 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeeaa…15cebacked Yes41c192.8$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$808937.1%33 W · 56 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6407…d360backed No57c175.43$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.4310146.5%47 W · 54 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa8eb…0acbbacked Yes44c170.45$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7519543.1%84 W · 111 L-5.9wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-6.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Yes44c161$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.8438233%126 W · 256 L-11.7wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed No56c156.73$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.9645253.1%240 W · 212 L+14.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed No57c152.89$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.7778756.4%444 W · 343 L+23.9wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x40d0…4415backed No57c152$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.3612757.5%73 W · 54 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfeef…4b1fbacked No58c150.5$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.3926465.9%174 W · 90 L+13.6wins+0.05per pick61cpaid+7.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xfb0c…8c72backed No57c150$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.555946%257 W · 302 L-19.0wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-8.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3654…1b78backed No57c148.4$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.7541262.1%256 W · 156 L+13.7wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+0.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed No60c147$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.52,61154.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L+25.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa178…11a2backed Yes43c137.21$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5976951.5%396 W · 373 L-2.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x03ac…c3d9backed No73c136.99$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.9910766.4%71 W · 36 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick64cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9bdb…a90dbacked No59c133.33$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.33955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.2wins+0.14per pick42cpaid+32%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Yes40c128$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.3851945.7%237 W · 282 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-15.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x633e…d305backed No56c125.82$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.367843.6%34 W · 44 L+5.5wins+0.07per pick37cpaid+12.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x83d9…10d9backed No57c125.5$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.4515651.9%81 W · 75 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x167a…d542backed No58c125$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x01d7…5fd2backed No58c120.69$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.697170.4%50 W · 21 L+2.5wins+0.04per pick67cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x733c…521bbacked Yes41c120.56$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.932759.3%16 W · 11 L+3.9wins+0.14per pick45cpaid+28.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x332f…80a4backed No62c119.1$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.26837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.13per pick50cpaid-17%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1230…c70bbacked No61c113.27$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.184362.8%27 W · 16 L+2.5wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+12.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.