South American Leagues · resolved market
Will Atlético San Luis vs. Club Tijuana end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x18c31b9d686ffba9bbb81ba4398189ba8db191b15244ba40fb68a7eb4073d636
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $52,636
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $57,190
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $52,636 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 80 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked No | 46c | 7,767$3,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,550.23 | 752 | 40.8%307 W · 445 L | -17.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 48c | 6,685$3,213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,472.4 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57ef…044abacked Yes | 27c | 5,000$1,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,650 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 25c | 3,663$919 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$919.13 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 69c | 3,300$2,268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,268.04 | 1,282 | 53.7%689 W · 593 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 27c | 2,976$804 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,172.44 | 1,944 | 51.3%998 W · 946 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 67c | 1,758$1,180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,179.54 | 2,281 | 34.3%782 W · 1,499 L | -30.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6ee…b3aabacked Yes | 56c | 1,562$875 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$687.48 | 79 | 50.6%40 W · 39 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 73c | 1,165$847 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$847.41 | 1,231 | 53.9%663 W · 568 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94c1…8036backed Yes | 45c | 1,089$485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$603.81 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe7e4…3ababacked Yes | 75c | 1,011$763 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.11 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8930…db72backed Yes | 52c | 961.54$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$461.54 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.13per pick | 56cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked No | 42c | 951.25$397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396.98 | 91 | 22%20 W · 71 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -25%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked No | 29c | 908.22$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.65 | 375 | 40%150 W · 225 L | -16.6wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb20…3b5cbacked Yes | 39c | 769.23$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$469.23 | 220 | 49.1%108 W · 112 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x999a…9a25backed No | 31c | 613.86$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.43 | 127 | 40.9%52 W · 75 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3740…a935backed Yes | 61c | 544$331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.6 | 103 | 64.1%66 W · 37 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 69cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8987…02f3backed No | 72c | 509.42$366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$366.34 | 63 | 50.8%32 W · 31 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed No | 31c | 477.64$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.27 | 256 | 35.9%92 W · 164 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f5f…f7aebacked Yes | 47c | 455.32$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.32 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Yes | 48c | 440.82$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.95 | 601 | 56.2%338 W · 263 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Yes | 79c | 430.55$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.38 | 350 | 46.3%162 W · 188 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Yes | 48c | 422.44$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.09 | 951 | 55.8%531 W · 420 L | +31.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa0dc…586cbacked Yes | 36c | 416.67$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.67 | 65 | 55.4%36 W · 29 L | +8.0wins | +0.12per pick | 43cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6368…6dc8backed Yes | 55c | 409.09$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.09 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked No | 49c | 408.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -2.8wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xefd7…d93bbacked No | 73c | 403.93$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.87 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 64cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Yes | 60c | 377.52$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.32 | 485 | 47.6%231 W · 254 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed Yes | 49c | 358.32$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.45 | 331 | 52.6%174 W · 157 L | +8.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…01e5backed Yes | 28c | 357.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.14 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7c2…73bfbacked Yes | 60c | 300$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 123 | 38.2%47 W · 76 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1372…4ce0backed Yes | 48c | 269.76$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.76 | 25 | 72%18 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 66cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed No | 34c | 266$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.75 | 575 | 40.2%231 W · 344 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0928…09fabacked Yes | 28c | 250$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +19%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5b8…233abacked Yes | 28c | 242.14$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.45 | 36 | 30.6%11 W · 25 L | -3.9wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 11c | 240$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.4 | 166 | 41.6%69 W · 97 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaae5…7974backed No | 29c | 226.31$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.63 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.8wins | -0.11per pick | 42cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Yes | 44c | 190$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.62 | 720 | 58.8%423 W · 297 L | +29.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 28c | 170.04$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.43 | 1,439 | 37.5%540 W · 899 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 28c | 156.99$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.37 | 1,366 | 52.4%716 W · 650 L | +51.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed No | 25c | 155.21$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.56 | 464 | 49.6%230 W · 234 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed No | 26c | 150$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.45 | 267 | 49.4%132 W · 135 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7c2…63d8backed Yes | 68c | 147.06$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.06 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd21c…2afcbacked No | 10c | 133$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.3 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x53eb…90ebbacked Yes | 28c | 107.14$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.14 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe01b…fa88backed Yes | 28c | 107.14$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.14 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.15per pick | 57cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 28c | 98.89$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.2 | 668 | 37.1%248 W · 420 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 27c | 97.84$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.22 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 27c | 90.39$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.98 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6e…f544backed Yes | 50c | 83.65$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.67 | 646 | 33.1%214 W · 432 L | -24.8wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Yes | 28c | 80$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.6 | 424 | 62.3%264 W · 160 L | +24.4wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Yes | 42c | 79.26$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.78 | 694 | 53.5%371 W · 323 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42c7…c415backed Yes | 49c | 78.37$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.01 | 87 | 60.9%53 W · 34 L | +6.3wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed No | 34c | 77.32$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.44 | 363 | 39.9%145 W · 218 L | -16.8wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8eb…0acbbacked Yes | 28c | 75$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 195 | 43.1%84 W · 111 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x62e8…a242backed Yes | 49c | 74.59$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.06 | 67 | 68.7%46 W · 21 L | +5.7wins | +0.08per pick | 60cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x312c…ceecbacked Yes | 28c | 69.87$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.31 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 38c | 69.76$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.76 | 1,444 | 56.4%815 W · 629 L | +51.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2cdb…bc1fbacked Yes | 31c | 64.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.71 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +80.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29d4…5d18backed Yes | 38c | 64.01$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.38 | 153 | 64.1%98 W · 55 L | +14.4wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Yes | 37c | 62.94$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.96 | 506 | 56.3%285 W · 221 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x089c…4dc4backed No | 19c | 62.06$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.84 | 429 | 46.2%198 W · 231 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3bc6…fb63backed Yes | 28c | 54$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.88 | 36 | 30.6%11 W · 25 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a1d…3fa1backed Yes | 28c | 53.57$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.57 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +3.1wins | +0.22per pick | 57cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5f5e…980bbacked Yes | 77c | 52.89$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.37 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Yes | 27c | 50$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.5 | 787 | 56.4%444 W · 343 L | +23.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed No | 38c | 49$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.62 | 352 | 46.9%165 W · 187 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeebe…72f2backed Yes | 27c | 48$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.04 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | +2.3wins | +0.09per pick | 32cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x37ed…6c1dbacked No | 65c | 46.15$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -21%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x733c…521bbacked Yes | 40c | 44.41$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.62 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +3.9wins | +0.14per pick | 45cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf49a…896ebacked Yes | 74c | 42.23$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.98 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90aa…00f1backed Yes | 28c | 40.71$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.31 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 23cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70bb…10d3backed No | 35c | 34.02$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.79 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -1.9wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked No | 49c | 27.97$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.67 | 675 | 48%324 W · 351 L | -18.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x572b…83dbbacked Yes | 57c | 26.32$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.32 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.19per pick | 68cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc8…a0e4backed No | 72c | 25.71$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.51 | 170 | 67.6%115 W · 55 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked No | 50c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 896 | 45.4%407 W · 489 L | -23.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c22…7b22backed Yes | 58c | 20.24$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.53 | 24 | 79.2%19 W · 5 L | +3.5wins | +0.14per pick | 65cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xabce…2f87backed Yes | 51c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 163 | 49.1%80 W · 83 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeda9…f624backed No | 72c | 15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 185 | 57.8%107 W · 78 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Atlético San Luis vs. Club Tijuana end in a draw?this page
- Will Atlético San Luis win on 2026-07-31?No won
- Will Club Tijuana win on 2026-07-31?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.