TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x572b…83db

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
53
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: Europa Conference League, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Europa Conference League at 55 out of 100; worst Champions League at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennislast resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT1625%4 W · 12 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick31cpaid-29.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Roehampton 2: Tiago Cacao vs Fabrizio Andalorobacked Tiago Cacao · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.06
Cancun: Sebastian Baez vs Rodrigo Pachecobacked Rodrigo Pacheco · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.47
Roehampton: Oliver Tarvet vs Charles Broombacked Charles Broom · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Cancun: Darwin Blanch vs Lloyd Harrisbacked Darwin Blanch · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$17
Cincinnati Open: Alexander Zverev vs Tommy Paulbacked Alexander Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Kingston: Valentin Royer vs Tyler Zinkbacked Tyler Zink · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Kingston: Juan Carlos Prado vs Andres Andradebacked Andres Andrade · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$53
Roehampton: Michael Geerts vs Radu Albotbacked Michael Geerts · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+244.8%+$71
Kingston: Lucas Da Silva vs Tyler Zinkbacked Tyler Zink · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$46.85
Quebec City: Nicolai Budkov Kjaer vs Yunchaokete Bubacked Yunchaokete Bu · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$27
Kingston: Garrett Johns vs Paulo Dos Santosbacked Garrett Johns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+257.1%+$72
Quebec City: Dusan Lajovic vs Taro Danielbacked Dusan Lajovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$36
Kingston: Miguel Tobon vs Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santosbacked Miguel Tobon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Prague 2: Cezar Cretu vs Thomas Faurelbacked Cezar Cretu · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT+138.4%+$41.52
Cincinnati Open: Tereza Valentova vs Elina Svitolinabacked Tereza Valentova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Cincinnati Open: Adolfo Vallejo vs Valentin Vacherotbacked Valentin Vacherot · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
All 16 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 11, 2026, EDT1464.3%9 W · 5 L+1.3wins+0.09per pick55cpaid+12.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will England win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.21
Will Colombia win on 2026-07-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$8.08
Will United States win on 2026-07-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will Spain win on 2026-07-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$21.14
Will England win on 2026-07-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$32.63
Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$23.57
Will Colombia win on 2026-07-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$12.58
Will Egypt win on 2026-07-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$99.18
Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+104.8%+$51.78
Will Portugal win on 2026-07-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+77%+$15.4
Will Spain win on 2026-07-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+30.7%+$3.38
Will United States win on 2026-07-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$5.31
All 14 picks, newest first.
South American Leagueslast resolved Aug 12, 2026, EDT887.5%7 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.19per pick68cpaid+25.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference Leaguelast resolved Aug 12, 2026, EDT4100%4 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+64.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions Leaguelast resolved Aug 11, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.21per pick71cpaid-29.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian League Inactivelast resolved Aug 7, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.62per pick38cpaid+237.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Asian League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Kashima Antlers win on 2026-08-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+400%+$40
Will Henan FC vs. Dalian Yingbo FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$15.09
All 2 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+48.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Lyngby BK vs. Aarhus GF end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+32.4%+$5.98
Will BK Hacken vs. Kalmar FF end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$9.59
All 2 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Jul 25, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+82.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC Fight Night: Ramazan Temirov vs. Steve Erceg (Flyweight, Main Card)backed Ramazan Temirov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+82.3%+$9.1
All 1 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved Jul 31, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+77.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Mls — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will New York City FC vs. Toronto FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+77.1%+$11.57
All 1 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Jul 18, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Weather — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on July 18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.55
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.