Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will SK Rapid Wien win on 2026-08-12?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x912a234e0e24e3961d5377a01fdff0b46b5fd342d9358a111763d76fc041f930
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $93,470
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $99,471
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $93,470 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 8c | 5,511$456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$456.47 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 15c | 5,171$752 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$751.72 | 880 | 48.2%424 W · 456 L | +17.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d74…a37fbacked No | 12c | 4,343$519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$518.84 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 10c | 4,337$437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$436.52 | 2,333 | 41.7%972 W · 1,361 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac69…3c46backed No | 9c | 3,053$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.02 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaedb…91fdbacked No | 14c | 3,001$424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$424.49 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | -3.1wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -17%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked No | 15c | 2,924$439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$438.6 | 218 | 40.4%88 W · 130 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked No | 23c | 2,361$543 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$543.34 | 558 | 45%251 W · 307 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked No | 14c | 2,024$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.33 | 144 | 43.8%63 W · 81 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 13c | 1,955$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.75 | 661 | 50.5%334 W · 327 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed No | 14c | 1,786$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 147 | 44.9%66 W · 81 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6afc…f7ddbacked No | 19c | 1,473$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.67 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f7…7656backed Yes | 76c | 1,439$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.82 | 46 | 69.6%32 W · 14 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 65cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 13c | 1,330$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.59 | 694 | 48.8%339 W · 355 L | +18.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ddd…3254backed No | 10c | 1,310$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 23cpaid | +50.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f45…5390backed No | 19c | 1,053$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.42 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed No | 14c | 917.97$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.52 | 381 | 44.1%168 W · 213 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 80c | 661.16$529 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.49 | 769 | 41.9%322 W · 447 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bf5…0144backed Yes | 76c | 618.74$472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.98 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked No | 24c | 618.64$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.63 | 973 | 46%448 W · 525 L | -4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed No | 14c | 583$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.62 | 555 | 45.8%254 W · 301 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd331…733cbacked No | 14c | 503.99$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.56 | 83 | 47%39 W · 44 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaaca…f5d5backed No | 15c | 443$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.45 | 174 | 43.1%75 W · 99 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Yes | 80c | 436$349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.29 | 192 | 50.5%97 W · 95 L | +7.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 24c | 423.92$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.59 | 1,033 | 46.1%476 W · 557 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 76c | 321.22$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.19 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6868…24f0backed Yes | 77c | 300$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69 | 207 | 40.1%83 W · 124 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +11%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85ac…fce6backed No | 11c | 281.82$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b5…ca2dbacked No | 14c | 280$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.02 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 16cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeda9…f624backed No | 14c | 200$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 111 | 68.5%76 W · 35 L | +10.6wins | +0.10per pick | 59cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7403…b24abacked Yes | 79c | 180.99$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.16 | 52 | 57.7%30 W · 22 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd443…5f71backed No | 13c | 175$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.75 | 370 | 43.8%162 W · 208 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed No | 14c | 136.39$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.48 | 393 | 57.5%226 W · 167 L | +17.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d5…573bbacked No | 24c | 125$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed No | 14c | 124.86$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.98 | 793 | 54.2%430 W · 363 L | +17.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x860d…6071backed No | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc423…03b9backed No | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 45 | 4.4%2 W · 43 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 9cpaid | -60.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b99…6a4dbacked No | 14c | 90$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9d7…fcbbbacked No | 20c | 73.91$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.99 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd0d…7606backed No | 16c | 71.38$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed No | 16c | 63$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 125 | 45.6%57 W · 68 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0fc…097ebacked Yes | 78c | 50$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb619…49c9backed Yes | 78c | 30.89$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.82 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x81a7…7042backed Yes | 80c | 24.41$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.96 | 99 | 23.2%23 W · 76 L | -9.1wins | -0.09per pick | 32cpaid | -50.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3600…d8a6backed Yes | 80c | 24.39$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.88 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c6…7b39backed Yes | 79c | 22.52$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.81 | 84 | 46.4%39 W · 45 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Yes | 76c | 21$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.1 | 535 | 64.7%346 W · 189 L | +29.1wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x572b…83dbbacked Yes | 77c | 20.78$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.78 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +64.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2996…fd9dbacked Yes | 76c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.6 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will SK Rapid Wien win on 2026-08-12?this page
- Will Paide Linnameeskond win on 2026-08-12?No won
- Will SK Rapid Wien vs. Paide Linnameeskond end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.