Champions League · resolved market
Will Aarhus GF win on 2026-08-05?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x66a72adac29f74ad04de2624481e5f5db809bfc7e0b8c258a9e865e51ee1a8b3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $289,268
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $316,023
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $289,268 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 265 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 64c | 29,398$18,851 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,851.37 | 1,511 | 40.2%608 W · 903 L | -6.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa18c…d792backed Yes | 57c | 28,649$16,366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,283.32 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcdc1…bdd8backed No | 46c | 21,578$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ed…9f79backed No | 47c | 19,051$8,888 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,888 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd66…f510backed Yes | 53c | 11,474$6,081 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,392.81 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 61c | 8,556$5,189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,366.61 | 723 | 35.5%257 W · 466 L | -28.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3b62…5cc8backed No | 46c | 8,000$3,680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,680 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9212…4040backed Yes | 74c | 7,415$5,458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,957.33 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -2.3wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked No | 42c | 7,000$2,940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,940 | 82 | 23.2%19 W · 63 L | -9.7wins | -0.12per pick | 35cpaid | -46.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked Yes | 46c | 6,353$2,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,452.97 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Yes | 32c | 5,975$1,901 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,074.29 | 84 | 40.5%34 W · 50 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe83b…2d16backed No | 43c | 5,605$2,410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,409.95 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Yes | 54c | 4,908$2,654 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,254.43 | 446 | 47.3%211 W · 235 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce7…3150backed Yes | 57c | 4,561$2,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,961.4 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -2.5wins | -0.22per pick | 41cpaid | -66.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x108d…b85dbacked Yes | 56c | 4,162$2,316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,846.41 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3bf5…2307backed Yes | 30c | 4,001$1,182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,818.9 | 33 | 69.7%23 W · 10 L | +5.1wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +44%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0c78…77f1backed No | 41c | 3,465$1,421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,420.65 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56f4…9ec5backed Yes | 67c | 3,263$2,174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,089.16 | 61 | 34.4%21 W · 40 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb76b…d1f0backed Yes | 22c | 3,074$677 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,397.81 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +42.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d0c…bcebbacked No | 43c | 3,000$1,290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,289.95 | 54 | 46.3%25 W · 29 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde39…2fa1backed No | 17c | 2,760$463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$463.31 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed No | 43c | 2,599$1,118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,117.57 | 79 | 41.8%33 W · 46 L | -4.1wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ba1…6aefbacked Yes | 24c | 2,528$618 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,910.43 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 54c | 2,276$1,218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,058.44 | 633 | 46.3%293 W · 340 L | -21.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb42…0ad9backed Yes | 25c | 2,171$552 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,619.14 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb78…f224backed Yes | 25c | 2,162$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,611.53 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.41per pick | 26cpaid | +159.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c3e…3c4cbacked No | 75c | 2,000$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 63 | 63.5%40 W · 23 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +15%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes | 56c | 2,000$1,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$880 | 361 | 42.4%153 W · 208 L | -13.1wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c84…a8edbacked Yes | 54c | 2,000$1,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$920 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +3.2wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b0c…a1aabacked No | 47c | 2,000$940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$939.99 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked No | 40c | 1,798$716 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$715.63 | 164 | 40.9%67 W · 97 L | -6.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 39c | 1,712$666 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$665.68 | 1,994 | 43.9%875 W · 1,119 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d1c…3347backed No | 10c | 1,602$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.33 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -70.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5b2…ee5bbacked Yes | 57c | 1,586$904 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$681.96 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9079…b19bbacked Yes | 19c | 1,555$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,255.8 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Yes | 50c | 1,552$769 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$783.46 | 245 | 45.3%111 W · 134 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd51…1041backed No | 43c | 1,542$663 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$663 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.5wins | -0.25per pick | 45cpaid | -58.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9b78…473dbacked No | 62c | 1,487$927 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$926.83 | 73 | 64.4%47 W · 26 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 44c | 1,408$622 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$622.22 | 80 | 40%32 W · 48 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +88.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Yes | 54c | 1,384$753 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$630.82 | 520 | 46.7%243 W · 277 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…c56abacked Yes | 38c | 1,300$489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$810.98 | 75 | 48%36 W · 39 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x46cd…6b95backed No | 52c | 1,235$642 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$642.19 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 43c | 1,186$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510.1 | 597 | 41.7%249 W · 348 L | -18.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeefa…f400backed No | 41c | 1,105$458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$457.55 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4abd…5a5cbacked Yes | 27c | 1,080$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$783.45 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.29per pick | 51cpaid | +71.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked Yes | 36c | 1,050$376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$674.21 | 73 | 56.2%41 W · 32 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b56…715ebacked Yes | 57c | 1,045$595 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.16 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.4wins | +0.34per pick | 52cpaid | +55.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 54c | 1,025$553 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$472.73 | 272 | 36.4%99 W · 173 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe839…0a9dbacked Yes | 29c | 1,017$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$717.79 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +86.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe57d…bf4cbacked No | 11c | 1,001$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.08 | 59 | 22%13 W · 46 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes | 55c | 991.7$544 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$447.78 | 338 | 44.7%151 W · 187 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb01…7dfbbacked No | 9c | 960$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.6 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 14cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ea…2f71backed Yes | 28c | 941.8$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$676.56 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +77.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Yes | 66c | 939.7$618 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$321.86 | 105 | 39%41 W · 64 L | -5.2wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -33%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 69c | 851.47$584 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.4 | 1,021 | 35.3%360 W · 661 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8366…54ffbacked Yes | 28c | 836.91$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$605.25 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.20per pick | 37cpaid | +37%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf52f…dc59backed Yes | 25c | 800$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…fde0backed Yes | 48c | 799.95$384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$415.97 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +4.6wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +40.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xad0b…a514backed Yes | 51c | 794.61$405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$389.36 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +3.5wins | +0.21per pick | 50cpaid | +38.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Yes | 54c | 787.44$425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362.22 | 266 | 45.9%122 W · 144 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafd0…ebd0backed No | 19c | 778.27$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.27 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +55%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd32e…b577backed Yes | 29c | 763.33$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$545.3 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 44cpaid | +119.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Yes | 54c | 742.21$398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$343.88 | 328 | 43.6%143 W · 185 L | -10.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8558…8615backed Yes | 31c | 735.47$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$507.76 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +81.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d60…453dbacked No | 54c | 734.01$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefd6…ca34backed Yes | 52c | 730.21$383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.7 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +3.6wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbb3e…b9c5backed Yes | 30c | 727.82$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$505.91 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.18per pick | 53cpaid | +60.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd2e8…c60ebacked Yes | 31c | 709.87$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$493.19 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x851b…961ebacked No | 44c | 681.82$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 30cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8930…db72backed Yes | 75c | 668.2$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.2 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c81…98b7backed Yes | 45c | 666.67$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366.67 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 29cpaid | +125.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4483…c565backed Yes | 54c | 666.01$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.01 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -14%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf30a…61fbbacked Yes | 35c | 659.65$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$428.17 | 65 | 46.2%30 W · 35 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 58c | 651.15$374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374.47 | 915 | 37.6%344 W · 571 L | +30.7wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x946f…67c1backed Yes | 77c | 651.05$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.83 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0dc…586cbacked No | 46c | 630.43$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 47 | 27.7%13 W · 34 L | -3.2wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -24%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5cb6…9fe0backed Yes | 80c | 628.21$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.21 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc98f…a13fbacked No | 8c | 620$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.69 | 25 | 20%5 W · 20 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 56c | 612.38$343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.33 | 886 | 31.7%281 W · 605 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88f9…5c03backed Yes | 32c | 590.52$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$398.71 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.68per pick | 32cpaid | +207.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbcba…c950backed Yes | 55c | 590.42$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.28 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe233…14a3backed Yes | 58c | 579.83$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.53 | 100 | 50%50 W · 50 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb262…9b98backed Yes | 58c | 565.03$328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.31 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4c5…c8c1backed Yes | 75c | 555$416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.75 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c0b…c814backed Yes | 30c | 554.72$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$389.76 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +136.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Yes | 58c | 550.34$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.64 | 297 | 46.5%138 W · 159 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked Yes | 39c | 545$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.9 | 88 | 46.6%41 W · 47 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked Yes | 26c | 543.91$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$403.73 | 117 | 41%48 W · 69 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 78c | 539.04$421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420.81 | 123 | 48.8%60 W · 63 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x990e…cecfbacked Yes | 57c | 526.32$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.32 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9618…77e6backed Yes | 15c | 506.56$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$431.56 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…b70cbacked Yes | 58c | 504.72$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.89 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe9f…014abacked No | 32c | 503.17$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.32 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6dd…7af9backed Yes | 59c | 475.1$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.22 | 67 | 34.3%23 W · 44 L | -5.3wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6e92…5280backed Yes | 59c | 474.58$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.58 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +4.4wins | +0.17per pick | 29cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Yes | 53c | 471$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.37 | 139 | 36.7%51 W · 88 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +59.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94aa…a526backed No | 46c | 450$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Yes | 45c | 444.44$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.44 | 286 | 39.9%114 W · 172 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc336…1296backed No | 20c | 434.3$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebae…fb79backed Yes | 58c | 413.79$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.79 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Aarhus GF win on 2026-08-05?this page
- Will Aarhus GF vs. Sabah FK end in a draw?No won
- Will Sabah FK win on 2026-08-05?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.