TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Champions League · resolved market

Will Aarhus GF vs. Sabah FK end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$86,181
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$97,446

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $86,181 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 107 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Champions League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes18c20,000$3,525 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,525.0510543.8%46 W · 59 L+5.2wins+0.05per pick39cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe301…8654backed No43c12,279$5,284 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,995.314240.5%17 W · 25 L+3.1wins+0.07per pick33cpaid+21.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc6fd…53dfbacked Yes1c10,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100540%2 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-31.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes46c5,967$2,726 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,726.1391537.6%344 W · 571 L+30.7wins+0.03per pick34cpaid+3.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x41d2…d7c9backed Yes28c5,305$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5002437.5%9 W · 15 L-1.7wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed No74c3,883$2,872 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,010.272335.5%257 W · 466 L-28.3wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-29.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed No76c3,212$2,431 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$780.731847.5%151 W · 167 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+7.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No76c2,377$1,803 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$573.7633844.7%151 W · 187 L-5.4wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes25c1,900$475 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47563346.3%293 W · 340 L-21.6wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-11.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked Yes55c1,823$994 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$994.098440.5%34 W · 50 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-16.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No55c1,447$796 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$651.018040%32 W · 48 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+88.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb31e…c120backed No78c1,313$1,029 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$284.853063.3%19 W · 11 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed No71c1,196$849 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$346.771,02135.3%360 W · 661 L-8.6wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2bef…f80abacked Yes24c1,046$251 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2512733.3%9 W · 18 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick30cpaid+10.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8c46…ae13backed Yes24c833.33$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002927.6%8 W · 21 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick23cpaid+13.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No74c726.38$538 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188.8616047.5%76 W · 84 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked No75c700.06$528 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.652046.7%243 W · 277 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+8.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed No31c615.55$191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$424.4844033.9%149 W · 291 L-12.4wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-38%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked No75c577.3$436 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.5716440.9%67 W · 97 L-6.4wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-19.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Yes24c540.82$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.8127031.5%85 W · 185 L-4.1wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-12.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1adc…b884backed Yes9c533.63$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes74c527.67$390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39017466.1%115 W · 59 L+11.8wins+0.07per pick59cpaid+11%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9c5b…ec01backed Yes25c518.84$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.714156.1%23 W · 18 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+18.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked No75c508.64$381 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.1636142.4%153 W · 208 L-13.1wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-1.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x88c5…2909backed Yes24c500$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1201952.6%10 W · 9 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7203…795abacked Yes24c419.63$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.23354.5%18 W · 15 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+5.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xd3ba…e793backed Yes80c413.47$331 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$330.666666.7%44 W · 22 L+5.5wins+0.08per pick58cpaid+10.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x976a…e8ecbacked Yes55c407.65$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$225.1911741%48 W · 69 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-10.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed No75c400$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10043252.3%226 W · 206 L+3.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x08ce…86d3backed Yes24c400$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$944346.5%20 W · 23 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-13.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbb78…f224backed No26c391.27$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$289.54366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.41per pick26cpaid+159.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x323e…1ddabacked Yes24c389.98$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9310%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes52c379.63$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.0812348.8%60 W · 63 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-13.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x47d9…54b7backed Yes49c336.36$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.152853.6%15 W · 13 L+2.2wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+54.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9079…b19bbacked Yes61c330.78$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.783641.7%15 W · 21 L+0.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid+7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes67c321$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$215.0718736.4%68 W · 119 L-8.7wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x587b…2622backed No77c315.05$241 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.848959.6%53 W · 36 L+4.7wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+20.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6868…24f0backed Yes24c300$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$728038.8%31 W · 49 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick37cpaid-10.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf28e…0bb1backed Yes12c300$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36911.1%1 W · 8 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick13cpaid-74.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d67…3667backed No75c289.2$218 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.4212551.2%64 W · 61 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-12.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xf1f2…8c8dbacked No72c284.45$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.6710539%41 W · 64 L-5.2wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-33%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked No50c276.71$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.4616743.7%73 W · 94 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-16.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Yes68c272.02$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$183.6724545.3%111 W · 134 L-7.5wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-16.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9cb3…1367backed Yes14c258.77$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.272927.6%8 W · 21 L-2.5wins-0.09per pick36cpaid-46.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x37e6…794ebacked Yes20c250$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50238.7%2 W · 21 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick13cpaid-0.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes50c231.86$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.7160136.9%222 W · 379 L-28.7wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-26.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x91d7…0dfcbacked Yes36c211$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.781338.5%5 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick38cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7391…5375backed Yes24c208.33$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503627.8%10 W · 26 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-35.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x0df7…1ec1backed No66c206.98$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.982347.8%11 W · 12 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-19.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a16…5f47backed No76c200$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$486021.7%13 W · 47 L-3.0wins-0.05per pick27cpaid-13.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbb8e…08c1backed Yes62c199$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.852065%13 W · 7 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick64cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe84f…b777backed No75c183.45$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.2915954.7%87 W · 72 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb6dd…7af9backed No80c180.73$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.76734.3%23 W · 44 L-5.3wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-37.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xcd91…32b8backed No60c168.6$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.412650%13 W · 13 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-15.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb4bf…60f8backed No75c167.54$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.2914353.8%77 W · 66 L-0.6wins0.00per pick54cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d60…453dbacked Yes33c161.13$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.654454.5%24 W · 20 L+2.3wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+8.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked No73c153.35$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.7744647.3%211 W · 235 L+12.1wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+2.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4993…553fbacked No67c141.04$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.546357.1%36 W · 27 L0.0wins0.00per pick57cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x532b…dd2dbacked Yes56c140$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$782948.3%14 W · 15 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+31.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed No75c135.23$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.8126645.9%122 W · 144 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4126…e68bbacked Yes25c132$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.714238%54 W · 88 L-0.4wins0.00per pick38cpaid-13.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes24c117.66$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.9624340.7%99 W · 144 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa24d…38b2backed Yes26c115.38$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304032.5%13 W · 27 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick32cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd331…733cbacked Yes24c112$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.883043.3%13 W · 17 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick45cpaid+17.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3ca9…424abacked No65c111.01$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.496347.6%30 W · 33 L-3.0wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-20.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf5b2…ee5bbacked Yes31c101.06$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$312528%7 W · 18 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick29cpaid-3.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x7a3f…6712backed Yes35c100$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$357142.3%30 W · 41 L-4.4wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-24.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked No80c100$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.068845.5%40 W · 48 L-6.1wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-22.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked No78c100$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2210051%51 W · 49 L-3.2wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb7ab…16d0backed No36c98.13$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.572365.2%15 W · 8 L+2.7wins+0.12per pick53cpaid+17.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0eca…c56abacked Yes60c92$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.427548%36 W · 39 L-0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-6.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5f56…348abacked Yes58c91.92$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.121656.3%9 W · 7 L+0.1wins0.00per pick56cpaid+6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Yes11c91$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.2621217%36 W · 176 L-37.2wins-0.18per pick35cpaid-69.3%equal weight33-0.16 edge/pick
0xb9d7…fcbbbacked No42c90.51$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.641650%8 W · 8 L-2.1wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-8.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xac64…866ebacked No56c82.9$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.293050%15 W · 15 L-2.4wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-25.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4260…1ddfbacked Yes27c74.66$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb3e9…41f3backed Yes42c71.43$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3247…9488backed Yes24c68.96$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.551643.8%7 W · 9 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-14%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5120…b26bbacked Yes30c66.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2020%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3555…208ebacked No69c65.63$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.633369.7%23 W · 10 L+1.8wins+0.05per pick64cpaid+13.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3f58…d93abacked No69c63.03$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.742245.5%10 W · 12 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3a07…267fbacked Yes35c57.89$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20825%2 W · 6 L-1.8wins-0.22per pick47cpaid-56.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3743…7bc1backed Yes26c57.26$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152045%9 W · 11 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9212…4040backed Yes79c56.52$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.582245.5%10 W · 12 L-2.3wins-0.10per pick56cpaid-27.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1a59…a57ebacked Yes68c56$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.167356.2%41 W · 32 L+3.2wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+2.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8340…b29bbacked Yes19c53$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.0710%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d0e…4f01backed No76c50$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124042.5%17 W · 23 L-4.0wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-24.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed No75c50$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.514454.9%79 W · 65 L+7.4wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+11.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb8c6…7b39backed No75c48.13$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.035437%20 W · 34 L-3.9wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-3.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb8ee…9e81backed No54c46.59$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.225538.2%21 W · 34 L-5.1wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-31.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5cc8…a0e4backed No76c40$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.74163.4%26 W · 15 L+0.1wins0.00per pick63cpaid+3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb730…e9c2backed Yes25c40$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105042%21 W · 29 L+2.1wins+0.04per pick38cpaid+74.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd7c2…63d8backed Yes25c40$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-18%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc112…d1efbacked Yes25c40$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101216.7%2 W · 10 L-0.8wins-0.07per pick23cpaid-20.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x23e8…4fffbacked No78c37.57$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.391100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb0c…8c72backed No76c33.94$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.1522245%100 W · 122 L-5.0wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-7.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcc8e…944ebacked No76c32.64$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.833666.7%24 W · 12 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick67cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked No77c30$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.915442.9%66 W · 88 L-6.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-22.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7a96…b71dbacked Yes61c27.87$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171931.6%6 W · 13 L-1.7wins-0.09per pick40cpaid-32.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9db0…93f9backed No75c21.58$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.492152.4%11 W · 10 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.