Champions League · resolved market
Will Sabah FK win on 2026-08-05?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xda0a3b428251726248bb2383de67e65cbf35705191f51716795776926267d2de
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $68,065
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $78,589
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $68,065 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 64 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 4c | 5,921$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.17 | 1,021 | 35.3%360 W · 661 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Yes | 20c | 3,871$782 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$782.17 | 137 | 38.7%53 W · 84 L | -5.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 6c | 3,812$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.4 | 723 | 35.5%257 W · 466 L | -28.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd76…a60cbacked Yes | 18c | 3,500$613 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$612.6 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +4.5wins | +0.37per pick | 46cpaid | +82%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 9c | 2,804$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.65 | 1,511 | 40.2%608 W · 903 L | -6.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes | 18c | 2,328$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$429.99 | 61 | 42.6%26 W · 35 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Yes | 21c | 1,767$371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370.9 | 119 | 37.8%45 W · 74 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 79c | 1,722$1,361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$361.7 | 160 | 47.5%76 W · 84 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5b2…ee5bbacked Yes | 20c | 1,580$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2393…d54dbacked Yes | 6c | 1,533$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.98 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | +2.4wins | +0.09per pick | 24cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 20c | 1,316$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.42 | 270 | 31.5%85 W · 185 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 20c | 1,225$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.45 | 886 | 31.7%281 W · 605 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 80c | 1,166$933 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.29 | 432 | 52.3%226 W · 206 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 4c | 1,097$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.11 | 440 | 33.9%149 W · 291 L | -12.4wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -38%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d47…64eebacked Yes | 20c | 1,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2bef…f80abacked Yes | 20c | 857.5$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.5 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0dc…586cbacked Yes | 21c | 761.9$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 47 | 27.7%13 W · 34 L | -3.2wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -24%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37e6…794ebacked Yes | 5c | 721.18$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.52 | 23 | 8.7%2 W · 21 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 13cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 4c | 658$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.8 | 123 | 48.8%60 W · 63 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 80c | 625$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125 | 607 | 48.4%294 W · 313 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe5b…8abcbacked Yes | 20c | 500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x851b…961ebacked Yes | 21c | 476.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 30cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Yes | 3c | 414.96$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b5…ca2dbacked Yes | 19c | 411.32$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.14 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed No | 80c | 390$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 136 | 49.3%67 W · 69 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 80c | 351.51$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.3 | 597 | 41.7%249 W · 348 L | -18.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 21c | 334.02$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.36 | 272 | 36.4%99 W · 173 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 79c | 329.17$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.13 | 358 | 60.6%217 W · 141 L | +21.4wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Yes | 6c | 317.5$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.05 | 446 | 47.3%211 W · 235 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe968…de6fbacked No | 79c | 312.14$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.55 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 74cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6868…24f0backed Yes | 6c | 300$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 80 | 38.8%31 W · 49 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 80c | 267.1$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.42 | 328 | 43.6%143 W · 185 L | -10.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6feb…c082backed Yes | 20c | 248.25$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.65 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -1.8wins | -0.12per pick | 39cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1b47…d814backed No | 79c | 247.28$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.93 | 98 | 58.2%57 W · 41 L | +6.0wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x789c…0d10backed Yes | 20c | 239.9$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.98 | 107 | 52.3%56 W · 51 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Yes | 21c | 225.58$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.69 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a16…5f47backed No | 80c | 200$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 60 | 21.7%13 W · 47 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38ba…bcf9backed Yes | 18c | 157.61$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.37 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4126…e68bbacked Yes | 17c | 144$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.55 | 142 | 38%54 W · 88 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfec2…08afbacked Yes | 20c | 128.6$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.72 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fd3…ac03backed No | 79c | 127.91$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2097…8b03backed No | 80c | 125$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 77cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1010…d793backed Yes | 20c | 120$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 80c | 119.37$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.4 | 633 | 46.3%293 W · 340 L | -21.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Yes | 28c | 100$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.1 | 121 | 44.6%54 W · 67 L | -9.1wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0e…4f01backed No | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.5 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -4.0wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5120…b26bbacked Yes | 21c | 95.24$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed No | 80c | 88.75$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.19 | 144 | 54.9%79 W · 65 L | +7.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a7e…9dc6backed Yes | 18c | 70$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 82 | 37.8%31 W · 51 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x64f0…e276backed Yes | 18c | 69.67$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.3 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68f8…12c8backed No | 79c | 69.62$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.62 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 65cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x182f…de4fbacked No | 79c | 69.51$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.64 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -2.1wins | -0.17per pick | 76cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 19c | 65$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.55 | 243 | 40.7%99 W · 144 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9900…5cc9backed No | 79c | 63.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.29 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf24f…15b2backed Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed No | 78c | 42.81$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.22 | 170 | 58.8%100 W · 70 L | +10.3wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf30a…61fbbacked No | 72c | 40$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.4 | 65 | 46.2%30 W · 35 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca1f…d282backed No | 80c | 40$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 71cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed No | 79c | 35.71$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.66 | 308 | 56.8%175 W · 133 L | +11.6wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed No | 79c | 27.18$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.57 | 143 | 53.8%77 W · 66 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc79f…d270backed No | 79c | 24.72$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.19 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked No | 71c | 24$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.96 | 73 | 56.2%41 W · 32 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3555…208ebacked No | 79c | 18.99$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.99 | 33 | 69.7%23 W · 10 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8859…89d6backed No | 79c | 18.99$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.99 | 32 | 71.9%23 W · 9 L | +3.4wins | +0.11per pick | 61cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Sabah FK win on 2026-08-05?this page
- Will Aarhus GF vs. Sabah FK end in a draw?No won
- Will Aarhus GF win on 2026-08-05?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.