TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Europa Conference League · resolved market

Will FK Auda win on 2026-08-04?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$29,878
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$33,939

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,878 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 90 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc3c3…eec8backed No58c5,000$2,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,899.9921237.3%79 W · 133 L-11.1wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-23%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Yes42c4,149$1,743 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,406.4211235.7%40 W · 72 L-6.9wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-23.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Yes43c1,632$695 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$937.611,60438.9%624 W · 980 L-17.7wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-15.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed No58c1,375$798 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$797.792,33341.7%972 W · 1,361 L+25.5wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No58c940.16$542 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$542.141,03950%520 W · 519 L+26.5wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7b0c…a1aabacked No59c888$524 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$523.92633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-12.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Yes39c845$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$515.4597346%448 W · 525 L-4.7wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x1be7…a6e3backed No60c666$401 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400.611030%3 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.09per pick39cpaid-53.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc3bc…31fbbacked No59c377.08$222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$222.1540%2 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.26per pick66cpaid-48%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed No55c361.19$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.892,16737.6%815 W · 1,352 L+5.7wins0.00per pick37cpaid-6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed No9c349.73$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.8879532.2%256 W · 539 L-16.9wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-27.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaaca…f5d5backed No58c348.79$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203.6117443.1%75 W · 99 L-0.7wins0.00per pick44cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No9c339.87$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.5616045%72 W · 88 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-12.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfec2…08afbacked Yes43c312.08$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178.084360.5%26 W · 17 L+8.4wins+0.20per pick41cpaid+60.4%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0xb7b3…9573backed No58c300$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1744353.5%23 W · 20 L+0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid+2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6868…24f0backed Yes44c300$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16820740.1%83 W · 124 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick41cpaid+11%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f3f…959bbacked Yes36c277.78$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.783132.3%10 W · 21 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed No57c263.14$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.9965535.6%233 W · 422 L-13.7wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-11.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked No63c250$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.851,03346.1%476 W · 557 L-3.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes42c219.37$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.481,11435.8%399 W · 715 L-13.0wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a7e…9dc6backed Yes40c218.55$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.512941.9%54 W · 75 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Yes57c211.76$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.3355845%251 W · 307 L+2.4wins0.00per pick45cpaid-7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcbb7…0acebacked Yes40c182.5$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.52951.7%15 W · 14 L+3.2wins+0.11per pick41cpaid+30.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7f8d…8611backed Yes44c176.09$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.611100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+127.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No8c148.68$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.542,99042.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L+9.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Yes42c134.5$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.452,47333.9%839 W · 1,634 L-95.0wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-25%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb4bf…60f8backed Yes52c131.45$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.0539357.5%226 W · 167 L+17.0wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Yes54c129.47$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.9456849.6%282 W · 286 L+5.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3486…49eebacked Yes42c119.36$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.3627437.2%102 W · 172 L-1.2wins0.00per pick38cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2638…8e2dbacked No59c116.04$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.42580%4 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.16per pick64cpaid+24.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x042d…0b81backed Yes42c108.05$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.6712548%60 W · 65 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3995…f71dbacked Yes43c100$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$572352.2%12 W · 11 L+3.3wins+0.14per pick38cpaid+44.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa4a6…c03bbacked Yes42c95.24$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.243461.8%21 W · 13 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Yes43c92.88$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.2244156%247 W · 194 L+22.7wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+12.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xfcc7…4d38backed No58c91.15$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.8713450%67 W · 67 L+4.6wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x918a…03c8backed Yes44c90.91$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.911100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+127.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes58c86.62$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.83,72647%1,750 W · 1,976 L+20.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes43c84.64$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.4291950.9%468 W · 451 L+15.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x747f…f2d7backed No58c82.76$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4823653%125 W · 111 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdebb…eedbbacked No60c81.95$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.087545.3%34 W · 41 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-13.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Yes38c77.78$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.221,02247.5%485 W · 537 L-2.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5c80…e19bbacked No66c75.76$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50837.5%3 W · 5 L-2.0wins-0.25per pick62cpaid-46.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x48e4…db33backed Yes43c72.09$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.092272.7%16 W · 6 L+3.7wins+0.17per pick56cpaid+34.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xdb7b…eac6backed No59c71.19$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$422240.9%9 W · 13 L-3.4wins-0.15per pick56cpaid-26%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf9f1…23eebacked Yes44c70$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.214233.1%47 W · 95 L-9.2wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-17.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes41c60.41$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.417435.1%26 W · 48 L-3.5wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-21.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf497…5ce0backed Yes36c59.99$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.399443.6%41 W · 53 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Yes39c58$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.3827039.3%106 W · 164 L-7.4wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-16.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Yes40c56.3$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.8923950.2%120 W · 119 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3ca9…424abacked Yes68c55.34$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.8138952.7%205 W · 184 L-5.2wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-10%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4b3b…900fbacked Yes36c55.06$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.241100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.64per pick36cpaid+177.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2bb2…b26cbacked Yes46c54.06$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.062157.1%12 W · 9 L+1.3wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+16.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb8ef…2864backed No58c53.99$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.313839.5%15 W · 23 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-19.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf2f…06bebacked Yes39c51.28$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.28977.8%7 W · 2 L+4.0wins+0.44per pick33cpaid+159.9%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xd443…5f71backed Yes40c50.93$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.6737043.8%162 W · 208 L-8.9wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-11.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x435e…f153backed Yes36c50.06$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.04540%2 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick34cpaid+35.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d0e…4f01backed Yes42c50$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$296958%40 W · 29 L+4.7wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+9.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2a16…5f47backed No59c49.99$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.495328.3%15 W · 38 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick31cpaid+16.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4c63…8448backed Yes41c48.78$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.78366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+26.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x489d…f6e3backed No57c45.91$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.0615949.1%78 W · 81 L+5.6wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+9.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5dc8…e209backed No66c45.45$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30850%4 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-33.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe84f…b777backed Yes57c43.83$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.6919163.4%121 W · 70 L+10.5wins+0.05per pick58cpaid-0.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xcc97…7172backed Yes45c43.13$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.721631.3%5 W · 11 L-1.1wins-0.07per pick38cpaid-9.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x84d4…77a9backed No47c41.63$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.4529654.1%160 W · 136 L+8.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid-3.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe0ec…a9c4backed Yes39c40.26$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.421353.8%7 W · 6 L+1.0wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+10.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x572b…83dbbacked Yes41c36.62$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.624100%4 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+64.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1425…3bc8backed Yes58c35.79$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.14580%4 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.17per pick63cpaid+23.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4a87…fb21backed Yes42c35.71$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.713351.5%17 W · 16 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-2.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf102…1348backed Yes40c35$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2137926.1%99 W · 280 L-8.1wins-0.02per pick28cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8859…89d6backed No60c33.33$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204763.8%30 W · 17 L+2.6wins+0.06per pick58cpaid+9.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb8c6…7b39backed No58c32.99$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.138446.4%39 W · 45 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-20.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Yes58c32.53$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.7627554.9%151 W · 124 L+7.4wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Yes45c32.09$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.6533446.7%156 W · 178 L-14.5wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-18.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5e50…c665backed No64c31.96$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.4610148.5%49 W · 52 L+4.4wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+9.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0d10…780bbacked Yes47c31.91$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.915164.7%33 W · 18 L+6.0wins+0.12per pick53cpaid+26.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x212b…0ba5backed No66c31.54$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.791060%6 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb8fc…b543backed No57c29.85$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.011136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-19.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb8f6…4f7fbacked No59c29.82$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.546639.4%26 W · 40 L-5.6wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-24%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5d63…9075backed No42c29.58$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.3885260.9%519 W · 333 L+29.5wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+1.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa2a8…01e3backed Yes40c25$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+150%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3555…208ebacked No61c24.59$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156657.6%38 W · 28 L-4.1wins-0.06per pick64cpaid-9.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5b6e…f544backed Yes44c24.36$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.6429337.9%111 W · 182 L+6.2wins+0.02per pick36cpaid-5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf24f…15b2backed Yes42c24$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.926734.3%23 W · 44 L-7.7wins-0.11per pick46cpaid-30.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x0368…9874backed Yes44c23.6$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.342100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+103.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6cdf…58e1backed No66c22.73$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151050%5 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-32.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7dae…7199backed Yes46c22.02$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.943354.5%18 W · 15 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+40.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d67…3667backed Yes58c21.96$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.2331856%178 W · 140 L+6.3wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0df7…1ec1backed Yes80c20$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.13271.9%23 W · 9 L+6.0wins+0.19per pick53cpaid+60.1%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xe8ad…2602backed No62c17.29$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.72540%2 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.18per pick58cpaid-18.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfeef…4b1fbacked No66c15.21$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.048869.3%61 W · 27 L+2.8wins+0.03per pick66cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.