Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will FK Auda vs. FC Dinamo City end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x111623ffb22b59f05cc173238720a755a37b958ad0c9a013c6ac7c1212af52c6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,210
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,028
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,210 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked No | 66c | 1,737$1,149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$587.95 | 558 | 45%251 W · 307 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 51c | 1,372$705 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$667.05 | 1,604 | 38.9%624 W · 980 L | -17.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 39c | 978.11$379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378.52 | 2,333 | 41.7%972 W · 1,361 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 46c | 529.76$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.3 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 29c | 453.17$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.42 | 1,114 | 35.8%399 W · 715 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ee0…4078backed Yes | 8c | 375$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 6cpaid | +978.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57f6…ba20backed No | 50c | 300$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.17per pick | 45cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6868…24f0backed Yes | 30c | 300$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 207 | 40.1%83 W · 124 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +11%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf28e…0bb1backed Yes | 9c | 300$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 55 | 36.4%20 W · 35 L | +3.8wins | +0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 71c | 267.47$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.75 | 919 | 50.9%468 W · 451 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79fd…78cebacked Yes | 51c | 235.29$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 73 | 64.4%47 W · 26 L | +9.3wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc0…e57dbacked Yes | 18c | 168.97$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 26cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96ea…639abacked No | 59c | 109.47$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.88 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 62c | 101.05$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.6 | 2,473 | 33.9%839 W · 1,634 L | -95.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f8b…b723backed Yes | 36c | 83.33$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.17per pick | 53cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x882c…5d07backed Yes | 33c | 80.13$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.46 | 351 | 46.2%162 W · 189 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8903…5519backed No | 59c | 75.37$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc61b…fe5ebacked No | 72c | 74$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.72 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 76cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd331…733cbacked Yes | 29c | 70$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.3 | 83 | 47%39 W · 44 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes | 29c | 62.41$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.15 | 105 | 37.1%39 W · 66 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Yes | 48c | 60.59$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.83 | 318 | 56%178 W · 140 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18b6…babfbacked No | 56c | 60.18$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.48 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 29c | 56.97$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.52 | 655 | 35.6%233 W · 422 L | -13.7wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1985…51abbacked No | 51c | 55.17$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.12 | 44 | 59.1%26 W · 18 L | +5.4wins | +0.12per pick | 47cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed No | 71c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.5 | 441 | 56%247 W · 194 L | +22.7wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a16…5f47backed No | 71c | 49.99$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.5 | 53 | 28.3%15 W · 38 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked No | 71c | 49$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.3 | 389 | 52.7%205 W · 184 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaaca…f5d5backed Yes | 28c | 45.91$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.85 | 174 | 43.1%75 W · 99 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Yes | 48c | 41.95$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.96 | 191 | 63.4%121 W · 70 L | +10.5wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a61…3c05backed Yes | 29c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1425…3bc8backed Yes | 47c | 38.24$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.13 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.17per pick | 63cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefd0…4200backed Yes | 29c | 38.14$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.06 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc8e…944ebacked No | 72c | 34.46$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.65 | 80 | 70%56 W · 24 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 72cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x747f…f2d7backed No | 71c | 33.79$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 236 | 53%125 W · 111 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9db0…93f9backed Yes | 47c | 32.61$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.34 | 22 | 77.3%17 W · 5 L | +4.4wins | +0.20per pick | 57cpaid | +35.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed Yes | 47c | 31.3$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.82 | 296 | 54.1%160 W · 136 L | +8.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Yes | 46c | 30.81$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.26 | 580 | 61.9%359 W · 221 L | +22.5wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Yes | 46c | 30.8$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.21 | 852 | 60.9%519 W · 333 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 57c | 29.88$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.77 | 568 | 49.6%282 W · 286 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8e4…3b32backed Yes | 37c | 28.29$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.56 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e50…c665backed Yes | 50c | 20.46$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.23 | 101 | 48.5%49 W · 52 L | +4.4wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will FK Auda vs. FC Dinamo City end in a draw?this page
- Will FC Dinamo City win on 2026-08-04?No won
- Will FK Auda win on 2026-08-04?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.