Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will FC Dinamo City win on 2026-08-04?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x123f72860d8c4251072aab3ad6678cf1b9328ba5aae5f159868e629086bee0c5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $26,228
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $28,091
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,228 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 1c | 6,350$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.36 | 2,344 | 41.6%976 W · 1,368 L | +25.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 19c | 1,953$371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$371.49 | 2,478 | 33.9%840 W · 1,638 L | -95.6wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Yes | 33c | 1,596$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$529.92 | 978 | 46.2%452 W · 526 L | -3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 67c | 965.94$646 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320.4 | 1,046 | 50.2%525 W · 521 L | +28.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Yes | 23c | 733.58$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.23 | 558 | 45%251 W · 307 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4bb5…1d5bbacked No | 75c | 523.43$393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.86 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 69c | 433.97$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.53 | 1,316 | 50.8%668 W · 648 L | +33.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed Yes | 20c | 300$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6868…24f0backed Yes | 14c | 300$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 207 | 40.1%83 W · 124 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +11%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yes | 25c | 269.82$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.2 | 1,611 | 38.8%625 W · 986 L | -19.0wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd32…f000backed No | 68c | 216.01$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.01 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.18per pick | 52cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x68f8…12c8backed No | 72c | 212.5$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.5 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 66cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a7e…9dc6backed Yes | 30c | 185.99$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.04 | 129 | 41.9%54 W · 75 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9271…a28abacked Yes | 31c | 163.1$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.56 | 70 | 42.9%30 W · 40 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Yes | 23c | 150$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.5 | 239 | 50.2%120 W · 119 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed No | 67c | 141.68$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.65 | 655 | 49.8%326 W · 329 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10ff…ff77backed Yes | 32c | 129.99$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.6 | 318 | 42.1%134 W · 184 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 67c | 125.75$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.5 | 741 | 55.9%414 W · 327 L | +19.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 21c | 90$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.25 | 380 | 47.4%180 W · 200 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ef9…11b4backed No | 73c | 68.49$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.49 | 34 | 70.6%24 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 69cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4a6…c03bbacked No | 70c | 57.14$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.14 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…3180backed Yes | 28c | 52.78$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.78 | 34 | 64.7%22 W · 12 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ef…2864backed Yes | 31c | 49.25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.15 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a16…5f47backed Yes | 32c | 46.77$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.97 | 53 | 28.3%15 W · 38 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 68c | 44.22$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.15 | 1,026 | 47.4%486 W · 540 L | -3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e3…f1bdbacked No | 66c | 39.18$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.32 | 51 | 74.5%38 W · 13 L | +6.7wins | +0.13per pick | 61cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6e…f544backed No | 73c | 32.65$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.82 | 293 | 37.9%111 W · 182 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x976e…8453backed No | 70c | 28$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.45 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 69cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafe3…1f2abacked No | 72c | 20.83$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.83 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.15per pick | 70cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x147c…2540backed No | 67c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.95 | 88 | 55.7%49 W · 39 L | -5.5wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will FC Dinamo City win on 2026-08-04?this page
- Will FK Auda vs. FC Dinamo City end in a draw?No won
- Will FK Auda win on 2026-08-04?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.