TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xe8ad…2602

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
93
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: South American Leagues, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category South American Leagues at 56 out of 100; worst Other European Leagues at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Aug 8, 2026, EDT4645.7%21 W · 25 L+2.7wins+0.06per pick40cpaid+24.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Tennis — the 46 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Lexington: Edas Butvilas vs Dusan Lajovicbacked Edas Butvilas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT+37%+$3.9
National Bank Open: Nuno Borges vs Luciano Darderibacked Nuno Borges · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.06
ITF Landisville: Yeon Woo Ku vs Mai Hontamabacked Mai Hontama · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$9.11
Grodzisk Mazowiecki: Mathys Erhard vs Joel Schwaerzlerbacked Mathys Erhard · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.93
ITF Astana: Shintaro Imai vs Shunsuke Mitsuibacked Shintaro Imai · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.71
ITF Tianjin: Yuki Mochizuki vs Donghyun Hwangbacked Yuki Mochizuki · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$5.33
National Bank Open: Casper Ruud vs Joao Fonsecabacked Joao Fonseca · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$10.89
National Bank Open: Maya Joint vs Liudmila Samsonovabacked Maya Joint · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.36
National Bank Open: Tallon Griekspoor vs Matteo Arnaldibacked Matteo Arnaldi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.41
Istanbul 2: Koki Matsuda vs Gijs Brouwerbacked Gijs Brouwer · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$16.89
Grodzisk Mazowiecki: Joel Schwaerzler vs Ilya Ivashkabacked Joel Schwaerzler · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$16.09
Warsaw: Elizara Yaneva vs Gabriela Knutsonbacked Elizara Yaneva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.67
National Bank Open: Learner Tien vs Gael Monfilsbacked Gael Monfils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.68
National Bank Open: Alexander Zverev vs Tallon Griekspoorbacked Tallon Griekspoor · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$23.26
National Bank Open: Rafael Jodar vs Corentin Moutetbacked Corentin Moutet · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.75
National Bank Open: Raphael Collignon vs Alexei Popyrinbacked Raphael Collignon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.74
National Bank Open: Valentin Vacherot vs Mariano Navonebacked Mariano Navone · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$18.66
National Bank Open: Zizou Bergs vs Sebastian Baezbacked Sebastian Baez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.92
Grodzisk Mazowiecki: Amit Vales vs Daniil Glinkabacked Amit Vales · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.55
National Bank Open: Flavio Cobolli vs Yannick Hanfmannbacked Yannick Hanfmann · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$10.43
National Bank Open: Luciano Darderi vs Gabriel Diallobacked Luciano Darderi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$18.37
National Bank Open: Clara Tauson vs Nikola Bartunkovabacked Clara Tauson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.85
Canadian Open: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Liam Draxlbacked Liam Draxl · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.47
National Bank Open: Alexei Popyrin vs Roman Andres Burruchagabacked Roman Andres Burruchaga · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.22
National Bank Open: Donna Vekic vs Viktorija Golubicbacked Viktorija Golubic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$11.16
Showing 25 of 46 picks, newest first.
MLBlast resolved Aug 17, 2026, EDT1450%7 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
MLB — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Cincinnati Redsbacked Cincinnati Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.66
Atlanta Braves vs. New York Yankeesbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.54
Houston Astros vs. San Diego Padresbacked Houston Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$11.57
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Philadelphia Philliesbacked Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.11
Baltimore Orioles vs. Texas Rangersbacked Texas Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$21.99
Cincinnati Reds vs. Washington Nationalsbacked Cincinnati Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.13
Los Angeles Angels vs. Miami Marlinsbacked Los Angeles Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$16.12
Washington Nationals vs. Philadelphia Philliesbacked Washington Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$20.67
Detroit Tigers vs. Seattle Marinersbacked Seattle Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.01
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago Cubsbacked Chicago Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$21.24
Athletics vs. Cincinnati Redsbacked Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.62
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Washington Nationalsbacked Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+25%+$2.55
Colorado Rockies vs. San Diego Padresbacked Colorado Rockies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.23
Cleveland Guardians vs. Cincinnati Redsbacked Cleveland Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$13.2
All 14 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Aug 8, 2026, EDT742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.18per pick61cpaid-34.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Aug 6, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.18per pick58cpaid-18.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian League Inactivelast resolved Aug 8, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.18per pick58cpaid-23.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Asian League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Aug 5, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.22per pick53cpaid+35.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Aug 8, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.17per pick58cpaid+21.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Aug 8, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Aug 8, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+122.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Cricket Inactivelast resolved Aug 7, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Cricket — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Metro Bank One Day Cup: Leicestershire vs Warwickshirebacked Warwickshire · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.81
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.