Premier League · resolved market
Will Barnsley FC win on 2026-08-08?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8b6e0b2e535f909fc7bf94d5e9d3745841177e963900130e1ae0c9420c7efd3c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $28,525
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $29,000
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,525 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4956…e2c7backed No | 63c | 20,030$12,678 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,351.84 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 37c | 8,586$3,134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,133.8 | 4,768 | 41.8%1,993 W · 2,775 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Yes | 11c | 3,921$418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$418.09 | 346 | 28.6%99 W · 247 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 37c | 3,000$1,110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,110 | 1,244 | 49.4%615 W · 629 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yes | 33c | 1,753$583 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$582.69 | 773 | 42.8%331 W · 442 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 67c | 1,219$812 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$406.29 | 1,044 | 33.3%348 W · 696 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes | 38c | 1,026$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390 | 604 | 45.4%274 W · 330 L | -15.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…d360backed Yes | 36c | 833.33$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked Yes | 36c | 787.03$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.33 | 71 | 49.3%35 W · 36 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Yes | 36c | 752$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.43 | 182 | 38.5%70 W · 112 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed Yes | 36c | 694.44$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 62 | 43.5%27 W · 35 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Yes | 38c | 586.5$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.87 | 504 | 50%252 W · 252 L | +19.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 67c | 401.36$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.41 | 1,690 | 34.9%589 W · 1,101 L | -33.1wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes | 36c | 347$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.92 | 964 | 43.7%421 W · 543 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 37c | 337$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.69 | 1,240 | 42.2%523 W · 717 L | -29.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes | 37c | 333$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.21 | 1,074 | 45%483 W · 591 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74bf…f43dbacked Yes | 17c | 259.04$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.46 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed No | 62c | 258.39$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.19 | 245 | 44.5%109 W · 136 L | +7.4wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 38c | 152.21$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.84 | 2,558 | 47.7%1,221 W · 1,337 L | +44.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 37c | 148$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.39 | 1,636 | 52.9%866 W · 770 L | +32.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Yes | 38c | 89.4$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.97 | 123 | 45.5%56 W · 67 L | -8.5wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 80c | 73$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.6 | 533 | 44.8%239 W · 294 L | -13.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Yes | 38c | 73$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.74 | 101 | 63.4%64 W · 37 L | +8.3wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Yes | 38c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 337 | 51.3%173 W · 164 L | +11.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7df0…0dfebacked Yes | 36c | 40$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8ad…2602backed Yes | 39c | 27$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.53 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked No | 71c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.38 | 271 | 51.7%140 W · 131 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Barnsley FC win on 2026-08-08?this page
- Will Barnsley FC vs. Wigan Athletic FC end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Wigan Athletic FC win on 2026-08-08?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.