Premier League · resolved market
Will Wigan Athletic FC win on 2026-08-08?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x81702efd58158cedf04c8ad313be94b73febc98e51da1e8a5d32bd19f19c85bc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,249
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,129
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,249 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe0ec…a9c4backed Yes | 2c | 10,221$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.8 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +3.3wins | +0.19per pick | 46cpaid | +53.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Yes | 2c | 1,333$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.66 | 413 | 43.3%179 W · 234 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 62c | 1,265$785 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480.85 | 768 | 42.6%327 W · 441 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 47c | 1,089$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510.46 | 886 | 35.8%317 W · 569 L | -13.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -17%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 17c | 658.18$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.89 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 63c | 427.47$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.96 | 1,662 | 34.9%580 W · 1,082 L | -32.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e46…60d6backed Yes | 68c | 300$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204 | 69 | 60.9%42 W · 27 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Yes | 17c | 283$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.11 | 489 | 50.1%245 W · 244 L | +18.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 29c | 251.75$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.74 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 75c | 250.76$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.32 | 1,012 | 33.2%336 W · 676 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed No | 18c | 184.61$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.6 | 578 | 33%191 W · 387 L | -29.9wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed No | 66c | 144.29$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.06 | 232 | 43.5%101 W · 131 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe524…d34fbacked Yes | 34c | 115.29$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.2 | 53 | 45.3%24 W · 29 L | +5.0wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | +45.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x835b…118fbacked Yes | 72c | 100$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.20per pick | 63cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9bea…038ebacked No | 20c | 68.53$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.53 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.16per pick | 14cpaid | +51.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed No | 30c | 64.47$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.13 | 84 | 64.3%54 W · 30 L | +4.2wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed No | 30c | 44.47$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.13 | 101 | 63.4%64 W · 37 L | +8.3wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed No | 30c | 42.97$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.08 | 86 | 64%55 W · 31 L | +5.4wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 66c | 42.5$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.45 | 594 | 45.5%270 W · 324 L | -15.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d6a…4adabacked Yes | 50c | 38.88$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.44 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Yes | 59c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.75 | 270 | 51.5%139 W · 131 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Wigan Athletic FC win on 2026-08-08?this page
- Will Barnsley FC vs. Wigan Athletic FC end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Barnsley FC win on 2026-08-08?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.