Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë win on 2026-08-06?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3ca75c0a3c1d4594db181c5c0e69f888caaed57375763ea7eb322b5b77c597ca
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $30,665
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $32,118
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,665 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Yes | 7c | 5,193$373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$373.2 | 270 | 39.3%106 W · 164 L | -7.4wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes | 17c | 4,428$761 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$761.09 | 1,316 | 50.8%668 W · 648 L | +33.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 16c | 1,386$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.13 | 2,473 | 33.9%839 W · 1,634 L | -95.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x946f…67c1backed No | 79c | 1,245$982 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.91 | 26 | 69.2%18 W · 8 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 62cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d6a…4adabacked Yes | 21c | 952.38$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.29 | 68 | 55.9%38 W · 30 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6297…1302backed Yes | 15c | 688.89$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2759…2b38backed Yes | 18c | 574.98$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.5 | 56 | 32.1%18 W · 38 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes | 25c | 563$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.38 | 135 | 47.4%64 W · 71 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Yes | 12c | 524.23$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.5 | 973 | 46%448 W · 525 L | -4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 75c | 516.59$387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.15 | 1,039 | 50%520 W · 519 L | +26.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 77c | 506.14$391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.91 | 919 | 50.9%468 W · 451 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yes | 13c | 396.65$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.33 | 1,604 | 38.9%624 W · 980 L | -17.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b0f…b7aebacked Yes | 19c | 271$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.49 | 88 | 40.9%36 W · 52 L | +8.0wins | +0.09per pick | 32cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked No | 75c | 256$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64 | 275 | 45.8%126 W · 149 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 74c | 230.85$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.36 | 741 | 55.9%414 W · 327 L | +19.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 21c | 190.08$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.62 | 783 | 44.8%351 W · 432 L | +13.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10ff…ff77backed Yes | 21c | 125.99$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.46 | 318 | 42.1%134 W · 184 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed No | 75c | 102.38$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.59 | 555 | 45.8%254 W · 301 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc97…7172backed Yes | 15c | 98.16$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.42 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed Yes | 19c | 80$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.2 | 76 | 50%38 W · 38 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Yes | 19c | 76.35$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.51 | 655 | 49.8%326 W · 329 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Yes | 16c | 74.83$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.22 | 389 | 52.7%205 W · 184 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ef9…11b4backed No | 78c | 64.1$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 34 | 70.6%24 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 69cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0e…4f01backed Yes | 19c | 54$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.18 | 69 | 58%40 W · 29 L | +4.7wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a16…5f47backed Yes | 24c | 46.67$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 53 | 28.3%15 W · 38 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b91…27dcbacked Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2167…5dedbacked No | 76c | 32.89$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.89 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc8e…944ebacked No | 76c | 32.64$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.83 | 80 | 70%56 W · 24 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 72cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e90…4f65backed No | 78c | 23.68$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.24 | 56 | 64.3%36 W · 20 L | +4.3wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +16%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x03dc…64fdbacked No | 79c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 57 | 66.7%38 W · 19 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x147c…2540backed No | 75c | 16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 87 | 55.2%48 W · 39 L | -5.7wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x12c8…3cb0backed No | 76c | 15.13$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.63 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.19per pick | 61cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8ad…2602backed No | 76c | 13.45$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.23 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 58cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë win on 2026-08-06?this page
- Will Shamrock Rovers FC vs. KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë end in a draw?No won
- Will Shamrock Rovers FC win on 2026-08-06?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.