Champions League · resolved market
Fenerbahçe SK leading at halftime?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x94b21d81e765b614e2b86ca232befe364c6a57a06c3506d1d1bf3a94c447495f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,905
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,794
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,905 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 13c | 1,680$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.44 | 1,071 | 34.8%373 W · 698 L | -15.0wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked No | 44c | 420.47$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.4 | 225 | 52%117 W · 108 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 55c | 244.76$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.13 | 288 | 33.3%96 W · 192 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 55c | 182.05$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.9 | 910 | 32.6%297 W · 613 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 44c | 179.67$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79 | 749 | 35.4%265 W · 484 L | -30.8wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -30%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 9c | 147$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.23 | 472 | 46.8%221 W · 251 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Yes | 57c | 145$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.35 | 121 | 38.8%47 W · 74 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 69c | 138.51$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.45 | 2,025 | 43.7%884 W · 1,141 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e5a…96bcbacked Yes | 60c | 130.89$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.7 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf404…daaabacked Yes | 57c | 89.99$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f55…92c3backed No | 47c | 89$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.83 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -27%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed No | 45c | 88.57$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.77 | 269 | 31.6%85 W · 184 L | -22.0wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4d1c…8408backed No | 43c | 86.22$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 53c | 83.91$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.44 | 526 | 46.8%246 W · 280 L | -9.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked No | 43c | 81.54$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.42 | 522 | 46.7%244 W · 278 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x633e…d305backed Yes | 55c | 67.53$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.39 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | +3.3wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x579a…b0a7backed Yes | 57c | 52.63$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.63 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes | 53c | 34.61$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.27 | 369 | 42.5%157 W · 212 L | -12.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee0b…e6d4backed No | 43c | 33.34$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.34 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.19per pick | 41cpaid | -61.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe8ad…2602backed Yes | 57c | 21.26$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.14 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Fenerbahçe SK leading at halftime?this page
- Fenerbahçe SK vs. SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz: Draw at halftime?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.