TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Other European Leagues · resolved market

Will IK Start win on 2026-08-08?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$84,105
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$99,900

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $84,105 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 84 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Yes27c12,493$3,412 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,411.667,88945.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L+11.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-9.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed No55c10,000$5,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,500.29846.9%46 W · 52 L+6.3wins+0.06per pick40cpaid+2.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Yes9c7,984$745 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$744.662,00136.5%730 W · 1,271 L-25.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-18.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa7a4…e371backed Yes48c5,367$2,576 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,575.9210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1b47…d814backed No54c4,957$2,692 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,264.8918743.9%82 W · 105 L-11.9wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-10.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes25c2,897$720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$719.995,60442%2,356 W · 3,248 L+75.1wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc41d…74fdbacked No53c2,724$1,437 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,287.56771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.22per pick50cpaid+25.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xbd9f…c675backed Yes32c2,643$850 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8501942.1%8 W · 11 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick38cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd21c…2afcbacked No77c2,322$1,787 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$535.062055%11 W · 9 L+2.0wins+0.10per pick45cpaid+14.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked No61c2,275$1,398 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$877.0951842.1%218 W · 300 L-18.2wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-18.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed No52c1,097$576 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$521.0777350.2%388 W · 385 L+2.9wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa084…bb99backed No50c1,040$520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$520.22751.9%14 W · 13 L+2.9wins+0.11per pick41cpaid+16%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb550…2799backed Yes50c1,026$513 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$512.82633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-32%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1a62…4ab9backed Yes1c1,010$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.13732.4%12 W · 25 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick31cpaid+7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c84…a8edbacked Yes48c1,000$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48013357.1%76 W · 57 L+10.3wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+13.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xa804…2a75backed Yes45c885.95$399 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$398.688251.2%42 W · 40 L+2.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+4.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa6d1…286abacked Yes48c679$326 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$325.921163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.7wins+0.15per pick48cpaid+26.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xcb72…291fbacked Yes48c673$323 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$323.041154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Yes44c589.5$259 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$259.381,15960.7%703 W · 456 L+68.5wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+9.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1230…dd03backed Yes16c579.06$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.65250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.09per pick41cpaid-25.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc0bf…b96abacked Yes23c578.26$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13310%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d67…3667backed Yes32c526.26$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.2330550.8%155 W · 150 L+1.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-7.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2128…da98backed No57c462$263 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$198.66683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.22per pick61cpaid+53.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes41c461.32$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.141,11351%568 W · 545 L+29.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x52a0…ec9dbacked Yes44c390.91$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1721330.8%4 W · 9 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick37cpaid-39.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x460c…b5b5backed Yes29c306.78$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.367564%48 W · 27 L+6.3wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+5.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc7ff…8a60backed Yes49c299.98$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.991172.7%8 W · 3 L+2.6wins+0.24per pick49cpaid+42.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb4bf…60f8backed Yes39c257.97$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.7927554.9%151 W · 124 L+8.5wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe84f…b777backed Yes39c245.58$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.9833959%200 W · 139 L+18.4wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+4.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1d60…453dbacked Yes44c227.27$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007358.9%43 W · 30 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick56cpaid-2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2396…9037backed Yes45c222.22$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3b5f…7b99backed Yes46c200$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$924533.3%15 W · 30 L-5.2wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-28.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x10fd…633bbacked Yes43c200$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$863145.2%14 W · 17 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+18.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa498…245ebacked Yes50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001735.3%6 W · 11 L-3.2wins-0.19per pick54cpaid-40.5%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes47c193.85$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.112,33446.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L+14.5wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes46c180.75$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.881,43437.7%540 W · 894 L-3.6wins0.00per pick38cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Yes44c164$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.1646044.3%204 W · 256 L-8.9wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-8.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Yes47c162.57$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.4191148%437 W · 474 L+12.3wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2cb2…ee14backed Yes46c149.44$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.741947.4%9 W · 10 L-1.5wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-17.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x82fb…0b6ebacked No57c128.07$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.072487.5%21 W · 3 L+7.9wins+0.33per pick55cpaid+55.7%equal weight68+0.16 edge/pick
0x5b6e…f544backed No59c127.11$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.1218740.1%75 W · 112 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+19.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x013f…ca85backed Yes23c125.19$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.263161.3%19 W · 12 L+2.2wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+9.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1010…d793backed No59c120$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.213448.5%65 W · 69 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+9.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed Yes27c116.14$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.8535163.5%223 W · 128 L+13.8wins+0.04per pick60cpaid+3.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3a36…79d3backed Yes45c102.82$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.272552%13 W · 12 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0977…53ccbacked Yes43c97.21$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.86050%30 W · 30 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+14.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3cad…92f0backed No51c88.24$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.243855.3%21 W · 17 L+4.0wins+0.10per pick45cpaid+29.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x133a…504abacked No51c88.24$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.243256.3%18 W · 14 L+3.5wins+0.11per pick45cpaid+33.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3e6b…8a98backed No58c86.19$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.219146.6%89 W · 102 L-11.2wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-14.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6515…b867backed Yes51c68.97$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.07250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdeda…8e35backed No51c68.63$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.832673.1%19 W · 7 L+3.9wins+0.15per pick58cpaid+27%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xeeaa…15cebacked Yes47c63.96$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305263.5%33 W · 19 L+11.0wins+0.21per pick42cpaid+52.3%equal weight66+0.14 edge/pick
0xf005…caf0backed No58c61.4$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.791100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x83d9…10d9backed Yes40c58.39$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.259248.9%45 W · 47 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No53c54.62$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.882,06848.1%995 W · 1,073 L+2.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa8eb…0acbbacked Yes52c53.85$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$289555.8%53 W · 42 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd27f…13afbacked Yes51c50.27$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.64250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x193b…f6ecbacked No53c44.3$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.82771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.17per pick54cpaid+36%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x089c…4dc4backed No61c43.17$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.9823743.9%104 W · 133 L-5.4wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed No58c43.15$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.312,54352.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L+18.3wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x833c…ac24backed No58c43.1$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.15761.4%35 W · 22 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x490f…a02dbacked Yes48c41.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203836.8%14 W · 24 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-1.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xb6dd…7af9backed Yes39c41.39$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.211537.4%43 W · 72 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e50…c665backed Yes46c40.53$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.724652.2%24 W · 22 L+3.9wins+0.08per pick44cpaid+22.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1715…a049backed Yes48c40.07$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.245743.9%25 W · 32 L-8.1wins-0.14per pick58cpaid-29.1%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x2892…e9d7backed Yes47c40$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.88746%40 W · 47 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd5b8…233abacked Yes47c40$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.83836.8%14 W · 24 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick34cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ef1…4a76backed Yes45c40$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184047.5%19 W · 21 L-0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ddd…73b2backed Yes47c34.52$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.1510456.7%59 W · 45 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x084e…61c5backed Yes48c33.98$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.3110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf83b…caf4backed No59c33.9$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.91100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x667c…f8a3backed Yes43c33$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.1910%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8543…ff1bbacked Yes44c31.66$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.938549.4%42 W · 43 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7275…8b45backed Yes49c30$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.7616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.8wins-0.30per pick47cpaid-56.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb8c6…7b39backed Yes43c29.99$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.799135.2%32 W · 59 L-6.9wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-12.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked No70c28.14$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.5840850.7%207 W · 201 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-9.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xac4f…d2dcbacked Yes43c28$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.0410%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8e90…4f65backed Yes49c26.75$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.018956.2%50 W · 39 L+7.2wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+20.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xfb0c…8c72backed Yes47c23.11$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.9337049.5%183 W · 187 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6951…66f3backed No53c22.64$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.644358.1%25 W · 18 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+9.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe8ad…2602backed Yes46c22.63$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.41742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.18per pick61cpaid-34.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x70b1…73b2backed Yes47c21.31$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.023458.8%20 W · 14 L+2.7wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+13%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0598…3459backed Yes50c20.2$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0e82…7ab7backed No50c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101850%9 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.