Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Fredrikstad FK win on 2026-08-08?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc17f42496cc65dc55a03d108c490dbf49d5d0a9820d230915aa235f9e2b73bcd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $49,773
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $52,578
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $49,773 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 71 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4488…e319backed Yes | 29c | 10,350$2,963 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,387.22 | 98 | 46.9%46 W · 52 L | +6.3wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa804…2a75backed No | 72c | 4,849$3,491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,491.42 | 82 | 51.2%42 W · 40 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 59c | 3,387$1,985 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,985.44 | 2,001 | 36.5%730 W · 1,271 L | -25.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5a…87efbacked Yes | 30c | 3,333$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,333.33 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b47…d814backed No | 57c | 2,024$1,151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,150.78 | 187 | 43.9%82 W · 105 L | -11.9wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 32c | 1,843$599 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$598.9 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce7…3150backed Yes | 30c | 1,400$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$980 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +5.6wins | +0.15per pick | 40cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 70c | 1,336$935 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$935.35 | 2,068 | 48.1%995 W · 1,073 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 41c | 1,067$437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$437.27 | 877 | 45.2%396 W · 481 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 71c | 1,027$731 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$731.07 | 773 | 50.2%388 W · 385 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 70c | 1,000$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 1,113 | 51%568 W · 545 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0482…f72abacked No | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3d3…bb8ebacked Yes | 28c | 983.87$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$707.87 | 46 | 63%29 W · 17 L | +3.5wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1230…dd03backed Yes | 67c | 786.86$527 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.78 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 70c | 702.24$491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$491.35 | 852 | 50.4%429 W · 423 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9618…77e6backed No | 4c | 636$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.8 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | +2.9wins | +0.08per pick | 30cpaid | +215.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Yes | 36c | 592.92$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$381.29 | 518 | 42.1%218 W · 300 L | -18.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56f4…9ec5backed No | 10c | 560$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 133 | 32.3%43 W · 90 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -22%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebc0…5806backed Yes | 59c | 509.15$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.15 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 65cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 59c | 502.47$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.01 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 69c | 486.5$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335.68 | 1,711 | 48.3%827 W · 884 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 58c | 476.54$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.2 | 2,012 | 35.5%714 W · 1,298 L | -27.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed No | 72c | 325.99$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.71 | 546 | 50.4%275 W · 271 L | +15.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2759…2b38backed No | 70c | 320.89$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.63 | 72 | 31.9%23 W · 49 L | -4.8wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2cb2…ee14backed No | 39c | 318.32$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.18 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3740…a935backed Yes | 80c | 250$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.79 | 60 | 63.3%38 W · 22 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 26c | 239.3$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.08 | 1,434 | 37.7%540 W · 894 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x69a6…7a2cbacked Yes | 71c | 220.79$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.08 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +1.8wins | +0.11per pick | 60cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Yes | 42c | 187.1$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.37 | 297 | 54.5%162 W · 135 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked No | 70c | 177.83$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.48 | 460 | 44.3%204 W · 256 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee41…2e5cbacked Yes | 78c | 173.08$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.08 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x853e…f16abacked Yes | 26c | 153.85$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.85 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9133…20acbacked Yes | 53c | 153.19$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.20per pick | 65cpaid | +33%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x042d…0b81backed Yes | 30c | 128.56$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.99 | 51 | 64.7%33 W · 18 L | +4.2wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1010…d793backed Yes | 31c | 120$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.8 | 134 | 48.5%65 W · 69 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6994…fc1fbacked No | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 69c | 96.84$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.82 | 1,467 | 48%704 W · 763 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeeaa…15cebacked No | 41c | 72.86$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 52 | 63.5%33 W · 19 L | +11.0wins | +0.21per pick | 42cpaid | +52.3%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed No | 61c | 67.88$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.08 | 305 | 50.8%155 W · 150 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Yes | 78c | 58.72$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.09 | 233 | 48.1%112 W · 121 L | -7.1wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ee3…2e6abacked Yes | 31c | 53.23$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.73 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | +1.7wins | +0.10per pick | 25cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a55…a82abacked Yes | 59c | 50.85$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.85 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed No | 70c | 50$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 398 | 52.5%209 W · 189 L | +10.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Yes | 27c | 49.89$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.42 | 370 | 49.5%183 W · 187 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…10d9backed No | 44c | 47.49$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.85 | 92 | 48.9%45 W · 47 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68f8…12c8backed No | 75c | 46.67$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -5.0wins | -0.19per pick | 67cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Yes | 41c | 45.43$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.9 | 339 | 59%200 W · 139 L | +18.4wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 74c | 44.98$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.18 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 74c | 44.75$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.69 | 940 | 43.7%411 W · 529 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f8d…8611backed Yes | 26c | 42.31$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.31 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.5wins | +0.42per pick | 41cpaid | +107.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdb47…3650backed Yes | 37c | 40.61$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.61 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +170.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed No | 26c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.35 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5b8…233abacked Yes | 27c | 39.98$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.19 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Yes | 41c | 39.51$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.33 | 275 | 54.9%151 W · 124 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x999a…9a25backed Yes | 78c | 38.8$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.6 | 80 | 50%40 W · 40 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -23%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 55c | 38.58$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.36 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -4.0wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x70bb…10d3backed No | 65c | 32.35$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.16 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +29%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ddd…73b2backed No | 66c | 29.16$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.16 | 104 | 56.7%59 W · 45 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 42c | 27.36$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 2,640 | 35.7%942 W · 1,698 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x918a…03c8backed Yes | 56c | 26.8$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.8 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd8fa…581fbacked No | 72c | 24.94$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.96 | 98 | 66.3%65 W · 33 L | +12.0wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb8e1…9bc1backed No | 74c | 24.43$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.15 | 62 | 67.7%42 W · 20 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82e7…c61cbacked Yes | 58c | 24.14$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.14 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 70cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfeef…4b1fbacked Yes | 50c | 23.05$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.52 | 99 | 68.7%68 W · 31 L | +6.6wins | +0.07per pick | 62cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x833c…ac24backed No | 69c | 21.83$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 57 | 61.4%35 W · 22 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09cd…9502backed No | 72c | 21.79$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.71 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb5f5…1b50backed No | 78c | 19$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.82 | 23 | 73.9%17 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 70cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6dd…7af9backed No | 62c | 17.58$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.99 | 115 | 37.4%43 W · 72 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 69c | 15.98$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.03 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f19…b0cabacked No | 71c | 14.79$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8ad…2602backed No | 71c | 14.28$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.14 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.18per pick | 61cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Fredrikstad FK win on 2026-08-08?this page
- Will IK Start vs. Fredrikstad FK end in a draw?No won
- Will IK Start win on 2026-08-08?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.