TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Other European Leagues · resolved market

Will SBV Excelsior win on 2026-08-07?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$69,954
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$70,915

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $69,954 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 86 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe907…cff6backed Yes37c24,289$9,065 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,223.231,43437.7%540 W · 894 L-3.6wins0.00per pick38cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed No2c9,212$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.492,64035.7%942 W · 1,698 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No62c7,229$4,518 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,517.572,06848.1%995 W · 1,073 L+2.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9fcf…e455backed No43c4,748$2,040 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,039.741163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.5wins+0.13per pick50cpaid+16.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3f3a…e8fdbacked No63c4,181$2,634 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,634.2716953.8%91 W · 78 L+9.3wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+12.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked No62c2,534$1,566 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,565.5587745.2%396 W · 481 L+7.8wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No24c2,493$588 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$588.015,60442%2,356 W · 3,248 L+75.1wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed No62c2,380$1,487 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,487.4666047.6%314 W · 346 L+1.4wins0.00per pick47cpaid+3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed No27c2,038$547 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$546.7591148%437 W · 474 L+12.3wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed No5c1,748$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.942,01235.5%714 W · 1,298 L-27.3wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-12.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed No52c1,655$863 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$862.662,00136.5%730 W · 1,271 L-25.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-18.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Yes37c1,455$535 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$919.3273440.1%294 W · 440 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes64c1,435$915 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$519.867,88945.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L+11.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-9.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed No64c1,189$761 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$760.841,71148.3%827 W · 884 L-18.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x54a5…d45abacked Yes39c1,141$445 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$696.03425%1 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick33cpaid-35.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked No63c1,116$703 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$702.821,10747.7%528 W · 579 L+1.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaf7a…c69fbacked No61c1,071$653 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$653.4650%3 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-22.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No62c972.99$604 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$604.12,33446.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L+14.5wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4818…fde0backed No62c967.74$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$600580%4 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.15per pick65cpaid+23.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Yes37c485$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$304.621151.7%109 W · 102 L+7.2wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe57d…bf4cbacked No41c475.55$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.984719.1%9 W · 38 L0.0wins0.00per pick19cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6f39…e279backed No39c454.57$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175.61369.2%9 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.07per pick62cpaid+13.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x09b0…a3b6backed Yes69c426.92$295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.253158.1%18 W · 13 L+3.3wins+0.11per pick47cpaid+12.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xeaac…d71dbacked No63c423.28$267 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$266.6718344.3%81 W · 102 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaae5…7974backed No31c412.17$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.771225%3 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick25cpaid+30.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed No64c390$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.61,46748%704 W · 763 L+3.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf025…48f8backed Yes37c378.38$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$238.381241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-14.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5213…6a35backed No63c343.91$217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$216.6618343.7%80 W · 103 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfec2…08afbacked Yes40c330$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19812337.4%46 W · 77 L-6.2wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-16.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd147…ecbdbacked Yes62c300$186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1149138.5%35 W · 56 L+4.4wins+0.05per pick34cpaid+33.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed No63c295$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186.172,54352.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L+18.3wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed No62c269.06$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.6339852.5%209 W · 189 L+10.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x24bf…b006backed No63c266.29$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.761533.3%5 W · 10 L-2.0wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-41.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2a11…ef8ebacked No63c265.8$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.451553.3%8 W · 7 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed No38c238.9$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.1834139.9%136 W · 205 L-10.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-30%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2d67…3667backed No38c212.03$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.0530550.8%155 W · 150 L+1.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-7.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x47d9…54b7backed Yes59c200$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$821546.7%7 W · 8 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-13.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb0c…8c72backed No63c200$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.1337049.5%183 W · 187 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcfe6…4fadbacked No60c200$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12010%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Yes36c189.11$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.033644.4%16 W · 20 L-4.0wins-0.11per pick56cpaid-21.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xb4bf…60f8backed No44c188.9$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.3327554.9%151 W · 124 L+8.5wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa804…2a75backed No63c162.16$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.168251.2%42 W · 40 L+2.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+4.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbbb4…0060backed No63c158.72$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.991573.3%11 W · 4 L+2.8wins+0.19per pick54cpaid+40.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe84f…b777backed No38c143.82$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.1433959%200 W · 139 L+18.4wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+4.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8e90…4f65backed No63c136.73$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.268956.2%50 W · 39 L+7.2wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+20.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc29e…bc77backed Yes37c120.32$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.8580%4 W · 1 L+1.8wins+0.36per pick44cpaid+73.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2b04…6477backed Yes62c112.34$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.69475%3 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.16per pick59cpaid+10%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdd03…df4abacked Yes38c109.99$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.197529.3%22 W · 53 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-10.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e6f…fbccbacked Yes37c108.11$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.11475%3 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.35per pick40cpaid+64.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9930…696ebacked No63c103.65$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.310541%43 W · 62 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+11.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed No36c101.21$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.0535163.5%223 W · 128 L+13.8wins+0.04per pick60cpaid+3.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd325…8c5fbacked Yes59c100$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$413844.7%17 W · 21 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-4.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xadef…8fffbacked No61c100$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6140%0 W · 4 L-2.1wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2d2c…00b5backed No57c99$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.951618.8%3 W · 13 L-3.4wins-0.21per pick40cpaid-73.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xcadf…b2e3backed No61c89.5$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$551346.2%6 W · 7 L-1.3wins-0.10per pick56cpaid-29.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1f9e…3d5dbacked No61c89.5$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$552050%10 W · 10 L-1.8wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-11.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd355…e402backed No64c70.25$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.961346.2%6 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-25%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb8f6…4f7fbacked No62c56.37$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.955056%28 W · 22 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9735…db39backed No64c56.25$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$362166.7%14 W · 7 L+1.8wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+6.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5c46…ce9bbacked Yes36c55.56$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.562060%12 W · 8 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+14.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa469…4985backed Yes36c55.56$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.561241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-28.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb6dd…7af9backed No34c55.43$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.9411537.4%43 W · 72 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc3b…d591backed Yes57c51.23$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.231353.8%7 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick54cpaid-7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbc08…6b85backed No64c50.69$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.447160.6%43 W · 28 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick59cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb7ab…16d0backed Yes64c50.66$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.35455.6%30 W · 24 L+0.3wins0.00per pick55cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa6db…3155backed No62c50$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3118756.1%105 W · 82 L+9.0wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+11.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb299…dee4backed Yes38c50$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+31.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xddf1…a604backed Yes62c49.13$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.67450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-17.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e50…c665backed No38c47.93$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.24652.2%24 W · 22 L+3.9wins+0.08per pick44cpaid+22.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2892…e9d7backed No63c43.75$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.568746%40 W · 47 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4993…553fbacked Yes59c40.58$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.645470.4%38 W · 16 L+4.8wins+0.09per pick61cpaid+12.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3fed…e9cabacked Yes39c38.46$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.46540%2 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick35cpaid-7.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x50e5…e39fbacked No36c35.84$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.8629754.5%162 W · 135 L+0.4wins0.00per pick54cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ddd…73b2backed No37c34.66$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.8210456.7%59 W · 45 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x00d9…764abacked Yes62c31.87$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.111100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf27…f35fbacked No38c31.58$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124553.3%24 W · 21 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+9.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3cdb…d2febacked No63c31.56$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.8810%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbf84…c609backed Yes36c30.56$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.56250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x013f…ca85backed No36c30.44$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.93161.3%19 W · 12 L+2.2wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+9.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0d5f…1171backed Yes61c27.8$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.8414561.4%89 W · 56 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick61cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2cb2…ee14backed Yes68c23.41$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.491947.4%9 W · 10 L-1.5wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-17.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2da3…f258backed No64c20$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.81275%9 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick71cpaid+7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe392…d868backed Yes58c19.76$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.36767.2%45 W · 22 L+6.3wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+9.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe8ad…2602backed No64c19.45$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.45742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.18per pick61cpaid-34.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x147c…2540backed No62c18$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.162657.7%15 W · 11 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8974…fc7cbacked No64c15.63$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick61cpaid+0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.