Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will SC Cambuur-Leeuwarden win on 2026-08-07?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4bb8d78fe55dc9ff3876c83784ab50a1725eba709fe2ebcbd1f31884a7b3219e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,880
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,298
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,880 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3b62…5cc8backed No | 65c | 6,000$3,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,100 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 69cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 24c | 3,986$967 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$966.75 | 2,001 | 36.5%730 W · 1,271 L | -25.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed No | 65c | 2,947$1,913 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,034.25 | 1,434 | 37.7%540 W · 894 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2970…e1c9backed Yes | 37c | 2,700$999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 35c | 2,594$908 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$908 | 2,068 | 48.1%995 W · 1,073 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Yes | 35c | 2,142$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$749.7 | 660 | 47.6%314 W · 346 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed No | 65c | 1,912$1,242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$670.16 | 734 | 40.1%294 W · 440 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6bf…16b9backed Yes | 38c | 1,316$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 70 | 34.3%24 W · 46 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6b…8a98backed Yes | 35c | 482.67$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.31 | 191 | 46.6%89 W · 102 L | -11.2wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Yes | 35c | 397.18$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.01 | 911 | 48%437 W · 474 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 35c | 292.36$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.44 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 35c | 238.32$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.41 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1bf4…d0b2backed Yes | 38c | 150$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92d6…4bfbbacked No | 65c | 122.46$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.86 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 68cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb476…6eacbacked No | 65c | 117.52$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.13 | 93 | 41.9%39 W · 54 L | -6.2wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa804…2a75backed Yes | 35c | 117.2$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.02 | 82 | 51.2%42 W · 40 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2064…0ab1backed No | 68c | 101.47$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.47 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8953…9b78backed No | 62c | 99.98$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.99 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +3.2wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2d2c…00b5backed Yes | 35c | 99$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.65 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -3.4wins | -0.21per pick | 40cpaid | -73.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Yes | 35c | 95.27$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.34 | 370 | 49.5%183 W · 187 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x042d…0b81backed No | 62c | 73.61$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.97 | 51 | 64.7%33 W · 18 L | +4.2wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3600…d8a6backed No | 68c | 73.53$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.53 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8d41…6a2ebacked Yes | 32c | 67.39$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.56 | 28 | 67.9%19 W · 9 L | +5.1wins | +0.18per pick | 50cpaid | +50.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7dea…774cbacked No | 65c | 59.67$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.88 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 63c | 56.62$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.12 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Yes | 35c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 398 | 52.5%209 W · 189 L | +10.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x833c…ac24backed No | 62c | 40.29$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.31 | 57 | 61.4%35 W · 22 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf184…d472backed No | 65c | 36.15$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.65 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e90…4f65backed Yes | 36c | 35.76$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.87 | 89 | 56.2%50 W · 39 L | +7.2wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9735…db39backed No | 64c | 19.85$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.15 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +1.8wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6951…66f3backed No | 66c | 18.18$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.18 | 43 | 58.1%25 W · 18 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x147c…2540backed No | 62c | 18$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.84 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will SC Cambuur-Leeuwarden win on 2026-08-07?this page
- Will SBV Excelsior win on 2026-08-07?Yes won
- Will SC Cambuur-Leeuwarden vs. SBV Excelsior end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.