TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x1e6f…fbcc

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
141
Categories scored
6
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: Other European Leagues, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Other European Leagues at 55 out of 100; worst CS2 at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Dota2last resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT10539%41 W · 64 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-13.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 105 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Games Total: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$19
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit (BO5) - The International Playoffsbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+131.1%+$41.61
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit - Game 4 Winnerbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$111Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$110.7
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$61.99
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$26
Will Team Yandex Win The International 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$156Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$156.4
Game Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Team Yandex (+1.5)backed Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$32
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$17.1
Dota 2: BoomBoys vs Team Spirit - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$8.69
Will BoomBoys Win The International 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$62.8
Game Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs BoomBoys (+1.5)backed Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$29.4
Game Handicap: VSN (-1.5) vs Team Yandex (+1.5)backed TEAM VISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.29
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs BoomBoys (BO3) - The International Playoffsbacked Nigma Galaxy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs BoomBoys - Game 2 Winnerbacked BoomBoys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$68.43
Will Team Liquid Win The International 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$36
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs BoomBoys - Game 1 Winnerbacked Nigma Galaxy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Game Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Team Liquid (+1.5)backed Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+201.6%+$66.53
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$20.45
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+88.6%+$44.3
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Nigma Galaxy (BO3) - The International Playoffsbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$87Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$57.73
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Nigma Galaxy - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$77
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs TEAM VISION (BO3) - The International Playoffsbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$24
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs TEAM VISION - Game 2 Winnerbacked TEAM VISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Team Falcons Win The International 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$60.95
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs TEAM VISION - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$23
Showing 25 of 105 picks, newest first.
CS2last resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT2832.1%9 W · 19 L-2.1wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-29.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
CS2 — the 28 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Map Handicap: FURIA (-1.5) vs Legacy (+1.5)backed FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.05
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Legacy (+1.5)backed Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$32.85
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs FUT Esports (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+182.5%+$49.28
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winnerbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+100%+$10
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Spirit - Map 1 Winnerbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.75
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Vitality (-3.5) vs Spirit (+3.5)backed Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.25
Will MOUZ Win the CS2 EWC 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.2
Map Handicap: MOUZ (-1.5) vs FUT Esports (+1.5)backed MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.4
Counter-Strike: G2 vs FURIA (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$17.62
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Spirit (-3.5) vs B8 (+3.5)backed Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$28.82
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Vitality - Map 1 Winnerbacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs TheMongolz (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.5
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy - Map 1 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Map Handicap: FUT (-1.5) vs magic (+1.5)backed FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.1
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs magic (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+86.9%+$27.9
Counter-Strike: G2 vs Astralis (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$9.2
Counter-Strike: G2 vs Astralis - Map 1 Winnerbacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs paiN - Map 2 Winnerbacked paiN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Counter-Strike: BIG vs Spirit - Map 1 Winnerbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$127Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$126.75
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Spirit (-3.5) vs BIG (+3.5)backed Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$58
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs 9z - Map 2 Winnerbacked 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$88.89
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 100 Thieves - Map 2 Winnerbacked 100 Thieves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.72
Counter-Strike: K27 vs MIBR (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Bbacked K27 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs B8 (+1.5)backed B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$53.33
Map Handicap: MOUZ (-1.5) vs FUT Esports (+1.5)backed MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Showing 25 of 28 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagueslast resolved Aug 17, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.35per pick40cpaid+64.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Aug 6, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Kuopion PS win on 2026-08-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$26
Kuopion PS vs. Universitatea Craiova CS: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 2 picks, newest first.
Serie Alast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: FC Internazionale Milano (-2.5)backed AC Monza · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.4
All 1 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved Aug 8, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
WNBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-5.5)backed Las Vegas Aces · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$99
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.