TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Map Handicap: FURIA (-1.5) vs Legacy (+1.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Legacyof FURIA, Legacy
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$55,196
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$56,767

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $55,196 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 79 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5901…63a2backed FURIA47c23,193$11,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,0007041.4%29 W · 41 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-10.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Legacy53c22,503$11,826 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,676.911,40738.9%547 W · 860 L-41.9wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-29.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc974…b33bbacked Legacy67c8,198$5,482 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,715.62245.5%10 W · 12 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x29b5…cc6cbacked FURIA37c7,560$2,764 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,763.655,05055.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L+117.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed FURIA39c4,066$1,583 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,583.372,62451.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L+18.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x63ad…790cbacked Legacy63c3,102$1,954 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,147.559352.7%49 W · 44 L+10.0wins+0.11per pick42cpaid+23%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x62ca…1760backed Legacy63c2,809$1,770 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,039.471457.1%8 W · 6 L+1.1wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+18%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Legacy62c2,561$1,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$961.5661948%297 W · 322 L-11.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x57b2…9da2backed FURIA34c2,199$747 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$747.3632844.8%147 W · 181 L+11.8wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+14.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfbaf…2a03backed FURIA38c2,143$807 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$807.2311341.6%47 W · 66 L+5.5wins+0.05per pick37cpaid-2.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc34b…9296backed FURIA36c1,865$676 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$676.342,00953.9%1,082 W · 927 L+7.6wins0.00per pick53cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3881…804ebacked Legacy64c1,511$967 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$543.891,49651.5%771 W · 725 L-7.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x0e50…2609backed FURIA37c1,081$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40059755.4%331 W · 266 L+7.0wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x07f9…1513backed Legacy66c752$496 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$255.6844343.3%192 W · 251 L-7.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-10.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x657a…d1f4backed Legacy61c685$418 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$267.151520%3 W · 12 L-3.0wins-0.20per pick40cpaid-62.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked FURIA39c665$261 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$260.851,77959.1%1,052 W · 727 L+104.8wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xcef5…e9acbacked Legacy63c560.36$353 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$207.336437.5%24 W · 40 L-4.6wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-18.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x31c7…eca3backed Legacy66c469.7$310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.74148.8%20 W · 21 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+11%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x6407…d360backed Legacy64c468.5$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168.6632344.3%143 W · 180 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9a8c…ba13backed Legacy55c418.64$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188.64757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+47.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1025…7e11backed Legacy64c400$258 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14255941%229 W · 330 L+4.3wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb862…a00dbacked Legacy36c397$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$254.781050%5 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-14.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbbdd…cd9dbacked Legacy66c303.03$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.0321362.4%133 W · 80 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick65cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x61e9…b13abacked Legacy66c303$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.0219954.3%108 W · 91 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed FURIA36c300$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.599148.3%479 W · 512 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed Legacy64c243$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.4885446.4%396 W · 458 L+0.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa2fc…b1b4backed Legacy63c242$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.1614545.5%66 W · 79 L-10.4wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-19.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x304f…af95backed Legacy66c240.91$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.9123757%135 W · 102 L-8.3wins-0.04per pick60cpaid-5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1c47…2e55backed FURIA31c225.79$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7024047.9%115 W · 125 L+12.9wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+14.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6401…f240backed Legacy26c187.13$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.4835054.6%191 W · 159 L+17.3wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+16.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked FURIA30c169$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.727753.8%149 W · 128 L+9.4wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+11.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1058…01c1backed Legacy54c152$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.921392.3%12 W · 1 L+4.0wins+0.31per pick61cpaid+55.4%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x84d9…76dbbacked FURIA34c150$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5113240.9%54 W · 78 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick43cpaid+22.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe41c…afabbacked Legacy67c150$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.549651.2%254 W · 242 L+0.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid-3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3308…f04bbacked Legacy62c149.02$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.0116142.9%69 W · 92 L-5.1wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-24.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked FURIA35c138$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.4849536.4%180 W · 315 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x60ec…f7b0backed FURIA32c133.8$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.821,03353.2%550 W · 483 L+64.9wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+5.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6b97…8d30backed Legacy64c119.34$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.9666851.8%346 W · 322 L+8.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d72…a791backed Legacy64c111.13$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.0116754.5%91 W · 76 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8b23…6b2bbacked FURIA37c110$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.74252.4%22 W · 20 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb7ab…16d0backed Legacy62c97.62$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.171,36566.3%905 W · 460 L+76.1wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+7.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2da3…f258backed Legacy59c96.22$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.668659.5%408 W · 278 L+65.9wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+13.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x1747…4afcbacked Legacy61c90$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.120755.1%114 W · 93 L+13.4wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+8.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x76b6…d6d4backed FURIA37c86.54$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.021471.4%10 W · 4 L+1.7wins+0.12per pick59cpaid+8.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd85f…f2f6backed FURIA37c86.54$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.02333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-51.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd055…28d0backed Legacy59c86.17$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.9365546.9%307 W · 348 L+18.4wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3555…208ebacked Legacy63c79.37$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.3714068.6%96 W · 44 L+8.1wins+0.06per pick63cpaid+11.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xbfdd…e70ebacked Legacy65c76$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.614335%50 W · 93 L-13.4wins-0.09per pick44cpaid-26%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2a7e…9dc6backed Legacy68c74$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.6820755.1%114 W · 93 L+11.2wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+17.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8059…5addbacked Legacy64c68.09$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.518662.8%54 W · 32 L+11.6wins+0.13per pick49cpaid+18.7%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0x4223…42c7backed FURIA15c67$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.272975.9%22 W · 7 L+7.2wins+0.25per pick51cpaid+47.6%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0x183b…b6e9backed FURIA37c65.43$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.4232054.4%174 W · 146 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d1f…1e14backed FURIA37c65.43$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.4219453.6%104 W · 90 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1941…48e0backed FURIA31c64.52$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2011341.6%47 W · 66 L+0.4wins0.00per pick41cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9714…5152backed FURIA36c63.19$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.758554.1%46 W · 39 L+11.6wins+0.14per pick40cpaid+40.6%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x7d0e…4f01backed FURIA35c60$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2167750.2%340 W · 337 L+0.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x10ad…827cbacked FURIA34c60$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.430639.5%121 W · 185 L-4.4wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x59eb…ae8cbacked FURIA41c56.17$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.033745.9%17 W · 20 L+3.1wins+0.08per pick38cpaid+21.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed FURIA36c55.87$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.932,46824.6%607 W · 1,861 L-317.8wins-0.13per pick37cpaid-51.7%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x7091…96f8backed FURIA34c50$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173354.5%18 W · 15 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd8fe…ba40backed Legacy63c50$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.522060.9%134 W · 86 L+16.0wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+12.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x8818…f8acbacked Legacy68c48.24$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.4416660.8%101 W · 65 L-0.5wins0.00per pick61cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfce8…2686backed Legacy66c45.45$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.4523963.2%151 W · 88 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick64cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e6f…fbccbacked FURIA35c43$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.052832.1%9 W · 19 L-2.1wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-29.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4ec6…db1ebacked FURIA49c41.22$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201442.9%6 W · 8 L-1.6wins-0.11per pick54cpaid-29.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2d2d…b69dbacked FURIA37c40.54$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1511761.5%72 W · 45 L+8.9wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+12.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3f58…d93abacked Legacy69c40$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.46749.3%33 W · 34 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa717…3bbebacked FURIA38c40$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1538452.1%200 W · 184 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+5.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9fab…9a70backed Legacy64c39.06$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.065286.5%45 W · 7 L+9.9wins+0.19per pick68cpaid+27.6%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x6628…3d33backed FURIA65c38.46$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2542274.2%313 W · 109 L+14.4wins+0.03per pick71cpaid+5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6cd3…226ebacked FURIA36c35.37$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.7237922.2%84 W · 295 L-43.1wins-0.11per pick34cpaid-47.4%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x497e…a18abacked Legacy66c30.3$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.36958%40 W · 29 L+4.3wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+10%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc1fd…10ccbacked Legacy77c30$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.915469.5%107 W · 47 L+8.6wins+0.06per pick64cpaid+8.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0003…9492backed FURIA50c30$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159255.4%51 W · 41 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc883…4ea1backed Legacy68c29.41$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.418375.9%63 W · 20 L+3.1wins+0.04per pick72cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x79b3…87adbacked FURIA40c25$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108549.4%42 W · 43 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe77…8fe4backed Legacy63c23.25$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.616351.5%84 W · 79 L+4.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa58c…56e3backed Legacy65c20$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$733869.8%236 W · 102 L+9.5wins+0.03per pick67cpaid+2.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe64b…ce05backed Legacy66c20$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.8633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-33.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.