CS2 · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc220966f4ccce3d301b5e71875c9d5616bd45d0bc0b9762009839f11361d1453
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,374
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,900
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,374 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Over | 48c | 963$462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$501.16 | 495 | 36.4%180 W · 315 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3881…804ebacked Under | 52c | 728.54$379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379.22 | 1,496 | 51.5%771 W · 725 L | -7.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed Under | 52c | 685.51$356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356.47 | 288 | 43.1%124 W · 164 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 50c | 506.88$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.44 | 619 | 48%297 W · 322 L | -11.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 51c | 408.16$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.16 | 1,407 | 38.9%547 W · 860 L | -41.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56df…22c3backed Over | 49c | 408.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.16 | 90 | 45.6%41 W · 49 L | -5.5wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb862…a00dbacked Under | 65c | 397$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.05 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b3c…a34abacked Over | 50c | 354.8$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.5 | 264 | 43.2%114 W · 150 L | -10.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c4…8129backed Over | 30c | 341.1$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.77 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66da…69b0backed Over | 48c | 300$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156 | 280 | 42.5%119 W · 161 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3308…f04bbacked Over | 29c | 107.17$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.52 | 161 | 42.9%69 W · 92 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d69…1162backed Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbaf8…27cfbacked Over | 48c | 68.1$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.41 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +2.0wins | +0.12per pick | 44cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…f258backed Over | 73c | 60$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.38 | 686 | 59.5%408 W · 278 L | +65.9wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Over | 49c | 58.71$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.15 | 694 | 45%312 W · 382 L | -24.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd786…59b8backed Under | 77c | 55$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.34 | 100 | 36%36 W · 64 L | -7.3wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Under | 43c | 42.46$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.46 | 2,468 | 24.6%607 W · 1,861 L | -317.8wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x3f58…d93abacked Under | 28c | 40$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 67 | 49.3%33 W · 34 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e9f…3988backed Under | 76c | 39.28$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.85 | 220 | 53.2%117 W · 103 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x252f…2561backed Over | 52c | 36.63$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.63 | 564 | 54.3%306 W · 258 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2c50backed Over | 31c | 32.72$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.58 | 721 | 39.7%286 W · 435 L | -25.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4223…42c7backed Over | 73c | 31.95$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.64 | 29 | 75.9%22 W · 7 L | +7.2wins | +0.25per pick | 51cpaid | +47.6%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xe90f…a908backed Under | 52c | 31.68$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.57 | 116 | 56%65 W · 51 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Under | 52c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 604 | 51%308 W · 296 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f53…d5abbacked Over | 50c | 29.71$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.71 | 326 | 49.7%162 W · 164 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 69c | 23$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.87 | 2,776 | 37.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L | -140.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc59f…954ebacked Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 216 | 53.2%115 W · 101 L | +9.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc800…4117backed Under | 76c | 18$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.62 | 101 | 29.7%30 W · 71 L | -10.2wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Legacy (BO3) - Esports World Cup PlayoffsLegacy won
- Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Legacy - Map 1 WinnerFURIA won
- Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Legacy - Map 2 WinnerLegacy won
- Map 2 Rounds Handicap: FURIA (-3.5) vs Legacy (+3.5)Legacy won
- Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Over won
- Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Over won
- Map Handicap: FURIA (-1.5) vs Legacy (+1.5)Legacy won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.