TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Legacy - Map 1 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
FURIAof FURIA, Legacy
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$322,614
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$340,221

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $322,614 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 197 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xfe78…0319backed Legacy34c35,596$11,934 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,933.571,39638.9%543 W · 853 L-41.2wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-29%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0063…2dd2backed FURIA51c8,767$4,507 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,260.5639064.4%251 W · 139 L+47.6wins+0.12per pick52cpaid+10.7%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0xa45f…4e8dbacked Legacy27c8,400$2,259 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,259.081118.2%2 W · 9 L-3.6wins-0.33per pick51cpaid-73.8%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x01e6…e7e0backed FURIA73c7,428$5,431 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,997.1917062.9%107 W · 63 L+7.5wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+5.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa8a8…bdc6backed Legacy34c5,356$1,836 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,835.810753.3%57 W · 50 L-0.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid+3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked Legacy58c5,239$3,061 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,061.240137.2%149 W · 252 L-17.6wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-26.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf3ef…ca6bbacked FURIA60c5,133$3,071 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,061.261,51357.2%865 W · 648 L+65.4wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+0.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x82dc…5700backed FURIA46c4,524$2,093 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,430.9387047.9%417 W · 453 L+15.6wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-14%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xec7b…917ebacked Legacy48c4,000$1,920 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,919.9827041.1%111 W · 159 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-0.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc0f1…8680backed FURIA66c3,873$2,540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,333.462,52043%1,084 W · 1,436 L+42.5wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked FURIA48c3,200$1,535 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,664.837,89250.5%3,983 W · 3,909 L+182.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb6ce…7a7dbacked FURIA48c2,873$1,382 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,491.371,25646.7%587 W · 669 L+17.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-16%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3471…f17ebacked FURIA51c2,860$1,464 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,395.921,05449%516 W · 538 L+38.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-10.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa103…1c14backed FURIA51c2,826$1,451 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,375.054650%23 W · 23 L+2.4wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+15.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed FURIA60c2,654$1,588 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,065.732,05741.5%853 W · 1,204 L-50.1wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-16.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2d39…6053backed FURIA60c2,618$1,570 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,048.2988746.7%414 W · 473 L+8.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-15.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked FURIA56c2,373$1,336 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,037.971,76859.2%1,047 W · 721 L+105.5wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+4.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked FURIA53c2,350$1,257 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,092.991,61145.4%731 W · 880 L+30.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-14.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf1f2…8c8dbacked FURIA57c2,287$1,311 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$975.6872153.7%387 W · 334 L+28.9wins+0.04per pick50cpaid-3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x25ac…3e47backed FURIA77c2,222$1,719 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$503.138564.7%55 W · 30 L+3.7wins+0.04per pick60cpaid+4.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed FURIA46c1,990$915 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,074.442,30945.1%1,041 W · 1,268 L-62.6wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-16.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9d8a…5201backed Legacy41c1,850$751 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75155236.2%200 W · 352 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd25f…eab3backed Legacy34c1,700$573 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$572.994250%21 W · 21 L+1.7wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-9.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xec37…85bdbacked Legacy33c1,670$551 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$551.13426.5%9 W · 25 L-5.2wins-0.15per pick42cpaid-35.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xdbaf…f5d1backed FURIA52c1,657$862 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$795.3660434.1%206 W · 398 L-12.2wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-9.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5ba6…5e3fbacked Legacy50c1,598$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8001963.2%12 W · 7 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf6f2…b422backed FURIA63c1,576$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$576.0412451.6%64 W · 60 L-3.5wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-8.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9572…efffbacked Legacy27c1,483$398 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$397.8122241.4%92 W · 130 L-5.3wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-16.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Legacy47c1,436$671 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$670.922,77037.4%1,036 W · 1,734 L-139.7wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-20.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5d7e…2ef7backed Legacy44c1,373$604 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$603.916858.9%99 W · 69 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6e2c…787cbacked Legacy45c1,356$611 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$611.2272644.4%322 W · 404 L-5.2wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-24.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf148…0b4fbacked Legacy41c1,208$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50016946.7%79 W · 90 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x35c8…ce5cbacked FURIA54c1,181$638 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$543.5610737.4%40 W · 67 L-0.3wins0.00per pick38cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed FURIA52c1,065$554 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$511.2367645%304 W · 372 L-24.2wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-17.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7032…0a8bbacked FURIA48c1,052$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$551.9135341.6%147 W · 206 L-28.0wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-14.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc865…2f6ebacked Legacy42c1,050$441 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4415425.9%14 W · 40 L-5.4wins-0.10per pick36cpaid-41.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Legacy43c1,000$433 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$432.5161047.7%291 W · 319 L-12.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9b96…4389backed Legacy43c999.99$430 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$429.937057.3%212 W · 158 L-16.4wins-0.04per pick62cpaid-8.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd75a…d264backed Legacy47c962$448 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$448.244934.7%17 W · 32 L-5.0wins-0.10per pick45cpaid-30.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4d35…b406backed Legacy33c937.88$313 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$312.874535.6%16 W · 29 L-4.1wins-0.09per pick45cpaid-24.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6c64…89babacked FURIA52c937$486 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$451.2434542.3%146 W · 199 L-8.0wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xced1…280ebacked Legacy42c898.47$377 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3773056.7%17 W · 13 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa9ca…6a8bbacked FURIA55c890$491 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$399.4675145.4%341 W · 410 L-22.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-6.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Legacy49c810.99$397 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$397.125,26231.3%1,647 W · 3,615 L-381.6wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-37.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x87a3…5857backed FURIA69c806$556 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$249.8619347.2%91 W · 102 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd786…59b8backed Legacy46c800.01$368 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3689735.1%34 W · 63 L-7.6wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-32.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf1ee…519cbacked Legacy49c780$385 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$385.23,16545.7%1,446 W · 1,719 L-74.6wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-15.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1570…1404backed Legacy46c745$343 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$342.552835.7%10 W · 18 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-9.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf2e3…ae2dbacked Legacy41c726.55$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300520%1 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.32per pick52cpaid-71.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3885…2cd8backed FURIA56c714.29$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$314.2915150.3%76 W · 75 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b45…362bbacked Legacy59c687.4$406 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$405.5727838.1%106 W · 172 L-16.5wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-25.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3881…804ebacked FURIA54c672.27$362 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$310.531,47651.8%765 W · 711 L-4.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc818…1da3backed FURIA47c631.79$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$331.798925.8%23 W · 66 L-7.6wins-0.09per pick34cpaid-44.8%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Legacy35c626.21$219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$219.174,04050.9%2,057 W · 1,983 L+71.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa1a0…f447backed Legacy48c610$293 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$292.62050%10 W · 10 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf95e…53ffbacked FURIA42c608.75$257 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$352.219849.5%98 W · 100 L+7.7wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+13.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x253e…84e4backed FURIA55c599.99$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2701241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-11%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb283…4501backed Legacy33c592$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.162544%11 W · 14 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-13.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4e3d…8554backed FURIA39c558$219 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$339.491353.8%7 W · 6 L+1.4wins+0.10per pick43cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Legacy27c543$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.443,41529.3%1,001 W · 2,414 L-275.1wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-43.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed Legacy47c536.89$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2505,81037.8%2,196 W · 3,614 L+78.9wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xbe6c…a2c3backed Legacy48c532.47$254 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2542356.5%13 W · 10 L+1.8wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+6.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7442…38b7backed FURIA72c516.88$372 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.733458.8%20 W · 14 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick62cpaid-8.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe81d…16bfbacked FURIA54c496.3$268 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$228.36643.9%29 W · 37 L-4.9wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-12.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd0ac…7deebacked FURIA75c492.66$371 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.2843152.9%228 W · 203 L+26.6wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+0.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x74f9…6024backed FURIA57c484$276 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.173438.2%13 W · 21 L-2.8wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-28.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf82a…26ddbacked FURIA63c476.75$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.75933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-36%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x56df…22c3backed Legacy44c454.55$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2008946.1%41 W · 48 L-5.1wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-21.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6407…d360backed Legacy44c454.54$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20031744.8%142 W · 175 L-0.8wins0.00per pick45cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3776…e17abacked FURIA56c448$251 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$197.325549.1%27 W · 28 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-7.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed Legacy46c439$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.811,30326.5%345 W · 958 L-89.1wins-0.07per pick33cpaid-29.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x0b5a…1457backed Legacy20c433.24$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.7921143.1%91 W · 120 L-0.6wins0.00per pick43cpaid-15.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Legacy45c432$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.447836.8%176 W · 302 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-6.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x503d…04a5backed Legacy47c426.55$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20025751.4%132 W · 125 L+0.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid-7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5453…a834backed Legacy35c410.54$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.6931654.7%173 W · 143 L+9.2wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+12.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x29b5…cc6cbacked FURIA54c372.5$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.615,02855%2,763 W · 2,265 L+112.5wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Legacy48c360$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1722,11942.9%909 W · 1,210 L-66.7wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-19.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe41f…d9dcbacked FURIA52c338.46$176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.4665250.5%329 W · 323 L-14.2wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-7.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2fcb…4289backed FURIA63c320.89$203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.1715052%78 W · 72 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-7.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc670…b781backed Legacy46c287.34$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.5114546.9%68 W · 77 L+6.0wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+24.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdd88…dadbbacked FURIA56c267.54$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.2564852%337 W · 311 L+10.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5bbe…c65dbacked Legacy45c258.49$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.2813315.8%21 W · 112 L+3.4wins+0.03per pick13cpaid+12.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x60ec…f7b0backed Legacy23c254.85$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.621,01753.4%543 W · 474 L+65.1wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+6.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd7b2…70f0backed Legacy55c247.42$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.8842631.5%134 W · 292 L-16.0wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-20.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed FURIA50c243$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.642,49141.1%1,023 W · 1,468 L-114.2wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-22.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8d83…d89cbacked Legacy44c241$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.045451.9%28 W · 26 L+3.7wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+19.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6326…6329backed Legacy27c238.93$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6558743.4%255 W · 332 L-2.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6c2d…dd1ebacked FURIA58c211.27$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.7539970.7%282 W · 117 L+38.7wins+0.10per pick61cpaid+14.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xc75d…0717backed Legacy47c206.05$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.8428743.2%124 W · 163 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-6.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7374…38ffbacked FURIA54c204.99$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.894351.2%22 W · 21 L-4.9wins-0.11per pick63cpaid-20.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x812e…8189backed Legacy49c204.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006061.7%37 W · 23 L+3.3wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+12.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8849…9a83backed Legacy49c200$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9853850.6%272 W · 266 L-15.6wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-8.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xadaf…aefdbacked Legacy32c200$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6384037.9%318 W · 522 L-20.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-7.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0c63…3cbbbacked Legacy61c199.65$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.9446165.5%302 W · 159 L+0.4wins0.00per pick65cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xafaf…1635backed Legacy35c190.15$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.314634.9%51 W · 95 L-12.9wins-0.09per pick44cpaid-38.9%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x2a14…be99backed Legacy38c186.05$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$702437.5%9 W · 15 L-2.5wins-0.11per pick48cpaid-30.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xfced…6116backed Legacy49c181.51$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.9410640.6%43 W · 63 L-6.4wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-17.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1110…ea61backed FURIA49c167.96$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.6113063.1%82 W · 48 L+5.3wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+2.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe7b8…31e6backed Legacy46c167.39$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7714041.4%58 W · 82 L+0.3wins0.00per pick41cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe41c…afabbacked Legacy46c162.21$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7549651.2%254 W · 242 L+0.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid-3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.