TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x7374…38ff

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
267
Categories scored
15
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 54 out of 100; worst CS2 at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tweetslast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT11359.3%67 W · 46 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 113 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 20 to August 22, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+28.3%+$13.25
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 20 to August 22, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+29.2%+$6.09
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$56.55
Will Khamenei post 0-4 posts from August 14 to August 21, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+34.9%+$34.95
Will NYC Mayor post 20-39 posts from August 14 to August 21, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$281Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$109.09
Will NYC Mayor post 40-59 posts from August 14 to August 21, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$538Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+45.5%+$244.85
Will CZ post 0-19 posts from August 14 to August 21, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.8
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$440Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+36.2%+$159.44
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.03
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 17 to August 19, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$114Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+133.1%+$151.49
Will Khamenei post 0-4 posts from August 11 to August 18, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$35.1
Will NYC Mayor post 20-39 posts from August 11 to August 18, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$516Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+72.3%+$373.5
Will CZ post 0-19 posts from August 11 to August 18, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.54
Will Khamenei post 5-9 posts from August 11 to August 18, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$137Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+26.9%+$36.88
Will NYC Mayor post 40-59 posts from August 11 to August 18, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$248Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+36.2%+$89.86
Will Zelenskyy post 80-99 posts from August 11 to August 18, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$115Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+30.5%+$35.1
Will Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from August 7 to August 14, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$103Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+25.4%+$26.07
Will NYC Mayor post 20-39 posts from August 7 to August 14, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$295Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+44%+$130.01
Will NYC Mayor post 60-79 posts from August 7 to August 14, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$517Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$154.56
Will NYC Mayor post 40-59 posts from August 7 to August 14, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$306Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+37.1%+$113.27
Will White House post 200+ posts from August 7 to August 14, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$165Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+40.1%+$66.28
Will White House post 180-199 posts from August 7 to August 14, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$157Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+27.4%+$43
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$149Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+49.2%+$73.16
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 6 to August 8, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT+25%+$13.02
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 6 to August 8, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT+69.8%+$139.95
Showing 25 of 113 picks, newest first.
Weatherlast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT5969.5%41 W · 18 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick68cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Weather — the 59 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 33°C on August 22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+28.5%+$11.1
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C on August 22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$12.32
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 31°C on August 22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.92
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 27°C on August 22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.75
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 34°C on August 21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$10.35
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on August 21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$57.88
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 31°C on August 21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$9.2
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on August 21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$10.4
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on August 20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$24.79
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on August 20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.45
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on August 20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$27.5
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on August 20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$9.9
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on August 20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+37%+$21.54
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 32°C on August 20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$10.08
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 32°C on August 20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+32.4%+$14.85
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on August 18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.2
Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on August 18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$220Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$85.85
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 32°C on August 18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.76
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 29°C on August 18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 31°C on August 18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$32.43
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on August 18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$4.83
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on August 18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$28
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 31°C on August 18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 30°C on August 18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$5.6
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on August 17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$64.95
Showing 25 of 59 picks, newest first.
CS2last resolved Aug 24, 2026, EDT4351.2%22 W · 21 L-4.9wins-0.11per pick63cpaid-20.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
CS2 — the 43 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Alliance vs Phantom Academy (BO3) - United21 Group Dbacked Phantom Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+75.3%+$8.64
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Legacy (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$188Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$187.85
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Legacy - Map 2 Winnerbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.2
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Legacy - Map 1 Winnerbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+86.2%+$94.89
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs FUT Esports (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$227Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$226.78
Counter-Strike: WBT vs mellren (BO3) - CCT Europe Challengers Series Playoffsbacked mellren · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$153Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+31.1%+$47.69
Counter-Strike: WRAITH PCIFIC vs Bebop - Map 1 Winnerbacked WRAITH PCIFIC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$11.28
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Spirit - Map 2 Winnerbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.21
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs Team Falcons (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$32
Counter-Strike: LPH Gaming vs B8 Academy (BO3) - United21 Group Abacked LPH Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$39
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs MOUZ (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$180Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$179.51
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs Team Falcons - Map 1 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$19
Counter-Strike: G2 Ares vs Bebop - Map 1 Winnerbacked G2 Ares · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+34.8%+$25.8
Counter-Strike: SAW Youngsters vs ex-MANA eSports (BO3) - CCT Europe Challengers Series Playoffsbacked ex-MANA eSports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$78.12
Counter-Strike: Omega vs Fire Flux Esports - Map 1 Winnerbacked Fire Flux Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+29.5%+$22.76
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs NIP - Map 2 Winnerbacked Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$96.05
Counter-Strike: 9z vs magic (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Dbacked magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$497Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+44.4%+$220.45
Counter-Strike: STATE vs Teletubisie (BO3) - United21 Playoffsbacked STATE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.44
Counter-Strike: Atreides vs LPH Gaming (BO3) - CCT Europe Challengers Series Playoffsbacked LPH Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$126Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+76%+$96.13
Counter-Strike: UNiTY esports vs ex-Young Ninjas (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #6 Group Stagebacked UNiTY esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+30.1%+$16.27
Counter-Strike: ex-RUSTEC vs NEW VISION (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #6 Group Stagebacked ex-RUSTEC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$6.77
Counter-Strike: MOUZ NXT vs Misa Esports - Map 2 Winnerbacked MOUZ NXT · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.79
Counter-Strike: ShindeN vs BESTIA - Map 2 Winnerbacked BESTIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$51
Will MOUZ Win BLAST Bounty 2026 Season 2?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$63.97
Will Spirit Win BLAST Bounty 2026 Season 2?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$118Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$118.1
Showing 25 of 43 picks, newest first.
Lollast resolved Aug 25, 2026, EDT1136.4%4 W · 7 L-2.2wins-0.20per pick56cpaid-30.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Lol — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Fuego vs Zeu5 Esports (BO5) - LRN Playoffsbacked Fuego · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.9
LoL: TLN Pirates vs Solary (BO1) - LFL Regular Seasonbacked Solary · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$363Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$363.46
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Team Heretics - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Heretics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$54.23
LoL: LYON vs Shopify Rebellion (BO3) - LCS Regular Seasonbacked LYON · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$169Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+31.7%+$53.41
LoL: LYON vs Shopify Rebellion - Game 1 Winnerbacked LYON · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$167Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+25%+$41.77
LoL: LOS vs RED Canids - Game 2 Winnerbacked LOS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+284.6%+$64.33
LoL: Fnatic vs Movistar KOI - Game 2 Winnerbacked Movistar KOI · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$51.2
LoL: Aeterna Esports vs Colossal Gaming (BO1) - LIT Regular Seasonbacked Colossal Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$353Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$352.76
LoL: CTBC Flying Oyster vs GAM Esports (BO3) - LCP Group Stagebacked GAM Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$378Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$378.42
LoL: Dplus KIA Challengers vs T1 Academy (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 3-4 Challenge Groupbacked T1 Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$129.71
LoL: BNK FearX Youth vs Hanwha Life Esports Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 3-4 Trial Groupbacked BNK FearX Youth · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$322Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+26.7%+$86.18
All 11 picks, newest first.
Valorantlast resolved Aug 20, 2026, EDT1040%4 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-38.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Valorant — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: Team Vitality vs Enterprise Esports (BO3) - VCT EMEA Playoffsbacked Team Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.65
Valorant: G2 Esports vs Sentinels (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Group Omegabacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$782Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT+37.1%+$290.21
Valorant: Fnatic vs Team Heretics - Map 2 Winnerbacked Fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.89
Valorant: Karmine Corp vs Team Liquid (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Omegabacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$192Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+46.1%+$88.71
Valorant: Evil Geniuses vs MIBR (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Group Alphabacked MIBR · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+55.6%+$34.54
Valorant: Cloud9 vs LOUD (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Group Omegabacked LOUD · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$959Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+73.5%+$704.54
Valorant: Global Esports vs Gen.G Esports (BO3) - VCT Pacific Group Alphabacked Global Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$55.78
Valorant: Eternal Fire vs Fnatic - Map 2 Winnerbacked Fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$175Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$175.13
Valorant: Eternal Fire vs Fnatic (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Omegabacked Fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.79
Valorant: VARREL vs DetonatioN FocusMe (BO3) - VCT Pacific Group Omegabacked VARREL · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$64.78
All 10 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Aug 4, 2026, EDT933.3%3 W · 6 L-2.0wins-0.22per pick55cpaid-41.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Yakult Brothers vs Rune Eaters (BO3) - Games of the Future Playoffsbacked Rune Eaters · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$84.41
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs OG - Game 2 Winnerbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$180Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$180
Dota 2: Vici Gaming vs Yakult Brothers (BO3) - Games of the Future Playoffsbacked Yakult Brothers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$216Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT+82.5%+$178.4
Dota 2: GLYPH vs PlayTime - Game 2 Winnerbacked PlayTime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$69.16
Dota 2: PlayTime vs Execration - Game 1 Winnerbacked PlayTime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$329Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$328.9
Dota 2: GLYPH vs Zero Tenacity - Game 2 Winnerbacked Zero Tenacity · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$89.89
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - Games of the Future Group Dbacked Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$468Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$527.78
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs MOUZ - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$83.7
Dota 2: Level UP vs Zero Tenacity (BO3) - EPL Masters Group Bbacked Level UP · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$764Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+32.7%+$249.86
All 9 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 21, 2026, EDT580%4 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.22per pick58cpaid+28.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Movies Inactivelast resolved Jul 28, 2026, EDT580%4 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.17per pick63cpaid+33%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Movies — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLBlast resolved Aug 25, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick65cpaid+3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
MLB — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. San Diego Padresbacked San Diego Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.3
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$148Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$51.93
San Diego Padres vs. Arizona Diamondbacksbacked Arizona Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$43.94
All 3 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved Aug 3, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick68cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Music — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Aug 4, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-37.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Canadian Open: Kamil Majchrzak vs Gael Monfilsbacked Kamil Majchrzak · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$271Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$271.17
Los Cabos Open: Soon-Woo Kwon vs Arthur Geabacked Arthur Gea · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$176Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+25.6%+$45.04
All 2 picks, newest first.
NFLlast resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Seahawks vs. Titansbacked Titans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$9.36
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$388Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+29.1%+$112.82
All 1 picks, newest first.
China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Jul 31, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$142Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$37.8
All 1 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Aug 2, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk’s net worth be less than $0.70T on July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$60.49
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.