Tweets · resolved market
Will White House post 200+ posts from August 7 to August 14, 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa183a46248ea27209a55d5d9f02d572f53d26006c1a23cf5519d87c959821529
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,931
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,484
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,931 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 68 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tweets | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x860d…6071backed Yes | 71c | 1,919$1,370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$549.23 | 250 | 32.4%81 W · 169 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3423…fe57backed Yes | 68c | 986.22$673 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313.13 | 520 | 28.3%147 W · 373 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe40a…e4a2backed No | 38c | 658.88$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.37 | 91 | 56%51 W · 40 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked No | 48c | 542.31$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.01 | 62 | 16.1%10 W · 52 L | -4.7wins | -0.08per pick | 24cpaid | -66.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xceed…f8eebacked No | 63c | 530.1$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336.12 | 256 | 28.1%72 W · 184 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -20%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb637…4c42backed No | 64c | 521.97$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336.25 | 46 | 32.6%15 W · 31 L | +3.2wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | +48.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 34c | 483.78$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.91 | 206 | 48.5%100 W · 106 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8007…a8f4backed Yes | 72c | 393.41$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.93 | 163 | 49.7%81 W · 82 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07f1…3b8ebacked Yes | 69c | 328.11$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.11 | 61 | 34.4%21 W · 40 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 33c | 303.48$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.18 | 218 | 57.3%125 W · 93 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30fb…7db4backed No | 37c | 246.49$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.51 | 108 | 31.5%34 W · 74 L | -10.5wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7e64…1824backed No | 34c | 244.45$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.16 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -2.7wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 48c | 238.63$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.5 | 315 | 54.9%173 W · 142 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7374…38ffbacked Yes | 71c | 231.42$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.28 | 120 | 60%72 W · 48 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7dcf…a7bdbacked No | 50c | 212$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.44 | 153 | 64.7%99 W · 54 L | +9.2wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x555c…ee28backed Yes | 35c | 200$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130 | 88 | 11.4%10 W · 78 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 14cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2213…492cbacked No | 21c | 200$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa7fe…1f3ebacked Yes | 53c | 199.99$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.99 | 98 | 39.8%39 W · 59 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b8b…2512backed No | 21c | 168.29$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.3 | 129 | 43.4%56 W · 73 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74ff…be5bbacked No | 44c | 159.55$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.57 | 1,035 | 10.5%109 W · 926 L | -32.8wins | -0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -58.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb68…e362backed No | 9c | 151.32$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.99 | 132 | 45.5%60 W · 72 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e4…b7f1backed No | 10c | 137.88$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.39 | 117 | 45.3%53 W · 64 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbf4…3b45backed Yes | 74c | 129.99$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.2 | 328 | 43.3%142 W · 186 L | +28.5wins | +0.09per pick | 35cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0b4c…0499backed Yes | 38c | 125.55$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.55 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +42.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd5c…6d2abacked Yes | 56c | 124.1$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.36 | 637 | 39.1%249 W · 388 L | +48.2wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…673dbacked No | 52c | 115$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.65 | 188 | 58.5%110 W · 78 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 26c | 107.8$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.56 | 402 | 48.5%195 W · 207 L | +16.6wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0800…ceb0backed Yes | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 118 | 29.7%35 W · 83 L | -5.4wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked No | 20c | 95.37$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.54 | 290 | 48.3%140 W · 150 L | +11.3wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf257…1950backed Yes | 43c | 90.34$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.6 | 458 | 23.4%107 W · 351 L | -19.3wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x764a…83d3backed No | 36c | 89.75$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.42 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.21per pick | 49cpaid | -54%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1fdd…77a4backed Yes | 44c | 79.11$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.94 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -4.1wins | -0.41per pick | 51cpaid | -77.5%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x0e53…5c9dbacked Yes | 66c | 75.33$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.61 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d8c…757abacked No | 19c | 73.95$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.86 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac4a…bf1ebacked No | 24c | 59.26$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.2 | 423 | 19.4%82 W · 341 L | -19.5wins | -0.05per pick | 24cpaid | -52.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3901…9761backed Yes | 37c | 55.73$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.97 | 64 | 64.1%41 W · 23 L | +6.2wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3c18…32c3backed Yes | 59c | 54.6$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.27 | 89 | 58.4%52 W · 37 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 53c | 53$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.97 | 225 | 57.8%130 W · 95 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 59c | 50.1$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.56 | 526 | 45.6%240 W · 286 L | -20.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.1 | 774 | 21.7%168 W · 606 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -49.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked Yes | 51c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.5 | 79 | 27.8%22 W · 57 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 24cpaid | +46.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe086…0450backed Yes | 32c | 50$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 72 | 50%36 W · 36 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8255…a46cbacked No | 65c | 47.69$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc518…2594backed No | 40c | 46.77$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.8 | 183 | 50.3%92 W · 91 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae99…1e43backed No | 65c | 46.72$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.37 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f20…12c3backed No | 38c | 45$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.25 | 196 | 53.6%105 W · 91 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a09…3c89backed Yes | 79c | 43.73$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.03 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x226a…eec3backed No | 33c | 40$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x11b5…8c02backed Yes | 65c | 40$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3008…3c76backed No | 38c | 32$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.05 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -3.5wins | -0.29per pick | 54cpaid | -56.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf2cf…464bbacked No | 56c | 30.2$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 48 | 60.4%29 W · 19 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b5…a079backed Yes | 77c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.9 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -3.2wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4261…16dfbacked No | 50c | 29.58$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.79 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -2.7wins | -0.21per pick | 36cpaid | -52.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xae7a…25eabacked No | 56c | 28.18$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.75 | 82 | 53.7%44 W · 38 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabcb…3103backed No | 63c | 26.04$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.33 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xda00…61b4backed Yes | 40c | 26$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.72 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf83e…4663backed No | 49c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.25 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | +2.9wins | +0.13per pick | 57cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed No | 67c | 24.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.74 | 90 | 57.8%52 W · 38 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1491…fd70backed No | 55c | 23.37$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.84 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | -4.2wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0db9…a4a8backed Yes | 80c | 22.74$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.63 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7943…29b4backed No | 46c | 22.15$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.19 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb5b…f580backed Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba6d…9128backed Yes | 78c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.4 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc94a…3975backed No | 63c | 18.59$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.71 | 82 | 35.4%29 W · 53 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf528…7e5bbacked No | 71c | 18$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.74 | 146 | 76%111 W · 35 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 75cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfb6…fbfabacked No | 76c | 15.38$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.76per pick | 76cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ff1…1be9backed Yes | 76c | 15.3$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.62 | 11 | 90.9%10 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.17per pick | 74cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5566…7c29backed No | 69c | 15$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.35 | 100 | 52%52 W · 48 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will White House post 200+ posts from August 7 to August 14, 2026?this page
- Will White House post 160-179 posts from August 7 to August 14, 2026?No won
- Will White House post 180-199 posts from August 7 to August 14, 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.