TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x3ff1…1be9

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
159
Categories scored
28
Categories below 50
13

Best Category: Tweets, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Tweets at 56 out of 100; worst MLB at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennislast resolved Aug 24, 2026, EDT4273.8%31 W · 11 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick74cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tennis — the 42 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Augsburg: Mika Brunold vs Liam Gavrielidesbacked Mika Brunold · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$8.57
Cincinnati Open: Brandon Nakashima vs Aleksandar Kovacevicbacked Brandon Nakashima · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+32.5%+$5
Cincinnati Open: Taylor Townsend vs Elena Rybakinabacked Elena Rybakina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$9.38
Cincinnati Open: Aleksandar Kovacevic vs Karen Khachanovbacked Karen Khachanov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.56
Cincinnati Open: Zachary Svajda vs Mattia Belluccibacked Zachary Svajda · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.61
Vancouver: Keegan Rice vs Pablo Llamas Ruizbacked Pablo Llamas Ruiz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.68
ITF Brisbane: Ymerali Ibraimi vs Duje Markovinabacked Duje Markovina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.59
Winnipeg: Yosuke Watanuki vs Andre Ilaganbacked Yosuke Watanuki · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$3.67
Will Jannik Sinner be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$4.28
Athens Open, Qualification: Ekaterina Yashina vs Lina Glushkobacked Lina Glushko · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.12
Croatia Open, Qualification: Luca Nardi vs Andrea Guerrieribacked Andrea Guerrieri · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+28.6%+$4.54
Trieste: Henry Bernet vs Hugo Dellienbacked Henry Bernet · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.05
Contrexeville: Mayar Sherif vs Leolia Jeanjeanbacked Mayar Sherif · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+28.6%+$9.08
Swiss Open, Qualification: Manoj Dhamne Manas vs Vitaliy Sachkobacked Vitaliy Sachko · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+42.3%+$7.55
Swiss Open, Qualification: Otto Virtanen vs Dylan Dietrichbacked Dylan Dietrich · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+33.1%+$10.15
Trieste: Matej Dodig vs Henri Squirebacked Matej Dodig · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+28.6%+$9.06
Contrexeville: Jeline Vandromme vs Aurora Zantedeschibacked Jeline Vandromme · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+32.9%+$10.1
Bastad: Simona Waltert vs Paula Badosabacked Paula Badosa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$11.42
Braunschweig: Daniel Rincon vs Jan Choinskibacked Jan Choinski · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+39.9%+$11.6
ITF Astana: Aruzhan Sagandikova vs Kamonwan Yodpetchbacked Aruzhan Sagandikova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+31.2%+$7.28
ITF Astana: Ekaterina Maklakova vs Maria Sholokhovabacked Ekaterina Maklakova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+29%+$9.16
Trieste: Henry Bernet vs Federico Bondiolibacked Federico Bondioli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.86
ITF Laval: Mikael Arseneault vs Ryan Colbybacked Mikael Arseneault · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+31.9%+$7.37
Newport: Jacob Fearnley vs Stefan Kozlovbacked Jacob Fearnley · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+39.7%+$23.17
ITF Kursumlijska Banja: Kali Supova vs Dusica Popovskibacked Kali Supova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+36.5%+$10.89
Showing 25 of 42 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT3268.8%22 W · 10 L-1.5wins-0.05per pick74cpaid-6.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 32 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Rodri win the Silver Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+41.8%+$6.02
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$5.87
Argentina vs. Switzerland: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$12.65
Spread: Argentina (-1.5)backed Switzerland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$12.24
Spain vs. Belgium: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+46%+$6.43
Colombia vs. Portugal: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.89
Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$9.79
Will Uruguay vs. Spain end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$5.61
Cabo Verde vs. Saudi Arabia: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.97
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$4.49
Canada vs. Qatar: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+28.7%+$7.96
Czechia vs. South Africa: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+40.1%+$10.4
England vs. Croatia: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$4.44
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.71
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+41.1%+$11.88
Will New Zealand win on 2026-06-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+25.1%+$12.29
Spread: Spain (-1.5)backed Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.1
Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.29
Will Netherlands vs. Japan end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.05
Will Japan win on 2026-06-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$6.63
Germany vs. Curaçao: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$59.5
Australia vs. Türkiye: 1st Half O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+41.9%+$13.48
Brazil vs. Morocco: 1st Half O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.86
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+25%+$8.16
Will United States vs. Paraguay end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$8.4
Showing 25 of 32 picks, newest first.
Tweetslast resolved Aug 18, 2026, EDT1190.9%10 W · 1 L+1.8wins+0.17per pick74cpaid+21.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Tweets — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will NYC Mayor post 20-39 posts from August 11 to August 18, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+39.1%+$11.47
Will NYC Mayor post 40-59 posts from August 11 to August 18, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+37.7%+$11.17
Will White House post 200+ posts from August 7 to August 14, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+31%+$3.62
Will White House post 180-199 posts from August 7 to August 14, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+28.6%+$9.08
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$8.57
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.71
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+35.5%+$6.66
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+31%+$3.62
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+37.6%+$4.18
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+37%+$5.51
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 1 to June 3, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+37%+$4.43
All 11 picks, newest first.
Weatherlast resolved Aug 15, 2026, EDT1181.8%9 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.07per pick75cpaid+9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Weather — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 33°C on August 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$5.28
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on August 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+37%+$4.13
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on August 14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.77
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on August 14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+38.6%+$9.95
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on August 13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+25.9%+$5.25
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 33°C on August 3?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.66
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 29°C on July 25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+29.7%+$3.56
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on July 5?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+37.6%+$4.18
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 35°C on June 5?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+33.8%+$15.15
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on June 5?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+25%+$3.06
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C or higher on June 3?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+45.2%+$7.18
All 11 picks, newest first.
UFClast resolved Aug 15, 2026, EDT771.4%5 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick74cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Jul 28, 2026, EDT757.1%4 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.18per pick75cpaid-25.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
MLB — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commoditieslast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.10per pick57cpaid-13.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Commodities — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestoneslast resolved Aug 17, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick63cpaid-18.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 25, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick66cpaid-24.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 22, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.19per pick79cpaid-22.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
World Politics — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Valorantlast resolved Aug 24, 2026, EDT4100%4 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Valorant — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Cricketlast resolved Aug 19, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Cricket — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will India win?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$4.44
T20 Blast: Essex vs Kentbacked Essex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+27.4%+$4.39
Will the match end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+26.9%+$6.42
All 3 picks, newest first.
Lollast resolved Aug 14, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick73cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Midtermslast resolved Aug 19, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.10per pick76cpaid-10.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Ligalast resolved Aug 16, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Racing Club win on 2026-08-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$12.24
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+25%+$6.18
All 2 picks, newest first.
Asian Leaguelast resolved Aug 13, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Al Ahli Saudi Club win on 2026-08-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+42.5%+$12.18
All 1 picks, newest first.
IPO Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
IPO — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will X Æ A-Xii be on-stage at a bell ceremony commemorating SpaceX's IPO?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$5.89
All 1 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Jul 6, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will "Young Washington" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 18m and 20m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+37.6%+$8.36
All 1 picks, newest first.
Golf Inactivelast resolved Jun 7, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Golf — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 the Memorial Tournament presented by Workday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+29.2%+$12.24
All 1 picks, newest first.
WNBAlast resolved Aug 13, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+27.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
WNBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Los Angeles Sparks vs. New York Libertybacked New York Liberty · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+27.8%+$4.44
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jun 9, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+27.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knights: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+27.7%+$15.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2last resolved Aug 13, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Astralis (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Bbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+25%+$7.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 6, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$205Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+25%+$51.25
All 1 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 26, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+25%+$2.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
EdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
All 1 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference Leaguelast resolved Aug 13, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.70per pick70cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will MH Maccabi Tel Aviv win on 2026-08-13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.85
All 1 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.71per pick71cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.86
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier Leaguelast resolved Aug 16, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.74per pick74cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Watford FC win on 2026-08-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.75
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.