Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 29°C on July 25?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc24ef7f5def0824272fc6375d35802b555ec9618bc0b1b6e8c777b7af519d373
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,746
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,722
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,746 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 87 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6ff2…f140backed Yes | 34c | 885.49$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1,250 | 25.4%317 W · 933 L | +57.9wins | +0.05per pick | 21cpaid | +14%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb902…06d8backed Yes | 44c | 682.84$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 71 | 59.2%42 W · 29 L | +6.9wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x35fb…8511backed Yes | 40c | 635.99$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.52 | 251 | 35.1%88 W · 163 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd498…a6c5backed No | 56c | 512.12$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.33 | 1,710 | 47.8%818 W · 892 L | -48.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8299…05f3backed Yes | 15c | 503.95$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x302b…7a54backed Yes | 35c | 445.24$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.83 | 66 | 24.2%16 W · 50 L | -4.4wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed No | 55c | 346.63$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.16 | 10,354 | 37.9%3,919 W · 6,435 L | +417.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 68c | 326.19$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.91 | 2,060 | 60%1,235 W · 825 L | +28.9wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb56c…30f3backed Yes | 6c | 325.39$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.02 | 104 | 55.8%58 W · 46 L | +10.4wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd23f…94a1backed No | 72c | 310.28$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.41 | 2,617 | 59.5%1,556 W · 1,061 L | -41.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26cb…a394backed No | 66c | 250$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85 | 124 | 37.1%46 W · 78 L | -17.5wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x5d6f…0e20backed Yes | 8c | 224.99$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 914 | 44.7%409 W · 505 L | +16.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bee…7e78backed Yes | 6c | 200$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1,076 | 23.5%253 W · 823 L | +69.1wins | +0.06per pick | 17cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9f20…12c3backed No | 75c | 200$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.21 | 4,104 | 56.6%2,322 W · 1,782 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked Yes | 39c | 166.76$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.04 | 2,214 | 20.7%458 W · 1,756 L | -60.8wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30fb…7db4backed Yes | 24c | 139.94$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.91 | 4,117 | 47.6%1,958 W · 2,159 L | -158.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 34c | 130.55$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.73 | 5,897 | 49.4%2,913 W · 2,984 L | -103.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7df0…0dfebacked No | 55c | 119.8$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.01 | 3,642 | 65.9%2,400 W · 1,242 L | +33.6wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x044f…d1f1backed Yes | 23c | 110.18$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.71 | 8,162 | 49.4%4,035 W · 4,127 L | +269.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 67c | 108.08$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.59 | 6,592 | 53.1%3,503 W · 3,089 L | +400.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 76c | 106$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.84 | 5,389 | 56%3,017 W · 2,372 L | -120.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7eb5…9400backed No | 57c | 100$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 527 | 58.8%310 W · 217 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52eb…67acbacked Yes | 38c | 96$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.06 | 4,988 | 49.8%2,485 W · 2,503 L | -155.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7dcf…a7bdbacked No | 61c | 93.84$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.28 | 1,586 | 61.9%982 W · 604 L | +20.2wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked Yes | 40c | 90.47$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.76 | 3,474 | 33.9%1,177 W · 2,297 L | -175.6wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 69c | 88.07$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.28 | 4,142 | 54.1%2,241 W · 1,901 L | -16.6wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb32…79aabacked No | 66c | 85.87$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.33 | 1,187 | 62.2%738 W · 449 L | +27.8wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06f2…8798backed No | 65c | 85$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.75 | 165 | 66.1%109 W · 56 L | -8.4wins | -0.05per pick | 71cpaid | -8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb58…407abacked Yes | 30c | 80.97$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.35 | 2,424 | 26.2%636 W · 1,788 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a29…3cc9backed Yes | 37c | 79.91$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.57 | 701 | 48.4%339 W · 362 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c1…b127backed Yes | 18c | 75.86$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.46 | 170 | 20%34 W · 136 L | -21.0wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -50.8%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xbce6…e428backed Yes | 34c | 71.09$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.43 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 65c | 70$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.2 | 3,755 | 61.1%2,293 W · 1,462 L | -36.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…9288backed No | 59c | 62.89$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.69 | 172 | 62.2%107 W · 65 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbd…a959backed Yes | 20c | 62.14$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.43 | 8,952 | 26.7%2,392 W · 6,560 L | +120.3wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15b1…a8e8backed Yes | 32c | 62$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.84 | 163 | 35%57 W · 106 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6724…84efbacked Yes | 38c | 60$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.8 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0f0…640cbacked Yes | 25c | 60$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 68 | 27.9%19 W · 49 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c1f…aff0backed Yes | 38c | 60$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.8 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc662…0927backed No | 66c | 57.9$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.69 | 1,190 | 57.9%689 W · 501 L | -5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd7a…7bfbbacked No | 72c | 57$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.96 | 4,961 | 68.3%3,386 W · 1,575 L | +65.6wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 66c | 56$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.04 | 1,428 | 52.1%744 W · 684 L | -21.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xffd0…cd07backed No | 66c | 56$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.04 | 2,311 | 57.7%1,334 W · 977 L | -19.0wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 57c | 55.81$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.83 | 4,257 | 65.3%2,779 W · 1,478 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb68…e362backed No | 68c | 55.4$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.73 | 2,118 | 59.1%1,251 W · 867 L | +107.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d69…7a63backed Yes | 34c | 50$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 1,075 | 54.8%589 W · 486 L | -17.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ab…ea2fbacked Yes | 39c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 176 | 37.5%66 W · 110 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf668…e47abacked Yes | 39c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 181 | 31.5%57 W · 124 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa874…c532backed No | 56c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2480…1a9bbacked Yes | 39c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xedbd…dd60backed No | 59c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.33 | 3,301 | 65%2,147 W · 1,154 L | -38.5wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69f0…fb27backed No | 72c | 44.43$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.33 | 2,118 | 58.2%1,233 W · 885 L | +78.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8971…809dbacked No | 56c | 43.65$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.02 | 1,959 | 46%901 W · 1,058 L | -51.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d15…4a14backed Yes | 36c | 43.03$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.49 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7142…e79ebacked Yes | 35c | 41.22$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.59 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc50c…8d41backed No | 59c | 34.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.36 | 423 | 66.4%281 W · 142 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2cbe…e435backed Yes | 45c | 33.33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 244 | 51.2%125 W · 119 L | -9.1wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d1d…9e61backed No | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.45 | 2,870 | 64.8%1,860 W · 1,010 L | -32.8wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f99…6734backed No | 55c | 33$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.85 | 548 | 53.1%291 W · 257 L | -28.7wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf7aa…ddd6backed Yes | 36c | 30.01$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 1,274 | 50.9%649 W · 625 L | -35.9wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…9db6backed No | 55c | 27.6$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.42 | 1,901 | 55.6%1,057 W · 844 L | +7.7wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf27…f35fbacked Yes | 45c | 26.67$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 153 | 47.1%72 W · 81 L | -8.6wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb141…aa3bbacked No | 64c | 24$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.64 | 124 | 53.2%66 W · 58 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0066…20a1backed No | 77c | 22.29$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.24 | 88 | 65.9%58 W · 30 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x95d3…6effbacked No | 67c | 21.35$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.98 | 317 | 48.6%154 W · 163 L | +16.0wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6fb1…e637backed No | 66c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.8 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0657…2b79backed No | 66c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.8 | 30 | 73.3%22 W · 8 L | +3.6wins | +0.12per pick | 61cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x002d…47a2backed No | 66c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.8 | 27 | 77.8%21 W · 6 L | +4.0wins | +0.15per pick | 63cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb22a…1479backed No | 66c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.8 | 33 | 69.7%23 W · 10 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +11%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf79e…e434backed No | 66c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.8 | 24 | 83.3%20 W · 4 L | +5.0wins | +0.21per pick | 63cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd99c…8490backed No | 66c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.8 | 24 | 79.2%19 W · 5 L | +4.2wins | +0.17per pick | 62cpaid | +28%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x04dc…d572backed No | 66c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.75 | 374 | 65.2%244 W · 130 L | +23.4wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa86f…022cbacked No | 66c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.8 | 397 | 68.8%273 W · 124 L | +11.3wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c18…32c3backed No | 78c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.4 | 1,043 | 62.9%656 W · 387 L | -11.9wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x608f…9065backed No | 66c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.8 | 44 | 77.3%34 W · 10 L | +6.2wins | +0.14per pick | 63cpaid | +22%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc798…6254backed No | 66c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.8 | 29 | 72.4%21 W · 8 L | +3.4wins | +0.12per pick | 61cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6b67…3998backed No | 66c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.8 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd219…0412backed No | 66c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.8 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +12%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb58…ccd0backed No | 77c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.6 | 160 | 65.6%105 W · 55 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35d7…28f8backed No | 66c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.8 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8adb…9e1dbacked No | 66c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.8 | 169 | 46.7%79 W · 90 L | -13.5wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc743…4cb7backed No | 66c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.8 | 98 | 48%47 W · 51 L | -4.6wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xab0c…b790backed No | 68c | 17.65$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.65 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 69cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed No | 63c | 16.91$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.33 | 769 | 24.3%187 W · 582 L | -16.3wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe2d…da35backed No | 74c | 16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.16 | 271 | 69%187 W · 84 L | +15.4wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3ff1…1be9backed No | 77c | 15.55$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.56 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 75cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd1c…3f79backed No | 77c | 13.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.11 | 493 | 59%291 W · 202 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Milan be 29°C on July 25?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Milan be 28°C or below on July 25?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Milan be 30°C on July 25?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in Milan be 31°C on July 25?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Milan be 32°C on July 25?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.