TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xb902…06d8

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
143
Categories scored
8
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 64 out of 100 (+0.13 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 64 out of 100; worst Lol at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Weather Inactivelast resolved Aug 8, 2026, EDT7159.2%42 W · 29 L+6.9wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+20.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
Weather — the 71 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 30°C on August 8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT+84%+$84.04
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 38°C on August 8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$58.73
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 96-97°F on August 6?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+70.7%+$70.66
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on August 6?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 33°C on August 6?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+99.4%+$99.44
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 25°C on August 5?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+44.7%+$44.74
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on August 5?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+35.9%+$35.86
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 9°C on August 5?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$332Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+66%+$219.31
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 31°C on August 4?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 21°C on August 4?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 20°C on August 4?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on August 4?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+76.4%+$76.36
Will the highest temperature in London be 30°C on August 3?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 32°C on August 3?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 35°C on August 3?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 28°C on August 3?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT+71.4%+$71.38
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 33°C on August 3?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT+48.8%+$48.77
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 34°C on August 3?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT+218.8%+$218.76
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 33°C on August 3?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on August 2?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT+109%+$218.1
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 35°C on August 2?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$187Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+67.4%+$126.29
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on July 29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 28°C on July 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 92-93°F on July 27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT+85.1%+$170.21
Showing 25 of 71 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 5, 2026, EDT4564.4%29 W · 16 L+8.8wins+0.20per pick45cpaid+37.3%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 45 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Mexico vs. England: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$1,696Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$1,837.33
Brazil vs. Norway: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$2,114Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+181.8%+$3,843.9
Canada vs. Morocco: Will the Match Go to Extra Time?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$600Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$600
Will Egypt win on 2026-07-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
Switzerland vs. Algeria: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Portugal vs. Croatia: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$724.14
Belgium vs. Senegal: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$3,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$2,263.16
Will England win on 2026-07-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$2,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$2,166.67
England vs. DR Congo: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$405Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$786.18
Netherlands vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$2,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$1,773.58
Germany vs. Paraguay: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$3,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+114.4%+$3,431.46
Brazil vs. Japan: Team to Advancebacked Brazil · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$1,272.73
South Africa vs. Canada: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
Norway vs. France: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Japan vs. Sweden: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$754.39
Bosnia and Herzegovina vs. Qatar: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$886.79
Switzerland vs. Canada: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$818.18
Jordan vs. Algeria: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$2,110Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$2,196.04
Norway vs. Senegal: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$2,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$1,508.77
New Zealand vs. Egypt: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$2,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$2,255.32
Belgium vs. IR Iran: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
Netherlands vs. Sweden: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$851.85
Türkiye vs. Paraguay: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
Scotland vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$4,300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,300
United States vs. Australia: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$1,100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,100
Showing 25 of 45 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 30, 2026, EDT1546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-8.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Samsun: Dan Added vs Kenta Miyoshibacked Dan Added · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Croatia Open: Damir Dzumhur vs Henrique Rochabacked Henrique Rocha · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Liege: Federico Coria vs Geoffrey Blancaneauxbacked Federico Coria · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$144.83
Trieste: Oleg Prihodko vs Alex Barrenabacked Oleg Prihodko · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Braunschweig: Max Hans Rehberg vs Moise Kouamebacked Max Hans Rehberg · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$78.57
Wimbledon WTA: Marie Bouzkova vs Elise Mertensbacked Elise Mertens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$85.19
Bastad: Leyre Romero Gormaz vs Darja Semenistajabacked Darja Semenistaja · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Wimbledon ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokinabacked Felix Auger-Aliassime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+104.3%+$104.29
Wimbledon ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Pablo Carreno Bustabacked Rafael Jodar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$86Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$118.76
ITF Gdansk: Hibah Shaikh vs Weronika Falkowskabacked Weronika Falkowska · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Wimbledon, Qualification ATP: Keegan Smith vs Moez Echarguibacked Keegan Smith · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Wimbledon, Qualification ATP: Zsombor Piros vs Billy Harrisbacked Billy Harris · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$58.73
ITF Maanshan: Ke Ren vs Marianna Shikhanovabacked Ke Ren · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Lexus Eastbourne Open: Zeynep Sonmez vs Harriet Dartbacked Zeynep Sonmez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$132.56
Wimbledon, Qualification WTA: Anouk Koevermans vs Mananchaya Sawangkaewbacked Anouk Koevermans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
All 15 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 9, 2026, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+20.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Apr 4, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+72.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$13.48
Will RB Leipzig win on 2026-04-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+100%+$10
All 2 picks, newest first.
Lollast resolved Aug 18, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.3wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Lol — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Philadelphia Philliesbacked Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$69.49
All 1 picks, newest first.
Earnings Inactivelast resolved Feb 17, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Earnings — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Waystar (WAY) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.