TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: Donstu Esports vs Fortress (BO3) - European Pro League Series 8 Closed Qualifier Group C

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Donstu Esportsof Donstu Esports, Fortress
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$70,378
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$86,099

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $70,378 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 140 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xddc3…029cbacked Donstu Esports69c16,168$11,106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,061.6492456.8%525 W · 399 L+2.0wins0.00per pick57cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6200…7d23backed Fortress1c3,550$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3316036.3%58 W · 102 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick34cpaid-11.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5c18…2f76backed Fortress19c2,681$519 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$519.2988330.7%271 W · 612 L-63.8wins-0.07per pick38cpaid-35.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0e1b…ecafbacked Fortress37c2,153$787 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$786.582,32851.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L+92.3wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+1.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x048f…9992backed Fortress1c2,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205740%0 W · 574 L-6.8wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Fortress28c1,956$552 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$552.132,13642.9%916 W · 1,220 L-68.1wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-20%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Fortress19c1,811$339 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$339.255,28731.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L-383.3wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-37.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Fortress36c1,704$620 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$619.935,51147%2,590 W · 2,921 L+42.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked Fortress34c1,478$496 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$495.941,30241.2%536 W · 766 L-50.1wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-24.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Fortress27c1,283$341 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$340.932,50841%1,029 W · 1,479 L-115.5wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-22.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Fortress31c1,045$324 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$323.712,34942.5%998 W · 1,351 L-72.7wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-20.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8a80…11c5backed Fortress35c1,024$353 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$353.2875438.9%293 W · 461 L-38.9wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-24.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc98f…a13fbacked Fortress1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1016311.7%19 W · 144 L-5.2wins-0.03per pick15cpaid-34.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4cfd…5c91backed Fortress7c999.99$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7012627%34 W · 92 L+5.2wins+0.04per pick23cpaid-16.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6770…c3bdbacked Fortress30c997.37$303 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303.363038.6%243 W · 387 L-26.4wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-26.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9e48…6158backed Donstu Esports78c952.78$743 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$209.6138052.6%200 W · 180 L+0.9wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x568d…87d0backed Fortress21c932.83$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.0928943.6%126 W · 163 L+8.4wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+14.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2529…548abacked Fortress27c903.88$242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$241.823,22551.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L+88.0wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2140…0e12backed Fortress45c858.63$387 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$386.8655039.6%218 W · 332 L-20.7wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-11.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa487…9439backed Fortress25c828.06$209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209.0915349.7%76 W · 77 L-0.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe8a…23cebacked Fortress28c752.14$211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211.32,21447.5%1,052 W · 1,162 L-5.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-14.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb21b…88f9backed Fortress23c719.52$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168.4847054%254 W · 216 L+12.7wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8efe…6704backed Fortress49c699.99$342 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$342.2420562.4%128 W · 77 L+5.4wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+0.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xaebf…4e6abacked Donstu Esports66c671.42$446 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225.7426554.3%144 W · 121 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0fde…8ab1backed Donstu Esports79c645.28$507 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.284866.7%32 W · 16 L-3.7wins-0.08per pick74cpaid-10.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x72aa…90e0backed Fortress28c631.5$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174.284,22849.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L+59.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Fortress29c622.77$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182.371,84841.7%770 W · 1,078 L-69.2wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-21.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbe59…0d2ebacked Fortress22c599.97$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.9958343.6%254 W · 329 L+0.4wins0.00per pick43cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x27f4…7763backed Donstu Esports68c592.25$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.251040%4 W · 6 L-2.9wins-0.29per pick69cpaid-41.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Fortress14c574.3$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.63,45929.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L-279.9wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-43.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xbb8e…08c1backed Fortress29c504$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.652,36246.6%1,100 W · 1,262 L-53.1wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-14.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7460…de6ebacked Donstu Esports56c477.15$267 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$209.9543951.7%227 W · 212 L+8.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb902…06d8backed Donstu Esports60c454.4$273 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$181.4666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+20.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7365…9589backed Donstu Esports79c436.49$346 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.3129455.8%164 W · 130 L-11.3wins-0.04per pick60cpaid-11.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Donstu Esports67c429.75$286 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.416,48042.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L-79.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed Donstu Esports53c410$217 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1935,83037.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L+79.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x505f…645ebacked Fortress33c406.84$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.912,60452.6%1,371 W · 1,233 L+98.0wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-3.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8a70…0519backed Fortress48c405.25$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.6638835.6%138 W · 250 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-5.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x7e59…7b8bbacked Fortress4c400.76$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.0875833.4%253 W · 505 L-48.9wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-31%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xebff…70e5backed Fortress13c398.31$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.272,77424.5%681 W · 2,093 L-295.8wins-0.11per pick35cpaid-50.7%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Fortress28c390.03$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.522,62630.9%812 W · 1,814 L-105.4wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-29.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x17e2…d472backed Fortress21c362.14$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.1626624.4%65 W · 201 L-26.9wins-0.10per pick35cpaid-33.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x7300…e52cbacked Fortress18c332.11$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.7822447.8%107 W · 117 L+9.2wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+12.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6c30…b877backed Donstu Esports56c322.13$181 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.441040%4 W · 6 L-1.9wins-0.19per pick59cpaid-31.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5135…7217backed Donstu Esports75c305.25$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.241,62052.7%853 W · 767 L+57.6wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Donstu Esports77c283.63$218 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.111,59146.6%741 W · 850 L+30.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-11.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Donstu Esports70c281.87$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.284,06450.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L+69.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x219a…f65bbacked Fortress35c279.73$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$985040%20 W · 30 L+2.5wins+0.05per pick35cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x93d7…c7a6backed Fortress34c272.15$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.6218645.2%84 W · 102 L-8.9wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-15.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7643…fb95backed Donstu Esports58c256.99$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.948452.4%44 W · 40 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-8.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5d4a…c078backed Donstu Esports66c256.73$169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.0612271.3%87 W · 35 L+18.5wins+0.15per pick56cpaid+26.6%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0xd761…56e3backed Donstu Esports64c246$157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.5624746.2%114 W · 133 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x332f…80a4backed Fortress22c225.47$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.41450%7 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-17.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Fortress25c205.26$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.661,63043.2%704 W · 926 L-32.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa851…4dedbacked Donstu Esports74c203.65$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.652748.1%13 W · 14 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3ee4…ed67backed Fortress18c201.22$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.2219340.4%78 W · 115 L-10.1wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-20.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc0f1…8680backed Fortress49c200$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$982,52243%1,085 W · 1,437 L+42.7wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8afa…28f0backed Fortress43c191.03$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.2873948.4%358 W · 381 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2944…cf36backed Fortress16c190$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.41952.6%10 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf20b…e27dbacked Fortress31c187.4$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.0933340.2%134 W · 199 L+13.6wins+0.04per pick36cpaid+11.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked Fortress35c185.44$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.7340137.2%149 W · 252 L-17.6wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-26.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Fortress28c181.68$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.362,32645.1%1,049 W · 1,277 L-62.2wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-16.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe766…7843backed Fortress21c167.9$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.3612531.2%39 W · 86 L-4.6wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-32.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked Donstu Esports60c163.32$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.044,93337.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L-249.2wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-32.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xefa3…7585backed Donstu Esports68c151.33$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.7677351.2%396 W · 377 L+24.2wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbbb4…0060backed Fortress31c150$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.517251.2%88 W · 84 L+13.3wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+13.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xad89…e006backed Fortress25c149.99$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.539440.4%159 W · 235 L+30.0wins+0.08per pick33cpaid+20.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe0e3…c760backed Fortress34c146.95$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$507935.4%28 W · 51 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-12.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5f16…284ebacked Donstu Esports69c144.93$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.935882.8%48 W · 10 L+10.2wins+0.18per pick65cpaid+26.6%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Fortress42c136.69$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.411,61846.8%758 W · 860 L-28.0wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9ab3…3044backed Fortress43c134$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.031,08342.1%456 W · 627 L-13.5wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x133a…504abacked Fortress31c132.26$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4130638.9%119 W · 187 L-1.4wins0.00per pick39cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbf3b…0375backed Fortress24c129.99$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.239245.9%180 W · 212 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xba23…cd7ebacked Donstu Esports66c124.99$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.515455.2%85 W · 69 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfd49…631bbacked Fortress40c123.48$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.392842.9%12 W · 16 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-4.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4228…b838backed Donstu Esports65c121.58$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.292755.6%15 W · 12 L+2.4wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+1.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6add…6992backed Donstu Esports57c114.02$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.038339.8%33 W · 50 L-5.0wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-10.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9d5b…1578backed Fortress18c111.12$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2027248.9%133 W · 139 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Fortress31c108$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$333,91036.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L-197.6wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-29.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x653e…bbc0backed Fortress24c107.75$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.8638739.5%153 W · 234 L-15.3wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-10.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8a3d…13dabacked Fortress21c106.42$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.499732%31 W · 66 L-11.7wins-0.12per pick44cpaid-36%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x483a…01d6backed Donstu Esports69c105.42$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.120349.3%100 W · 103 L-12.9wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-14.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xd68e…8048backed Donstu Esports79c100.71$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.244273.8%31 W · 11 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick73cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0fde…0258backed Fortress44c100$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4479951.7%413 W · 386 L+25.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6d9c…5369backed Donstu Esports52c100$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4818758.3%109 W · 78 L+10.6wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+3.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8ed1…908cbacked Fortress22c100$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2220637.9%78 W · 128 L-6.3wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-12.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3cad…92f0backed Fortress44c97.73$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4330939.2%121 W · 188 L-4.6wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d24…20b3backed Donstu Esports78c97.47$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.8443544.6%194 W · 241 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-9.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4861…4fcabacked Fortress12c82.41$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.2513148.1%63 W · 68 L-9.6wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-19.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf9b3…4a99backed Fortress25c80.3$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2029731%92 W · 205 L-4.0wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-7.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf1ee…519cbacked Fortress20c80$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163,20245.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L-79.3wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-16%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Donstu Esports68c74.65$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.082,62451.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L+18.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x831c…ce7dbacked Donstu Esports80c74.5$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.274560%27 W · 18 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick57cpaid-3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdd85…1d60backed Fortress24c74.38$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.8520147.3%95 W · 106 L-7.0wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6c3c…4169backed Donstu Esports69c72.47$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.473275%24 W · 8 L+4.4wins+0.14per pick61cpaid+18.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x26d0…566ebacked Fortress42c71.43$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3010154.5%55 W · 46 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xabbc…04a3backed Fortress42c71.43$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303557.1%20 W · 15 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x07b1…b027backed Fortress20c70$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1425643.4%111 W · 145 L+0.6wins0.00per pick43cpaid+2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x294e…4982backed Donstu Esports56c69.24$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.246747.8%32 W · 35 L-4.0wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-16%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x30dc…f26ebacked Fortress22c63.64$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1416236.4%59 W · 103 L-0.6wins0.00per pick37cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.