CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Donstu Esports vs Fortress - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb91b36f84db85c41064fc65b44da3731e341d312a3873600a8e117e13b505977
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Fortressof Donstu Esports, Fortress
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $45,571
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $43,963
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $45,571 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 87 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xddc3…029cbacked Donstu Esports | 61c | 14,615$8,932 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,932.39 | 924 | 56.8%525 W · 399 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0890…0646backed Donstu Esports | 57c | 6,128$3,491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,490.57 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Fortress | 37c | 5,943$2,194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,749.73 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Fortress | 38c | 3,067$1,176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,891.02 | 2,328 | 51.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L | +92.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ac…7deebacked Fortress | 65c | 2,800$1,822 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$978.06 | 431 | 52.9%228 W · 203 L | +26.6wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x048f…9992backed Donstu Esports | 1c | 2,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 574 | 0%0 W · 574 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6eac…e409backed Donstu Esports | 61c | 1,776$1,089 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,089.29 | 245 | 51.8%127 W · 118 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefdd…1e8abacked Fortress | 48c | 864.38$413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$451.23 | 83 | 45.8%38 W · 45 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf66e…14b7backed Fortress | 36c | 854.76$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$548.47 | 457 | 54.5%249 W · 208 L | +18.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Fortress | 40c | 831.52$332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$499.44 | 2,604 | 52.6%1,371 W · 1,233 L | +98.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked Fortress | 38c | 800$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$494.64 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Fortress | 33c | 795.09$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$531.37 | 890 | 46.1%410 W · 480 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Fortress | 39c | 730$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$442.7 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3123…b44dbacked Donstu Esports | 60c | 636.33$379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378.78 | 192 | 52.1%100 W · 92 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Fortress | 54c | 613.95$331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.46 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab04…a00abacked Donstu Esports | 45c | 612$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.4 | 172 | 40.1%69 W · 103 L | -10.9wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked Fortress | 41c | 600$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.83 | 2,214 | 47.5%1,052 W · 1,162 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Fortress | 40c | 556.43$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332.68 | 1,848 | 41.7%770 W · 1,078 L | -69.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d24…20b3backed Fortress | 58c | 529.93$307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.57 | 435 | 44.6%194 W · 241 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2957…b26abacked Fortress | 55c | 523.88$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.88 | 230 | 38.3%88 W · 142 L | -15.3wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Fortress | 40c | 521.14$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.59 | 3,202 | 45.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L | -79.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1fe…e21fbacked Fortress | 33c | 500$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335 | 124 | 48.4%60 W · 64 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa851…4dedbacked Fortress | 43c | 462.96$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.96 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Fortress | 54c | 441.04$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.88 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Donstu Esports | 20c | 420.64$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.77 | 3,459 | 29.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L | -279.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Fortress | 48c | 419$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.94 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked Fortress | 41c | 408.44$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.21 | 630 | 38.6%243 W · 387 L | -26.4wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Fortress | 32c | 406.25$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.25 | 1,319 | 44.2%583 W · 736 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Fortress | 49c | 355.62$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.56 | 2,776 | 37.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L | -140.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8a70…0519backed Fortress | 32c | 343.08$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.03 | 388 | 35.6%138 W · 250 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6dea…e294backed Fortress | 53c | 304.36$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.05 | 358 | 48.3%173 W · 185 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaebf…4e6abacked Donstu Esports | 55c | 280$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154 | 265 | 54.3%144 W · 121 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Fortress | 42c | 251.44$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.21 | 2,136 | 42.9%916 W · 1,220 L | -68.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc593…ea8cbacked Fortress | 39c | 226$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.27 | 271 | 56.8%154 W · 117 L | +13.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x50e0…d8b8backed Donstu Esports | 53c | 224.88$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.41 | 87 | 58.6%51 W · 36 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe83a…8355backed Fortress | 47c | 221.35$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.39 | 368 | 56.8%209 W · 159 L | +13.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9991…36b8backed Fortress | 58c | 215.66$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.88 | 217 | 55.8%121 W · 96 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f16…284ebacked Donstu Esports | 66c | 209.29$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.13 | 58 | 82.8%48 W · 10 L | +10.2wins | +0.18per pick | 65cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x8776…f2efbacked Donstu Esports | 48c | 206.92$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 141 | 53.9%76 W · 65 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Donstu Esports | 52c | 204.13$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.38 | 1,365 | 66.3%905 W · 460 L | +76.1wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Fortress | 42c | 202.77$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.7 | 1,302 | 41.2%536 W · 766 L | -50.1wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Fortress | 39c | 201.77$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.26 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Donstu Esports | 56c | 198$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.94 | 1,630 | 43.2%704 W · 926 L | -32.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Donstu Esports | 49c | 197.88$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.94 | 2,473 | 34.6%855 W · 1,618 L | -188.5wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…11c5backed Fortress | 36c | 196.52$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.55 | 754 | 38.9%293 W · 461 L | -38.9wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2bf3…4f00backed Fortress | 58c | 188.38$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.55 | 408 | 57.1%233 W · 175 L | +15.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Fortress | 42c | 175$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.72 | 2,349 | 42.5%998 W · 1,351 L | -72.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa72a…5685backed Fortress | 52c | 170.61$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.89 | 312 | 41.3%129 W · 183 L | -14.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Fortress | 50c | 167.12$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.86 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa79a…d72abacked Fortress | 61c | 161.59$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.58 | 265 | 46.8%124 W · 141 L | -18.5wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b3…4a99backed Fortress | 32c | 155.45$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.45 | 297 | 31%92 W · 205 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3f…6712backed Fortress | 38c | 150$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93 | 219 | 52.5%115 W · 104 L | +11.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x349e…867bbacked Fortress | 35c | 142.86$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.86 | 746 | 53.5%399 W · 347 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Fortress | 32c | 134.38$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.38 | 309 | 39.2%121 W · 188 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc399…53abbacked Donstu Esports | 42c | 128.47$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.51 | 132 | 44.7%59 W · 73 L | -13.4wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Fortress | 32c | 128.13$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.13 | 306 | 38.9%119 W · 187 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24f5…98d2backed Donstu Esports | 52c | 125$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 108 | 44.4%48 W · 60 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9825…9ffcbacked Fortress | 32c | 125$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85 | 160 | 32.5%52 W · 108 L | -7.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Fortress | 31c | 114.95$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.41 | 2,508 | 41%1,029 W · 1,479 L | -115.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Fortress | 25c | 112.68$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.51 | 2,626 | 30.9%812 W · 1,814 L | -105.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c30…b877backed Donstu Esports | 77c | 100$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.19per pick | 59cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x04a1…d6e6backed Fortress | 23c | 100$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94d2…cfbdbacked Donstu Esports | 65c | 95.34$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.78 | 2,110 | 47.2%995 W · 1,115 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dff…7fecbacked Fortress | 43c | 92.88$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.82 | 55 | 56.4%31 W · 24 L | +4.8wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Fortress | 50c | 84.96$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.8 | 2,774 | 24.5%681 W · 2,093 L | -295.8wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Donstu Esports | 60c | 79.11$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.72 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Donstu Esports | 29c | 78.19$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.95 | 1,591 | 46.6%741 W · 850 L | +30.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4787…db20backed Fortress | 47c | 75.57$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.86 | 163 | 61.3%100 W · 63 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2abe…6e2dbacked Fortress | 57c | 56.56$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.32 | 48 | 64.6%31 W · 17 L | +3.9wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77de…e67abacked Donstu Esports | 60c | 50.09$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 526 | 45.1%237 W · 289 L | -20.2wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf186…03a9backed Donstu Esports | 22c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 218 | 50.9%111 W · 107 L | +17.5wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x483a…01d6backed Donstu Esports | 23c | 46.74$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.75 | 203 | 49.3%100 W · 103 L | -12.9wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…331cbacked Donstu Esports | 70c | 44.9$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.34 | 85 | 64.7%55 W · 30 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 69cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb91c…ed66backed Donstu Esports | 41c | 43.58$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.08 | 700 | 42.3%296 W · 404 L | -16.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b22…377ebacked Fortress | 61c | 43.02$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.59 | 361 | 74.8%270 W · 91 L | +13.2wins | +0.04per pick | 71cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x337a…b913backed Fortress | 50c | 40.51$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.26 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.13per pick | 59cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa113…bb53backed Fortress | 58c | 39$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.38 | 73 | 53.4%39 W · 34 L | +5.2wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +139.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdad2…fe1abacked Donstu Esports | 36c | 38.79$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.1 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x76f1…f655backed Fortress | 36c | 35$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.27 | 917 | 43.7%401 W · 516 L | -35.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa951…8a2fbacked Donstu Esports | 58c | 29.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.36 | 1,068 | 55%587 W · 481 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x59d8…ad87backed Donstu Esports | 67c | 29.86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.01 | 127 | 54.3%69 W · 58 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1617…d790backed Fortress | 39c | 26.04$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.87 | 53 | 9.4%5 W · 48 L | -7.0wins | -0.13per pick | 23cpaid | -76.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x37b9…bf5cbacked Fortress | 62c | 20.97$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.97 | 48 | 60.4%29 W · 19 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdcc3…d8e9backed Donstu Esports | 66c | 20.73$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.68 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 56cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07e4…186ebacked Fortress | 53c | 20.57$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.67 | 333 | 62.2%207 W · 126 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4861…4fcabacked Donstu Esports | 53c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.53 | 131 | 48.1%63 W · 68 L | -9.6wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x21dd…e4f5backed Fortress | 52c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 180 | 59.4%107 W · 73 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Donstu Esports vs Fortress - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Donstu Esports vs Fortress (BO3) - European Pro League Series 8 Closed Qualifier Group CDonstu Esports won
- Counter-Strike: Donstu Esports vs Fortress - Map 2 WinnerDonstu Esports won
- Map Handicap: DNT (-1.5) vs Fortress (+1.5)Fortress won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.