CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Donstu Esports vs Fortress - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x668f86dfa35dfc2bc3d6ea35851df49b98799960feb5ded07f5f522307995bd2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Donstu Esportsof Donstu Esports, Fortress
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $77,781
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $79,572
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $77,781 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Fortress | 0c | 66,840$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.74 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x048f…9992backed Fortress | 1c | 2,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 574 | 0%0 W · 574 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Fortress | 23c | 1,027$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.15 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x219a…f65bbacked Fortress | 12c | 594.17$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d24…20b3backed Donstu Esports | 73c | 472.57$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.63 | 435 | 44.6%194 W · 241 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a70…0519backed Fortress | 32c | 438.33$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 388 | 35.6%138 W · 250 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefdd…1e8abacked Donstu Esports | 69c | 360$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.36 | 83 | 45.8%38 W · 45 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked Fortress | 23c | 291.25$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.28 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x619b…0d40backed Donstu Esports | 69c | 288.01$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.28 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0af3…8598backed Fortress | 30c | 266.61$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79 | 147 | 49.7%73 W · 74 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Donstu Esports | 68c | 195.33$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.92 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Donstu Esports | 77c | 185$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.05 | 1,630 | 43.2%704 W · 926 L | -32.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x831c…ce7dbacked Donstu Esports | 78c | 176.69$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.02 | 45 | 60%27 W · 18 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7643…fb95backed Fortress | 21c | 168$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.48 | 84 | 52.4%44 W · 40 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Fortress | 31c | 167$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.77 | 2,604 | 52.6%1,371 W · 1,233 L | +98.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x034a…9ddcbacked Donstu Esports | 77c | 129.36$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.36 | 106 | 47.2%50 W · 56 L | -13.4wins | -0.13per pick | 60cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b3…4a99backed Fortress | 24c | 121.6$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.6 | 297 | 31%92 W · 205 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2140…0e12backed Fortress | 23c | 120$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.6 | 550 | 39.6%218 W · 332 L | -20.7wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb569…021ebacked Fortress | 10c | 110$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 43 | 32.6%14 W · 29 L | +3.0wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | +212.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3265…cf6bbacked Fortress | 28c | 102.84$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.98 | 143 | 31.5%45 W · 98 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee22…7054backed Fortress | 25c | 95$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.93 | 118 | 44.1%52 W · 66 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Donstu Esports | 72c | 79.99$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.4 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Donstu Esports | 75c | 64.29$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.84 | 2,473 | 34.6%855 W · 1,618 L | -188.5wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x483a…01d6backed Donstu Esports | 72c | 53.71$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.04 | 203 | 49.3%100 W · 103 L | -12.9wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x294e…4982backed Donstu Esports | 72c | 51.39$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.39 | 67 | 47.8%32 W · 35 L | -4.0wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -16%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…331cbacked Donstu Esports | 70c | 41.99$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.6 | 85 | 64.7%55 W · 30 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 69cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Donstu Esports | 78c | 40.68$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.81 | 2,328 | 51.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L | +92.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Donstu Esports | 67c | 36.72$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.12 | 3,459 | 29.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L | -279.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9dff…7fecbacked Donstu Esports | 69c | 30.11$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.19 | 55 | 56.4%31 W · 24 L | +4.8wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Donstu Esports | 67c | 21.58$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.12 | 2,626 | 30.9%812 W · 1,814 L | -105.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa099…b1d4backed Donstu Esports | 65c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 71 | 59.2%42 W · 29 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cb5…2d03backed Donstu Esports | 64c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 82 | 40.2%33 W · 49 L | -7.5wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -22%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x77de…e67abacked Donstu Esports | 67c | 14.93$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.93 | 526 | 45.1%237 W · 289 L | -20.2wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Donstu Esports vs Fortress - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Donstu Esports vs Fortress (BO3) - European Pro League Series 8 Closed Qualifier Group CDonstu Esports won
- Counter-Strike: Donstu Esports vs Fortress - Map 1 WinnerFortress won
- Map Handicap: DNT (-1.5) vs Fortress (+1.5)Fortress won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.