TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x034a…9ddc

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
185
Categories scored
16
Categories below 50
10

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 52 out of 100; worst CS2 at 39.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2last resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT10647.2%50 W · 56 L-13.4wins-0.13per pick60cpaid-27.2%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
CS2 — the 106 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs Spirit (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs FUT Esports (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Spirit (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$120
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Spirit - Map 2 Winnerbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$136Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+39.1%+$53.3
Counter-Strike: paiN Academy vs QUINTESSÊNCIA (BO3) - CCT South America Challengers #2 Playoffsbacked paiN Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$100.5
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs NIP - Map 2 Winnerbacked Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
Counter-Strike: 9z vs magic (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Dbacked 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Counter-Strike: 9z vs magic - Map 2 Winnerbacked 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$85Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$41.87
Counter-Strike: 9z vs magic - Map 1 Winnerbacked 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$81Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$81
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$39
Counter-Strike: Imperial vs BESTIA (BO3) - BetBoom Storm Playoffsbacked Imperial · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$41
Counter-Strike: Imperial vs BESTIA - Map 2 Winnerbacked Imperial · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.77
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Dbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$39.9
Counter-Strike: METANOIA WOLVES vs MEIA NOITE (BO3) - CCT South America Challengers #2 Playoffsbacked METANOIA WOLVES · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+179.4%+$89.72
Counter-Strike: BESTIA vs ALKA (BO3) - BetBoom Storm Playoffsbacked ALKA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$37
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 100 Thieves (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Cbacked 100 Thieves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$101.2
Counter-Strike: K27 vs MIBR - Map 2 Winnerbacked MIBR · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$66.67
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs MOUZ (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Cbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winnerbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$39.38
Counter-Strike: BIG vs G2 (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Abacked BIG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.9
Counter-Strike: Luminosity vs Spirit (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Abacked Luminosity · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Luminosity (+1.5)backed Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$34.65
Counter-Strike: Luminosity vs Spirit - Map 1 Winnerbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+25%+$20
Counter-Strike: Infinite vs Betclic Apogee Esports - Map 2 Winnerbacked Infinite · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$70.8
Showing 25 of 106 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT3956.4%22 W · 17 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick54cpaid-6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 39 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$118Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$82
France vs. England: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$109Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$51.07
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Switzerland vs. Colombia: Team to Advancebacked Colombia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$98.76
Switzerland vs. Colombia: O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$202Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$201.5
United States vs. Belgium: Team to Advancebacked Belgium · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$237Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$70.77
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Portugal vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked Portugal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$105
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will England win on 2026-07-05?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Mexico vs. England: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$31.6
Mexico vs. England: O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+25%+$25
Brazil vs. Norway: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$350Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+37.5%+$131.29
Spread: France (-1.5)backed France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Spain win on 2026-07-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+44.4%+$66.61
Belgium vs. Senegal: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$82.73
Belgium vs. Senegal: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$53.16
Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will France win on 2026-06-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$38.89
Spread: France (-1.5)backed France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$39.84
Will Ivory Coast win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Netherlands vs. Morocco: Draw at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+25%+$25
Netherlands vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$31.58
Spread: Germany (-1.5)backed Germany · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$86.4
Germany vs. Paraguay: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$103Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$102.6
Showing 25 of 39 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 21, 2026, EDT825%2 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.10per pick35cpaid-58.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+36.7%+$73.36
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$170Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$163.33
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$790Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$790
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 21st?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$79.86
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.84
All 8 picks, newest first.
Tennislast resolved Aug 16, 2026, EDT714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.6wins-0.23per pick37cpaid-82.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Tennis — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Valorant Inactivelast resolved Aug 2, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+10.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Valorant — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFClast resolved Aug 16, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-10.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved May 12, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.11per pick64cpaid+6.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagueslast resolved Aug 14, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick67cpaid+2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$424Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$173.3
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$211Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$74.18
All 1 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference Leaguelast resolved Aug 12, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Aston Villa win on 2026-08-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 12, 2026, EDT+25%+$25
All 1 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved May 15, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Weather — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.09
All 1 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Music — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Drake have the top 3 albums on the Billboard 200?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$369Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$368.61
All 1 picks, newest first.
Golf Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Golf — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Cameron Young win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$282Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$282.18
All 1 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 20, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cavaliers vs. Knicks: O/U 218.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved May 15, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.73per pick73cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$533Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$533.48
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.