CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Imperial vs BESTIA - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x78d0c02e7e5baa6698baf548b64298c95dfccd185477f8683effeba2f3f30994
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- BESTIAof Imperial, BESTIA
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $34,769
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $44,272
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $34,769 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 59 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4ebc…a33dbacked Imperial | 27c | 2,319$622 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$622.11 | 631 | 57.1%360 W · 271 L | +40.1wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed BESTIA | 63c | 1,807$1,144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$662.91 | 2,522 | 43%1,085 W · 1,437 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b62…9035backed Imperial | 40c | 1,464$585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$584.52 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -3.9wins | -0.18per pick | 50cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5d7e…2ef7backed BESTIA | 64c | 1,041$663 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378.33 | 177 | 59.9%106 W · 71 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ca…6a8bbacked Imperial | 53c | 800$424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$424 | 752 | 45.5%342 W · 410 L | -21.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Imperial | 34c | 490.74$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.13 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed BESTIA | 42c | 417.35$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 809 | 42.3%342 W · 467 L | -16.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed44…4f76backed BESTIA | 58c | 382.95$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.23 | 519 | 42.2%219 W · 300 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Imperial | 57c | 291.04$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.3 | 619 | 48%297 W · 322 L | -11.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x949e…20afbacked Imperial | 50c | 258.38$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.19 | 432 | 37.7%163 W · 269 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x074c…771cbacked BESTIA | 80c | 247.16$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.43 | 169 | 63.3%107 W · 62 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d44…49e6backed Imperial | 69c | 237.19$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163 | 378 | 50.3%190 W · 188 L | -15.7wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Imperial | 41c | 211.74$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.42 | 2,136 | 42.9%916 W · 1,220 L | -68.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3353…b948backed Imperial | 48c | 203.41$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf20c…f4c7backed BESTIA | 79c | 194.63$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.19 | 99 | 60.6%60 W · 39 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b17…2aa5backed Imperial | 54c | 165.22$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 154 | 53.2%82 W · 72 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2843…3467backed Imperial | 27c | 160.44$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.32 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c8c…2d81backed Imperial | 54c | 157$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.01 | 457 | 48.1%220 W · 237 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x034a…9ddcbacked Imperial | 27c | 150.24$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.77 | 106 | 47.2%50 W · 56 L | -13.4wins | -0.13per pick | 60cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x24cc…0927backed Imperial | 68c | 147.06$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 132 | 54.5%72 W · 60 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9307…9da3backed BESTIA | 64c | 124.22$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.49 | 1,008 | 69.3%699 W · 309 L | +152.8wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xcce1…49c7backed Imperial | 72c | 124.16$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89 | 351 | 47.9%168 W · 183 L | -16.5wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xccdc…dbe6backed BESTIA | 41c | 122.02$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.02 | 367 | 49.3%181 W · 186 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Imperial | 37c | 113.02$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.36 | 2,473 | 34.6%855 W · 1,618 L | -188.5wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Imperial | 37c | 111.41$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.68 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Imperial | 45c | 106.62$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.85 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked BESTIA | 42c | 105$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.9 | 495 | 36.4%180 W · 315 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb909…d559backed Imperial | 18c | 100$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.92 | 176 | 48.3%85 W · 91 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc91d…6416backed BESTIA | 36c | 98.03$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.74 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Imperial | 46c | 95.06$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.55 | 1,848 | 41.7%770 W · 1,078 L | -69.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb777…8703backed BESTIA | 80c | 89.33$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.93 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 67cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked Imperial | 35c | 88$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.85 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeecd…4fefbacked BESTIA | 75c | 81.86$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.46 | 378 | 59.5%225 W · 153 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…ff4fbacked Imperial | 54c | 80$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.2 | 1,352 | 52%703 W · 649 L | +29.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Imperial | 51c | 79.78$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.57 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd7af…f22ebacked Imperial | 45c | 76.96$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +26%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Imperial | 38c | 73.4$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.93 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Imperial | 42c | 73.23$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.78 | 3,202 | 45.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L | -79.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6a0…2212backed Imperial | 28c | 62.95$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.68 | 345 | 47.5%164 W · 181 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa47d…41a0backed Imperial | 55c | 62.94$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.62 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked BESTIA | 80c | 50.23$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.05 | 2,349 | 42.5%998 W · 1,351 L | -72.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked Imperial | 38c | 48.61$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.47 | 2,214 | 47.5%1,052 W · 1,162 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Imperial | 59c | 46.78$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.51 | 1,848 | 47.6%879 W · 969 L | -55.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa951…8a2fbacked BESTIA | 66c | 46$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.61 | 1,068 | 55%587 W · 481 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe90f…a908backed Imperial | 60c | 43.72$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.23 | 116 | 56%65 W · 51 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Imperial | 38c | 43$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.34 | 2,362 | 46.6%1,100 W · 1,262 L | -53.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Imperial | 28c | 41.41$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.74 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf795…5e34backed Imperial | 40c | 40$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 70 | 27.1%19 W · 51 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bf1…3db0backed Imperial | 37c | 40$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.8 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed BESTIA | 74c | 37.57$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.58 | 2,508 | 41%1,029 W · 1,479 L | -115.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x91ac…5ff3backed Imperial | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 771 | 46%355 W · 416 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x026d…8fecbacked Imperial | 54c | 35.19$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb77…fbeebacked Imperial | 34c | 34$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.71 | 231 | 56.3%130 W · 101 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Imperial | 63c | 33$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.74 | 1,630 | 43.2%704 W · 926 L | -32.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed Imperial | 60c | 32.01$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.21 | 513 | 48.3%248 W · 265 L | +10.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Imperial | 52c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 919 | 45.8%421 W · 498 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked BESTIA | 77c | 20.65$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.69 | 1,591 | 46.6%741 W · 850 L | +30.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ed1…fd2abacked Imperial | 60c | 18.78$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.27 | 393 | 38.2%150 W · 243 L | -13.0wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf2b…16a0backed BESTIA | 78c | 13.33$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.93 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.13per pick | 70cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Imperial vs BESTIA - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Imperial vs BESTIA (BO3) - BetBoom Storm PlayoffsImperial won
- Counter-Strike: Imperial vs BESTIA - Map 1 WinnerImperial won
- Map Handicap: IMP (-1.5) vs BESTIA (+1.5)BESTIA won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.