CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Imperial vs BESTIA - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x143b01cc554170d9848a9f969f4229295adbcd7de028e70935c2fc2a0ffc9c4e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Imperialof Imperial, BESTIA
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,357
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $29,138
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,357 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4ebc…a33dbacked Imperial | 65c | 3,539$2,308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,230.99 | 631 | 57.1%360 W · 271 L | +40.1wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x82d2…beeabacked BESTIA | 56c | 1,912$1,062 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,061.92 | 1,011 | 52.3%529 W · 482 L | +27.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7069…325bbacked BESTIA | 41c | 973.89$401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$401.21 | 946 | 45.8%433 W · 513 L | +18.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed44…4f76backed BESTIA | 24c | 900.5$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.38 | 519 | 42.2%219 W · 300 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ca…6a8bbacked Imperial | 55c | 599.99$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270 | 752 | 45.5%342 W · 410 L | -21.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab3…3044backed BESTIA | 38c | 494.47$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.33 | 1,083 | 42.1%456 W · 627 L | -13.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdda3…d55fbacked BESTIA | 45c | 400$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 89 | 46.1%41 W · 48 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf348…e543backed Imperial | 71c | 390.79$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.95 | 230 | 72.6%167 W · 63 L | +27.8wins | +0.12per pick | 61cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked BESTIA | 29c | 346.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.12 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c7…4332backed BESTIA | 45c | 334.04$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.32 | 176 | 44.3%78 W · 98 L | -17.8wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x074c…771cbacked Imperial | 80c | 247.89$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.16 | 169 | 63.3%107 W · 62 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc0c…dac0backed Imperial | 55c | 229.28$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.18 | 414 | 75.4%312 W · 102 L | +22.1wins | +0.05per pick | 70cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked BESTIA | 34c | 212.38$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.55 | 2,214 | 47.5%1,052 W · 1,162 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24cc…0927backed Imperial | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.57 | 132 | 54.5%72 W · 60 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed BESTIA | 27c | 142.28$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.74 | 2,468 | 24.6%607 W · 1,861 L | -317.8wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked BESTIA | 26c | 134$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.73 | 2,473 | 34.6%855 W · 1,618 L | -188.5wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked BESTIA | 35c | 119.96$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.81 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e47…bdbfbacked Imperial | 64c | 116.27$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.86 | 384 | 69.5%267 W · 117 L | +31.6wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9307…9da3backed Imperial | 67c | 99.21$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.77 | 1,008 | 69.3%699 W · 309 L | +152.8wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xf6a0…2212backed BESTIA | 21c | 92.38$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.52 | 345 | 47.5%164 W · 181 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8948…76e5backed BESTIA | 46c | 90$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.4 | 404 | 57.2%231 W · 173 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf38c…d9f2backed BESTIA | 28c | 83.93$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 524 | 49%257 W · 267 L | -27.7wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x94d2…cfbdbacked BESTIA | 25c | 83.14$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.84 | 2,110 | 47.2%995 W · 1,115 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d08…5d9fbacked BESTIA | 36c | 81$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.16 | 202 | 48%97 W · 105 L | +7.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed BESTIA | 58c | 79.97$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.38 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91ac…5ff3backed BESTIA | 23c | 78.24$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.08 | 771 | 46%355 W · 416 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc28f…6193backed BESTIA | 45c | 73.02$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.86 | 109 | 56.9%62 W · 47 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf4…0e3dbacked Imperial | 52c | 64.41$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.11 | 60 | 43.3%26 W · 34 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x34ec…2711backed BESTIA | 23c | 60.87$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 86 | 43%37 W · 49 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed BESTIA | 47c | 55$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.62 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccdc…dbe6backed Imperial | 54c | 46.3$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.3 | 367 | 49.3%181 W · 186 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c5…20d0backed BESTIA | 48c | 43.93$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.05 | 610 | 54.9%335 W · 275 L | +10.1wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeecd…4fefbacked Imperial | 78c | 43.28$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.52 | 378 | 59.5%225 W · 153 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe53b…fe03backed Imperial | 70c | 43.16$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.95 | 413 | 72.2%298 W · 115 L | +25.0wins | +0.06per pick | 66cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Imperial | 69c | 43$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.53 | 2,362 | 46.6%1,100 W · 1,262 L | -53.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c8c…2d81backed BESTIA | 64c | 40$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.6 | 457 | 48.1%220 W · 237 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed BESTIA | 39c | 37$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.33 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x483d…a099backed BESTIA | 57c | 34.58$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.71 | 263 | 46.4%122 W · 141 L | -9.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Imperial | 77c | 28$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.51 | 1,630 | 43.2%704 W · 926 L | -32.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94e8…f707backed Imperial | 56c | 26.79$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.79 | 90 | 53.3%48 W · 42 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd30…9a01backed Imperial | 59c | 25.21$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.34 | 287 | 61.3%176 W · 111 L | +14.9wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x026d…8fecbacked Imperial | 40c | 25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x69fa…e259backed Imperial | 62c | 21.5$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.17 | 609 | 54%329 W · 280 L | +12.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f98…cb91backed Imperial | 61c | 18$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.03 | 67 | 43.3%29 W · 38 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Imperial vs BESTIA - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Imperial vs BESTIA (BO3) - BetBoom Storm PlayoffsImperial won
- Counter-Strike: Imperial vs BESTIA - Map 2 WinnerBESTIA won
- Map Handicap: IMP (-1.5) vs BESTIA (+1.5)BESTIA won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.