TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: Legacy vs Spirit (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffs

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Spiritof Legacy, Spirit
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$2,683,835
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$2,616,015

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,683,835 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 709 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6d20…a165backed Spirit77c1,336,805$1,024,471 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$312,334.566160.7%37 W · 24 L+5.6wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+23.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Legacy23c449,226$103,687 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103,687.225255.6%140 W · 112 L+18.9wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+14.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x73e3…1be9backed Legacy25c177,127$43,792 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43,791.7420153.7%108 W · 93 L+9.4wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+9.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf9d6…730abacked Legacy19c156,961$29,485 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29,485.229565.3%62 W · 33 L+9.0wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+16.7%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x8e74…5972backed Legacy23c100,000$23,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23,0004238.1%16 W · 26 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x67ac…edf1backed Legacy23c99,999$23,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22,999.7712353.7%66 W · 57 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-2.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x79ae…9a4abacked Legacy27c99,000$26,430 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26,429.9714145.4%64 W · 77 L+4.7wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Legacy23c75,000$17,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,25023145.9%106 W · 125 L-7.8wins-0.03per pick49cpaid+0.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7e5e…7315backed Spirit73c71,000$51,830 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,17022843.9%100 W · 128 L-4.0wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-0.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb85…152fbacked Legacy34c60,000$20,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,40016344.2%72 W · 91 L-6.2wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-6.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x59f4…c1f1backed Legacy24c45,833$11,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,00020%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x65c1…2988backed Legacy23c45,000$10,350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,3503046.7%14 W · 16 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6e13…a801backed Legacy23c43,777$10,027 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,026.620%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5eab…d552backed Legacy23c43,070$9,906 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,906.0218624.2%45 W · 141 L-5.2wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-30.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xad89…f6e1backed Legacy23c40,000$9,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,200540%2 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.14per pick54cpaid-45.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc64f…e677backed Legacy24c40,000$9,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,600540%2 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-31.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd091…efb5backed Spirit76c33,805$25,744 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,061.02366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick72cpaid-11.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5556…2759backed Spirit66c33,745$22,404 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,341.01475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.24per pick51cpaid+41.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Legacy23c30,053$6,866 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,866.291,39638.9%543 W · 853 L-41.2wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-29%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6261…4adbbacked Spirit75c30,000$22,438 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,561.812552%13 W · 12 L+2.5wins+0.10per pick42cpaid+16.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x07b1…6dfcbacked Legacy24c30,000$7,150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,1501844.4%8 W · 10 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-13.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8718…5040backed Spirit77c25,332$19,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,831.78670.9%61 W · 25 L+5.3wins+0.06per pick65cpaid+9.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe954…1ef1backed Legacy23c24,678$5,798 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,797.871428.6%4 W · 10 L-3.4wins-0.25per pick53cpaid-51.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x4337…8882backed Legacy24c22,222$5,333 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,333.2888242.3%373 W · 509 L-13.0wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-1.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c03…8e6ebacked Legacy27c22,220$5,888 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,888.3450%2 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+29.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6f3e…bcf8backed Spirit76c22,157$16,839 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,317.76152.5%32 W · 29 L0.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3170…c6a0backed Legacy27c20,000$5,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,4001241.7%5 W · 7 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick38cpaid-10.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xec7b…917ebacked Legacy12c20,000$2,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,40027041.1%111 W · 159 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-0.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa2c9…2c23backed Spirit77c19,627$15,113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,514.1319660.7%119 W · 77 L-13.9wins-0.07per pick68cpaid-7.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe6e4…ce20backed Legacy11c17,653$1,944 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,943.74333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-43.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xfb37…ba6bbacked Legacy28c17,277$4,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,80010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd27c…c081backed Spirit73c16,875$12,319 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,556.087766.2%51 W · 26 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick65cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf1ef…8cd6backed Legacy23c16,000$3,680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,6801250%6 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick53cpaid+2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaebf…e1cabacked Legacy31c15,831$4,848 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,848.235940.4%145 W · 214 L-15.9wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-11.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x01e6…e7e0backed Spirit73c15,413$11,288 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,124.4717062.9%107 W · 63 L+7.5wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+5.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x29b5…cc6cbacked Spirit75c15,372$11,529 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,842.975,02855%2,763 W · 2,265 L+112.5wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xafd4…7e61backed Legacy24c15,000$3,650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,65011638.8%45 W · 71 L-7.3wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-20.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9755…eab0backed Legacy27c13,892$3,688 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,687.99425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.18per pick43cpaid-48.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9166…5bd5backed Legacy24c13,700$3,288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,28820%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf4ec…c574backed Spirit74c13,459$10,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,458.9148350.9%246 W · 237 L-20.9wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-10%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8056…b64dbacked Legacy19c12,818$2,424 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,423.741,62144.8%726 W · 895 L+3.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0a63…fc03backed Legacy12c12,000$1,390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,39042142%177 W · 244 L+0.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x91da…1bc1backed Legacy13c11,383$1,478 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,478.431926.3%5 W · 14 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick28cpaid-50.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x44c5…8d45backed Legacy25c10,000$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,50019455.2%107 W · 87 L+8.9wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+5.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3342…f908backed Legacy24c10,000$2,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,4001942.1%8 W · 11 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x98fe…ffa7backed Legacy29c10,000$2,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,900333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-37.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdcaf…e271backed Legacy26c10,000$2,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,599.9437946.4%176 W · 203 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5257…3e2abacked Spirit73c9,735$7,107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,628.472948.3%14 W · 15 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-12.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7951…bb41backed Legacy24c9,497$2,259 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,259.4296740.7%394 W · 573 L+12.6wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+7.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5c72…7e7ebacked Spirit73c9,375$6,844 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,531.252842.9%12 W · 16 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-34.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Spirit73c9,288$6,780 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,507.771,71446.7%801 W · 913 L+1.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1610…ae49backed Spirit71c9,041$6,422 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,619.3313548.9%66 W · 69 L+8.2wins+0.06per pick43cpaid+5.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4a55…a82abacked Legacy23c9,006$2,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,10011146.8%52 W · 59 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-11.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x65b5…aa71backed Spirit71c8,719$6,190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,528.793100%3 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+63.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4f0e…0200backed Legacy27c7,546$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0001758.8%10 W · 7 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x69f1…0e04backed Legacy12c7,415$890 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$889.76633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-27.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa9a4…0830backed Legacy24c7,151$1,749 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,749.24633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-47.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x30c7…ac3bbacked Spirit72c6,841$4,926 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,915.575452.7%397 W · 357 L+27.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+8.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x45ea…8815backed Spirit73c6,582$4,805 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,777.192369.6%16 W · 7 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick66cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b97…8d30backed Legacy25c6,500$1,625 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,62566551.9%345 W · 320 L+8.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe2cd…3897backed Legacy23c6,215$1,430 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,429.542744.4%12 W · 15 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-10.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0ec0…04a9backed Legacy20c6,118$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,200.3910%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3755…4bedbacked Legacy24c6,100$1,465 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,464.91145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick42cpaid-13.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x52b7…0aa1backed Legacy20c6,000$1,208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,207.51,40833.7%475 W · 933 L+43.0wins+0.03per pick31cpaid+8.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed Legacy16c6,000$960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96056941.3%235 W · 334 L-21.0wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-11%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2200…0f2dbacked Legacy23c5,667$1,303 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,303.33714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.19per pick33cpaid-75.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1b47…d814backed Legacy28c5,562$1,575 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,574.6610747.7%51 W · 56 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d8a…5201backed Legacy27c5,000$1,350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,35055236.2%200 W · 352 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf8a…2d3cbacked Legacy28c5,000$1,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,4002941.4%12 W · 17 L+4.8wins+0.16per pick25cpaid+84.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x67b6…00bcbacked Legacy26c5,000$1,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,299.9828538.2%109 W · 176 L-10.0wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-8.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xcd30…f316backed Legacy26c4,938$1,284 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,283.9112249.2%60 W · 62 L+6.9wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+17.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0d7c…b7dbbacked Spirit75c4,767$3,594 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,173.3923646.2%109 W · 127 L-11.4wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-15%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4cf2…2057backed Legacy27c4,550$1,223 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,222.8560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick55cpaid-14.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd88…dadbbacked Spirit73c4,509$3,292 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,217.5364852%337 W · 311 L+10.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbe39…92abbacked Legacy13c4,300$559 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$559250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick42cpaid-29.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1735…6391backed Spirit74c4,257$3,150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,106.762100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+52.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x16bc…decabacked Legacy27c4,149$1,120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,120.2419229.2%56 W · 136 L-12.0wins-0.06per pick35cpaid-28.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x51c7…98aabacked Spirit73c4,110$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,109.5925261.5%155 W · 97 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x182d…73e9backed Legacy25c4,100$1,014 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,01478639.4%310 W · 476 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Spirit74c4,054$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,054.037055.7%39 W · 31 L+2.5wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+13%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3471…f17ebacked Spirit70c4,030$2,804 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,225.931,05449%516 W · 538 L+38.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-10.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0844…f46abacked Legacy23c4,000$920 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9204652.2%24 W · 22 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-10.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8dc5…c07dbacked Spirit78c4,000$3,120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$880475%3 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick75cpaid-4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8400…274cbacked Spirit75c3,985$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$984.755658.9%33 W · 23 L-2.4wins-0.04per pick63cpaid-9.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x81d4…0c51backed Legacy26c3,944$1,025 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,025.34955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.11per pick44cpaid+26.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfb70…d08bbacked Legacy23c3,773$868 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$867.7920%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x81e7…486dbacked Legacy24c3,750$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9001258.3%7 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick64cpaid-9.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3881…804ebacked Spirit77c3,728$2,866 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$862.341,47651.8%765 W · 711 L-4.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9ff5…6afbbacked Legacy22c3,660$805 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$805.453125.8%8 W · 23 L-5.1wins-0.16per pick42cpaid-45.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xf357…14a9backed Legacy13c3,649$474 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$474.37666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x31b0…69b3backed Legacy27c3,591$970 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$969.556656.1%37 W · 29 L+5.0wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+14.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0665…2a33backed Legacy24c3,588$861 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$861.1510%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x16d0…1b91backed Legacy12c3,551$436 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$435.56475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.27per pick48cpaid+24.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9187…b2e1backed Spirit74c3,456$2,558 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$898.662458.3%14 W · 10 L-3.5wins-0.14per pick73cpaid-21.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe46d…7e4dbacked Legacy26c3,433$893 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$892.581952.6%10 W · 9 L+2.2wins+0.11per pick41cpaid+10%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd789…3059backed Legacy23c3,301$759 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$759.21333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-47.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x91b9…889fbacked Spirit75c3,205$2,392 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$812.592646.2%12 W · 14 L-3.2wins-0.12per pick58cpaid-18%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7b4e…5c01backed Spirit74c3,188$2,359 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$828.94666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+13.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xce2b…3a57backed Legacy26c3,174$813 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$812.671040%4 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick34cpaid-2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5364…4ed0backed Legacy32c3,092$988 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$987.62425%1 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick33cpaid-45.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.